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ALEC Stock Analysis - Alector, Inc. AI Rating

ALEC Nasdaq Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) CIK: 0001653087
Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
STRONG SELL
95% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Alector is a pre-revenue stage biotech company with severe operational losses (-$142.9M net loss on only $21.0M revenue) and dramatically negative profitability metrics (net margin of -679.2%). The company is burning cash at an unsustainable rate (-$184.1M operating cash flow) with only 3.6 years of cash runway at current burn, indicating imminent financing risk or liquidation pressure.

ALEC Strengths

  • + Strong liquidity position with $65.8M cash and 3.83x current ratio providing near-term operational flexibility
  • + Modest long-term debt burden with 0.33x debt-to-equity ratio limiting financial leverage risk
  • + Recent insider activity (8 Form 4 filings in 90 days) suggests active management engagement

ALEC Risks

  • ! Catastrophic cash burn rate of $184M annually with only $65.8M cash remaining - company faces critical funding necessity within 4 quarters
  • ! Revenue generation appears minimal ($21M) and flat YoY, insufficient to offset R&D/operating expenses in biotech development stage
  • ! Operating losses of $156M with net margin of -679% indicate no clear path to profitability without significant revenue inflection or major asset sale
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$184.1M demonstrates company cannot fund operations from internal operations and is entirely dependent on external financing

Key Metrics to Watch

ALEC Financial Metrics

Revenue
$21.0M
Net Income
$-142.9M
EPS (Diluted)
$-1.39
Free Cash Flow
$-184.1M
Total Assets
$293.2M
Cash Position
$65.8M

ALEC Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -741.3%
Net Margin -679.2%
ROE -466.3%
ROA -48.7%
FCF Margin -874.7%

ALEC Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.83x
Quick Ratio
3.83x
Debt/Equity
0.33x
Debt/Assets
89.5%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$10.0M

ALEC 5-Year Financial Trend

ALEC 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $207.1M, Net Income -$105.4M, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $207.1M, Net Income -$190.2M, EPS $-2.45. Year 2023: Revenue $207.1M, Net Income -$36.3M, EPS $-0.45. Year 2024: Revenue $133.6M, Net Income -$133.3M, EPS $-1.62. Year 2025: Revenue $100.6M, Net Income -$119.0M, EPS $-1.23.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Alector, Inc.'s revenue has declined by 51% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-1.23 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

ALEC Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-874.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ALEC Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Alector, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $3.3M -$30.5M $-0.34
Q2 2025 $7.9M -$30.5M $-0.30
Q1 2025 $3.7M -$36.1M $-0.38
Q3 2024 $9.1M $1.4M $-0.43
Q2 2024 $15.1M $1.4M $0.02
Q1 2024 $15.9M -$36.1M $-0.38
Q3 2023 $9.1M $1.4M $-0.53
Q2 2023 $56.2M $1.4M $0.02

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

ALEC Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$184.0M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$41.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

ALEC SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Alector, Inc. (CIK: 0001653087)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI