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Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

AXTA NYSE Paints, Varnishes, Lacquers, Enamels & Allied Prods D0 CIK: 0001616862
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
78% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
78% Conf
HOLD
77% Conf

📊 AXTA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.3B
Net Margin: 7.2%
Free Cash Flow: $18.0M
Current Ratio: 2.10x
Debt/Equity: 1.31x
EPS: $0.42
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) receives a SELL rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $1.3B, net profit margin of 7.2%, and return on equity (ROE) of 3.7%, Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete AXTA stock analysis for 2026.

Is Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) a Good Investment?

Claude

Axalta faces significant financial stress with interest coverage of 0.8x indicating inability to service debt from operating income, compounded by flat revenue growth and declining EPS. Poor capital efficiency (ROE 3.7%, ROA 1.2%) and high leverage (1.31x Debt/Equity) limit financial flexibility, though adequate liquidity provides near-term cushion.

ChatGPT

Axalta shows solid core profitability, healthy free cash flow generation, and adequate liquidity, which support a fundamentally stable business. However, flat revenue, slightly declining earnings, and still-elevated leverage limit the quality of the growth profile and reduce upside from fundamentals alone.

Why Buy Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. Stock? AXTA Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong liquidity position with $608M cash and 2.1x current ratio
  • + Reasonable operating margin of 11.6% demonstrates some pricing power
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $68M shows base business generating cash
ChatGPT
  • + Operating margin of 14.4% and ROE of 16.1% indicate a profitable, reasonably efficient business
  • + Free cash flow of $453M and an 8.9% FCF margin show the company converts earnings into cash at a healthy level
  • + Liquidity is solid with a 2.06x current ratio, 1.50x quick ratio, and $657M of cash

AXTA Stock Risks: Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical: Interest coverage of 0.8x means operating income cannot cover interest expenses—financial distress indicator
  • ! Zero revenue growth YoY with declining diluted EPS (-2.2%) signals business contraction and margin compression
  • ! High financial leverage (1.31x Debt/Equity, $3.2B long-term debt) limits strategic flexibility and refinancing options
  • ! Minimal free cash flow generation ($18M FCF, 1.4% FCF margin) relative to asset base and debt obligations
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue was flat year over year, suggesting limited near-term growth momentum
  • ! Debt remains meaningful with $3.18B of long-term debt and 1.36x debt-to-equity
  • ! Interest coverage of 4.2x is acceptable but not especially strong if financing costs stay elevated or earnings soften

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trend—must move above 1.25x to indicate financial stabilization
  • * Revenue growth acceleration—current 0% growth unsustainable with debt burden
  • * Free cash flow generation and debt reduction pace relative to interest obligations
  • * Operating margin sustainability under potential economic slowdown
ChatGPT
  • * Organic revenue growth and margin expansion
  • * Debt reduction and interest coverage improvement

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$1.3B
Net Income
$90.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.42
Free Cash Flow
$18.0M
Total Assets
$7.6B
Cash Position
$608.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 1.4% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 2.10x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

AXTA Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 11.6%
Net Margin 7.2%
ROE 3.7%
ROA 1.2%
FCF Margin 1.4%

AXTA vs Market Sector: How Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. Compares

How Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
AXTA 7.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
AXTA Sector
ROE
AXTA 3.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
AXTA Sector
Current Ratio
AXTA 2.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
AXTA Sector
Debt/Equity
AXTA 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
AXTA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. Stock Overvalued? AXTA Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
3.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
7.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.31x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. Balance Sheet: AXTA Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.10x
Quick Ratio
1.53x
Debt/Equity
1.31x
Debt/Assets
67.4%
Interest Coverage
0.83x
Long-term Debt
$3.2B

AXTA Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AXTA 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $4.5B, Net Income $249.0M, EPS $1.06. Year 2022: Revenue $4.9B, Net Income $121.6M, EPS $0.52. Year 2023: Revenue $5.2B, Net Income $263.9M, EPS $1.14. Year 2024: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income $192.0M, EPS $0.86. Year 2025: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income $267.0M, EPS $1.21.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.'s revenue has grown significantly by 18% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.21 reflects profitable operations.

AXTA Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
1.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AXTA Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $1.3B $90.0M $0.42
Q3 2025 $1.3B $101.0M $0.46
Q2 2025 $1.3B $109.0M $0.50
Q1 2025 $1.3B $41.0M $0.18
Q3 2024 $1.3B $72.0M $0.33
Q2 2024 $1.3B $61.0M $0.27
Q1 2024 $1.3B $41.0M $0.18
Q3 2023 $1.2B $62.4M $0.28

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$68.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$165.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$50.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

AXTA SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (CIK: 0001616862)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 30, 2026 10-Q axta-20260331.htm View →
Apr 30, 2026 8-K axta-20260430.htm View →
Apr 21, 2026 DEF 14A d63289ddef14a.htm View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772752321.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772752289.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AXTA

What is the AI rating for AXTA?

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AXTA's key strengths?

Claude: Strong liquidity position with $608M cash and 2.1x current ratio. Reasonable operating margin of 11.6% demonstrates some pricing power. ChatGPT: Operating margin of 14.4% and ROE of 16.1% indicate a profitable, reasonably efficient business. Free cash flow of $453M and an 8.9% FCF margin show the company converts earnings into cash at a healthy level.

What are the risks of investing in AXTA?

Claude: Critical: Interest coverage of 0.8x means operating income cannot cover interest expenses—financial distress indicator. Zero revenue growth YoY with declining diluted EPS (-2.2%) signals business contraction and margin compression. ChatGPT: Revenue was flat year over year, suggesting limited near-term growth momentum. Debt remains meaningful with $3.18B of long-term debt and 1.36x debt-to-equity.

What is AXTA's revenue and growth?

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. reported revenue of $1.3B.

Does AXTA pay dividends?

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find AXTA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (CIK: 0001616862) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AXTA's EPS?

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. has a diluted EPS of $0.42.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is AXTA a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is AXTA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AXTA: ROE of 3.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 7.2% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy AXTA stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AXTA's free cash flow?

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.'s operating cash flow is $68.0M, with capital expenditures of $50.0M. FCF margin is 1.4%.

How does AXTA compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 7.2% (avg: 12%), ROE 3.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.10 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI