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BBAI-WT Stock Analysis - BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. AI Rating

BBAI-WT NYSE Services-Prepackaged Software DE CIK: 0001836981
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 20, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
STRONG SELL
92% Confidence

📊 BBAI-WT Key Takeaways

Revenue: $127.7M
Net Margin: -230.2%
Free Cash Flow: $-42.5M
Current Ratio: 1.78x
Debt/Equity: 0.17x
EPS: $-0.82
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence

Investment Thesis

BigBear.ai is operationally insolvent with severe structural profitability challenges, evidenced by a -167.5% operating margin and -$42M negative operating cash flow despite $127.7M in revenue. The company is burning cash at an unsustainable rate with no clear path to profitability, and the deteriorating net income trends (-$293.9M loss) indicate fundamental business model dysfunction rather than temporary headwinds. Without immediate and significant operational restructuring, the company faces critical sustainability issues.

BBAI-WT Strengths

  • + Maintains adequate liquidity position with $87.1M cash and 1.78x current ratio
  • + Conservative leverage with 0.17x debt-to-equity ratio providing some financial flexibility
  • + Modest gross margin of 22.3% suggests core product/service has basic unit economics

BBAI-WT Risks

  • ! Severe operating losses of -$213.9M with -167.5% operating margin indicating unsustainable cost structure
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$42.5M annually depleting capital reserves with no profitability timeline visible
  • ! Revenue declining 19.3% YoY combined with massive losses creates death spiral risk if cash runway exhausts
  • ! Negative ROE (-48%) and ROA (-32.9%) demonstrate value destruction and capital inefficiency at enterprise level
  • ! Operating cash flow of -$42M confirms losses are real cash burn, not accounting artifacts

Key Metrics to Watch

BBAI-WT Financial Metrics

Revenue
$127.7M
Net Income
$-293.9M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.82
Free Cash Flow
$-42.5M
Total Assets
$894.5M
Cash Position
$87.1M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

BBAI-WT Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 22.3%
Operating Margin -167.5%
Net Margin -230.2%
ROE -48.0%
ROA -32.9%
FCF Margin -33.3%

BBAI-WT vs Technology Sector

How BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. compares to Technology sector averages

Net Margin
BBAI-WT -230.2%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
BBAI-WT Sector
ROE
BBAI-WT -48.0%
vs
Sector Avg 22.0%
BBAI-WT Sector
Current Ratio
BBAI-WT 1.8x
vs
Sector Avg 2.5x
BBAI-WT Sector
Debt/Equity
BBAI-WT 0.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.5x
BBAI-WT Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

BBAI-WT Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.78x
Quick Ratio
1.78x
Debt/Equity
0.17x
Debt/Assets
31.6%
Interest Coverage
-11.81x
Long-term Debt
$107.0M

BBAI-WT 5-Year Financial Trend

BBAI-WT 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $145.6M, Net Income $6.2M, EPS $-0.07. Year 2022: Revenue $155.0M, Net Income $5.3M, EPS $-0.07. Year 2023: Revenue $155.2M, Net Income -$123.6M, EPS $-1.15. Year 2024: Revenue $158.2M, Net Income -$111.4M, EPS $-0.87. Year 2025: Revenue $158.2M, Net Income -$70.7M, EPS $-0.47.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s revenue has shown modest growth of 9% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $-0.47 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

BBAI-WT Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-33.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

BBAI-WT Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $33.1M $2.5M $-0.03
Q2 2025 $32.5M -$14.4M $-0.06
Q1 2025 $33.1M -$62.0M $-0.25
Q3 2024 $34.0M $4.0M $0.03
Q2 2024 $38.5M -$11.7M $-0.05
Q1 2024 $33.1M -$26.2M $-0.19
Q3 2023 $34.0M $4.0M $0.03
Q2 2023 $37.6M -$16.9M $-0.12

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

BBAI-WT Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$42.0M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$525.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

BBAI-WT SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001836981)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773695732.xml View →
Mar 6, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772832161.xml View →
Mar 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772663452.xml View →
Mar 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772663393.xml View →
Mar 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772663305.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about BBAI-WT

What is the AI rating for BBAI-WT?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI-WT) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 92% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are BBAI-WT's key strengths?

Maintains adequate liquidity position with $87.1M cash and 1.78x current ratio. Conservative leverage with 0.17x debt-to-equity ratio providing some financial flexibility.

What are the risks of investing in BBAI-WT?

Severe operating losses of -$213.9M with -167.5% operating margin indicating unsustainable cost structure. Negative free cash flow of -$42.5M annually depleting capital reserves with no profitability timeline visible.

What is BBAI-WT's revenue and growth?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $127.7M.

Does BBAI-WT pay dividends?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find BBAI-WT SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001836981) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is BBAI-WT's EPS?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.82.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI