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Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

ERIE Nasdaq Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service PA CIK: 0000922621
Updated This Month • Analysis: Apr 29, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
76% Confidence
AGREEMENT
HOLD
72% Conf
BUY
81% Conf

📊 ERIE Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.0B
Net Margin: 14.9%
Free Cash Flow: $54.5M
Current Ratio: 1.29x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $491.00
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence
Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) receives a BUY rating with 76% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.0B, net profit margin of 14.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of 6.4%, Erie Indemnity Co demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete ERIE stock analysis for 2026.

Is Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) a Good Investment?

Claude

Erie Indemnity demonstrates fortress-like financial health with zero debt, $2.4B equity, and 7.2% revenue growth, but deteriorating profitability with net income declining 6.8% YoY signals operational headwinds offsetting top-line expansion. Weak capital efficiency (6.4% ROE, 4.5% ROA) and modest free cash flow generation suggest the company is not effectively converting growth into shareholder returns.

ChatGPT

ERIE INDEMNITY CO shows strong core fundamentals, with solid revenue growth, healthy double-digit operating and free cash flow margins, and very high returns on equity and assets. The balance sheet is notably conservative with no long-term debt and ample liquidity, which supports resilience. The main caution is that net income declined year over year despite revenue growth, suggesting some pressure on expense control or earnings quality that should be monitored.

Why Buy Erie Indemnity Co Stock? ERIE Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Zero long-term debt with $268.6M cash provides financial flexibility and low financial risk
  • + Revenue growing 7.2% YoY with healthy 16.5% operating margin showing core business strength
  • + Strong balance sheet: $3.4B assets vs $1.0B liabilities with $2.4B stockholders equity provides stability
  • + Positive free cash flow generation of $54.5M demonstrates operational viability
ChatGPT
  • + Consistent top-line growth with revenue up 7.2% year over year
  • + Strong profitability profile with 17.6% operating margin, 13.8% net margin, and high ROE/ROA
  • + Excellent financial health driven by zero long-term debt and robust free cash flow generation

ERIE Stock Risks: Erie Indemnity Co Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Net income declining 6.8% YoY despite revenue growth indicates margin compression or rising operating costs
  • ! Very low ROE (6.4%) and ROA (4.5%) suggest inefficient capital deployment and poor capital productivity
  • ! Modest FCF margin (5.4%) provides limited reinvestment capacity or shareholder distributions
  • ! Insurance sector cyclicality and underwriting cycle exposure could further pressure profitability
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income fell 6.8% year over year despite higher revenue
  • ! Liquidity is adequate but not exceptionally strong at a 1.27x current ratio
  • ! Growth quality could weaken if margin compression continues or cash conversion declines

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income trend - need reversal from negative YoY growth to support thesis
  • * Operating margin stability - monitor for further compression below 16.5%
  • * Free cash flow growth - should accelerate beyond current 5.4% margin level
  • * Return on equity trajectory - 6.4% is insufficient; target improvement toward 8-10% minimum
ChatGPT
  • * Net income and operating margin trend
  • * Free cash flow and operating cash flow conversion

Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.0B
Net Income
$150.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$491.00
Free Cash Flow
$54.5M
Total Assets
$3.4B
Cash Position
$268.6M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Erie Indemnity Co presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

ERIE Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 16.5%
Net Margin 14.9%
ROE 6.4%
ROA 4.5%
FCF Margin 5.4%

ERIE vs Finance Sector: How Erie Indemnity Co Compares

How Erie Indemnity Co compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
ERIE 14.9%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
ERIE Sector
ROE
ERIE 6.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
ERIE Sector
Current Ratio
ERIE 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
ERIE Sector
Debt/Equity
ERIE 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
ERIE Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Erie Indemnity Co Stock Overvalued? ERIE Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Erie Indemnity Co has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
6.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
14.9%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Erie Indemnity Co Balance Sheet: ERIE Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.29x
Quick Ratio
1.29x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
30.3%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$0.0

ERIE Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ERIE 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.6B, Net Income $316.8M, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $2.8B, Net Income $293.3M, EPS N/A. Year 2023: Revenue $3.3B, Net Income $297.9M, EPS N/A. Year 2024: Revenue $3.8B, Net Income $298.6M, EPS N/A. Year 2025: Revenue $4.1B, Net Income $446.1M, EPS N/A.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Erie Indemnity Co's revenue has grown significantly by 54% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion.

ERIE Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
5.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ERIE Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Erie Indemnity Co including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $989.4M $138.4M N/A
Q3 2025 $999.9M $124.6M N/A
Q2 2025 $990.4M $124.6M N/A
Q1 2025 $880.7M $124.6M N/A
Q3 2024 $858.9M $86.2M N/A
Q2 2024 $839.9M $86.2M N/A
Q1 2024 $752.5M $86.2M N/A
Q3 2023 $741.2M $68.6M N/A

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Erie Indemnity Co Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$91.9M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$37.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$68.1M
Returned to shareholders

ERIE SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Erie Indemnity Co (CIK: 0000922621)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777644333.xml View →
May 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777644124.xml View →
May 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777643896.xml View →
May 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777643690.xml View →
May 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777643426.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ERIE

What is the AI rating for ERIE?

Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 76% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ERIE's key strengths?

Claude: Zero long-term debt with $268.6M cash provides financial flexibility and low financial risk. Revenue growing 7.2% YoY with healthy 16.5% operating margin showing core business strength. ChatGPT: Consistent top-line growth with revenue up 7.2% year over year. Strong profitability profile with 17.6% operating margin, 13.8% net margin, and high ROE/ROA.

What are the risks of investing in ERIE?

Claude: Net income declining 6.8% YoY despite revenue growth indicates margin compression or rising operating costs. Very low ROE (6.4%) and ROA (4.5%) suggest inefficient capital deployment and poor capital productivity. ChatGPT: Net income fell 6.8% year over year despite higher revenue. Liquidity is adequate but not exceptionally strong at a 1.27x current ratio.

What is ERIE's revenue and growth?

Erie Indemnity Co reported revenue of $1.0B.

Does ERIE pay dividends?

Erie Indemnity Co pays dividends, with $68.1M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find ERIE SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Erie Indemnity Co (CIK: 0000922621) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ERIE's EPS?

Erie Indemnity Co has a diluted EPS of $491.00.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is ERIE a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Erie Indemnity Co has a BUY rating with 76% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is ERIE stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ERIE: ROE of 6.4% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 14.9% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy ERIE stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Erie Indemnity Co a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ERIE's free cash flow?

Erie Indemnity Co's operating cash flow is $91.9M, with capital expenditures of $37.4M. FCF margin is 5.4%.

How does ERIE compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 14.9% (avg: 25%), ROE 6.4% (avg: 12%), current ratio 1.29 (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 29, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI