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BWIN Stock Analysis - Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. AI Rating

BWIN Nasdaq Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service DE CIK: 0001781755
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 21, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
STRONG SELL
85% Confidence

📊 BWIN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.5B
Net Margin: -2.2%
Free Cash Flow: $-68.9M
Current Ratio: 1.16x
Debt/Equity: 2.67x
EPS: $-0.50
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 85% confidence

Investment Thesis

Baldwin Insurance Group faces severe operational distress with negative net income of -$33.8M, negative operating cash flow of -$29.4M, and deteriorating free cash flow of -$68.9M despite modest revenue growth. The company's high leverage (2.67x debt-to-equity) combined with unprofitable operations and negative returns on equity (-5.6%) and assets (-0.9%) indicate fundamental business challenges that threaten long-term viability.

BWIN Strengths

  • + Stable revenue base of $1.5B with positive YoY growth of 0.8%
  • + Reasonable current ratio of 1.16x indicating near-term liquidity adequacy
  • + Operating income remains positive at $73.9M with 4.9% operating margin

BWIN Risks

  • ! Net loss of $33.8M with deteriorating per-share profitability (EPS down 28.2% YoY)
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$68.9M indicating company is burning cash despite revenue generation
  • ! Excessive leverage with $1.6B long-term debt against only $600.2M stockholders' equity and declining cash reserves
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -$29.4M suggests operational performance cannot support capital expenditures or debt service
  • ! High level of insider activity (33 Form 4 filings in 90 days) may indicate management uncertainty or potential ownership concerns

Key Metrics to Watch

BWIN Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.5B
Net Income
$-33.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.50
Free Cash Flow
$-68.9M
Total Assets
$3.9B
Cash Position
$123.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

BWIN Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 4.9%
Net Margin -2.2%
ROE -5.6%
ROA -0.9%
FCF Margin -4.6%

BWIN vs Finance Sector

How Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
BWIN -2.2%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
BWIN Sector
ROE
BWIN -5.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
BWIN Sector
Current Ratio
BWIN 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
BWIN Sector
Debt/Equity
BWIN 2.7x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
BWIN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

BWIN Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.16x
Quick Ratio
1.16x
Debt/Equity
2.67x
Debt/Assets
71.9%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$1.6B

BWIN 5-Year Financial Trend

BWIN 5-year financial data: Year 2023: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income -$30.6M, EPS $-0.64. Year 2024: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income -$41.8M, EPS $-0.74. Year 2025: Revenue $1.5B, Net Income -$90.1M, EPS $-1.50.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 23% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-1.50 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

BWIN Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-4.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

BWIN Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $335.2M -$4.4M $-0.07
Q2 2025 $337.1M -$3.2M $-0.05
Q1 2025 $378.1M $13.9M $0.20
Q3 2024 $304.2M -$4.4M $-0.07
Q2 2024 $295.6M $4.0M $0.06
Q1 2024 $329.5M -$14.1M $-0.24

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

BWIN Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$29.4M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$39.5M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

BWIN SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001781755)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773795012.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773794868.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773794736.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773794649.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773794560.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about BWIN

What is the AI rating for BWIN?

Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 85% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are BWIN's key strengths?

Stable revenue base of $1.5B with positive YoY growth of 0.8%. Reasonable current ratio of 1.16x indicating near-term liquidity adequacy.

What are the risks of investing in BWIN?

Net loss of $33.8M with deteriorating per-share profitability (EPS down 28.2% YoY). Negative free cash flow of -$68.9M indicating company is burning cash despite revenue generation.

What is BWIN's revenue and growth?

Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. reported revenue of $1.5B.

Does BWIN pay dividends?

Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find BWIN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001781755) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is BWIN's EPS?

Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.50.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 21, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI