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CDNA Stock Analysis - CareDx, Inc. AI Rating

CDNA Nasdaq Services-Medical Laboratories DE CIK: 0001217234
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
HOLD
62% Confidence

📊 CDNA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $379.8M
Net Margin: -5.6%
Free Cash Flow: $40.2M
Current Ratio: 2.86x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $-0.40
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Investment Thesis

CareDx demonstrates solid revenue growth of 13.8% and strong cash generation with $40.2M in free cash flow, supported by a fortress balance sheet with zero debt and $65.4M in cash. However, persistent unprofitability with -5.6% net margin and negative operating income of -$30.8M despite 13.9% gross margins suggest operational inefficiencies that must be resolved before considering the company investment-grade.

CDNA Strengths

  • + Strong revenue growth of 13.8% YoY demonstrates market demand for services
  • + Excellent liquidity position with 2.86x current ratio and zero long-term debt provides financial flexibility
  • + Positive free cash flow of $40.2M (10.6% FCF margin) indicates underlying business cash generation capability
  • + Adequate balance sheet with $65.4M cash and $303.1M stockholders equity supports runway for operations

CDNA Risks

  • ! Sustained operating losses (-$30.8M operating income) and negative net margin (-5.6%) indicate business is not yet profitable at scale
  • ! Gross margin of only 13.9% leaves minimal room for operating expenses; structural profitability challenges persist despite revenue growth
  • ! Negative interest coverage ratio of -22.8x reflects inability to cover any debt obligations from operations; entirely dependent on cash reserves
  • ! Diluted EPS deteriorated -143% YoY to -$0.40, signaling shareholder value destruction despite revenue gains

Key Metrics to Watch

CDNA Financial Metrics

Revenue
$379.8M
Net Income
$-21.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.40
Free Cash Flow
$40.2M
Total Assets
$413.2M
Cash Position
$65.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.86x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

CDNA Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 13.9%
Operating Margin -8.1%
Net Margin -5.6%
ROE -7.0%
ROA -5.2%
FCF Margin 10.6%

CDNA vs Healthcare Sector

How CareDx, Inc. compares to Healthcare sector averages

Net Margin
CDNA -5.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
CDNA Sector
ROE
CDNA -7.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
CDNA Sector
Current Ratio
CDNA 2.9x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
CDNA Sector
Debt/Equity
CDNA 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
CDNA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

CDNA Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.86x
Quick Ratio
2.56x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
26.7%
Interest Coverage
-22.78x
Long-term Debt
$0.0

CDNA 5-Year Financial Trend

CDNA 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $296.4M, Net Income -$22.0M, EPS $-0.52. Year 2022: Revenue $321.8M, Net Income -$18.7M, EPS $-0.40. Year 2023: Revenue $321.8M, Net Income -$30.7M, EPS $-0.59. Year 2024: Revenue $333.8M, Net Income -$76.6M, EPS $-1.44. Year 2025: Revenue $379.8M, Net Income -$190.3M, EPS $-3.54.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: CareDx, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 28% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-3.54 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

CDNA Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
10.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CDNA Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for CareDx, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $82.9M $1.7M $0.03
Q2 2025 $86.7M -$4.6M $-0.09
Q1 2025 $72.0M -$10.4M $-0.19
Q3 2024 $67.2M -$1.4M $-0.14
Q2 2024 $70.3M -$1.4M $-0.03
Q1 2024 $72.0M -$16.7M $-0.32
Q3 2023 $67.2M -$16.9M $-0.32
Q2 2023 $70.3M -$19.6M $-0.41

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

CDNA Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$42.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$87.8M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.8M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

CDNA SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for CareDx, Inc. (CIK: 0001217234)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Feb 25, 2026 10-K cdna-20251231.htm View →
Feb 24, 2026 8-K cdna-20260224.htm View →
Feb 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-02042026_090248.xml View →
Feb 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-02042026_090201.xml View →
Feb 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-02042026_090256.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CDNA

What is the AI rating for CDNA?

CareDx, Inc. (CDNA) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CDNA's key strengths?

Strong revenue growth of 13.8% YoY demonstrates market demand for services. Excellent liquidity position with 2.86x current ratio and zero long-term debt provides financial flexibility.

What are the risks of investing in CDNA?

Sustained operating losses (-$30.8M operating income) and negative net margin (-5.6%) indicate business is not yet profitable at scale. Gross margin of only 13.9% leaves minimal room for operating expenses; structural profitability challenges persist despite revenue growth.

What is CDNA's revenue and growth?

CareDx, Inc. reported revenue of $379.8M.

Does CDNA pay dividends?

CareDx, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find CDNA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for CareDx, Inc. (CIK: 0001217234) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CDNA's EPS?

CareDx, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.40.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI