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Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

ACA NYSE Fabricated Structural Metal Products DE CIK: 0001739445
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
70% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
68% Conf
HOLD
72% Conf

📊 ACA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $571.7M
Net Margin: 6.6%
Free Cash Flow: $28.4M
Current Ratio: 2.31x
Debt/Equity: 0.57x
EPS: $0.77
AI Rating: HOLD with 68% confidence
Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) receives a HOLD rating with 70% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $571.7M, net profit margin of 6.6%, and return on equity (ROE) of 1.4%, Arcosa, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete ACA stock analysis for 2026.

Is Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) a Good Investment?

Claude

Arcosa demonstrates solid revenue growth at 12.2% YoY, but severe profitability deterioration with net income nearly flat at 0.2% growth signals operational margin compression despite top-line expansion. Weak capital returns (ROE 1.4%, ROA 0.8%) and tight interest coverage (2.0x) indicate poor asset deployment efficiency, offset partially by strong liquidity and reasonable leverage positioning.

ChatGPT

Arcosa shows solid fundamental stability with double-digit revenue growth, positive free cash flow, and strong liquidity, indicating a resilient operating base. However, profit conversion remains mixed because net income was essentially flat year over year despite higher sales, while leverage and only moderate interest coverage limit flexibility. Overall, the business appears fundamentally sound but not strong enough on profitability quality to justify a more aggressive rating.

Why Buy Arcosa, Inc. Stock? ACA Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Solid revenue growth of 12.2% YoY demonstrates market demand and pricing power
  • + Strong liquidity with current ratio of 2.31x and quick ratio of 1.60x provides financial flexibility
  • + Moderate leverage at 0.57x Debt/Equity allows capacity for strategic investments or debt reduction
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue growth of 12.2% year over year indicates healthy end-market demand and execution
  • + Liquidity is strong with a 2.20x current ratio and 1.35x quick ratio, supporting near-term financial flexibility
  • + Free cash flow of $175.5M and an 11.9% operating margin show the business is generating real cash from operations

ACA Stock Risks: Arcosa, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe earnings-to-revenue growth divergence (net income +0.2% vs revenue +12.2%) indicates gross or operating margin compression requiring investigation
  • ! Critically low returns on equity (1.4%) and assets (0.8%) suggest fundamental capital efficiency problems or asset impairment issues
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 2.0x is tight with limited cushion for revenue fluctuations or unexpected costs in cyclical fabricated metals sector
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income growth of only 0.2% despite higher revenue suggests margin pressure, cost inflation, or weaker earnings quality
  • ! Long-term debt of $1.51B and interest coverage of 4.1x leave less room if operating conditions soften
  • ! Returns remain moderate with 7.9% ROE and 4.2% ROA, which limits evidence of strong capital efficiency

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trend and gross margin composition to identify source of profitability pressure
  • * Free cash flow conversion and capital expenditure efficiency as percentage of revenue growth
  • * Interest coverage ratio movements in relation to debt levels and operational cash flow sustainability
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and net margin progression
  • * Free cash flow generation relative to debt and capital expenditure needs

Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$571.7M
Net Income
$37.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.77
Free Cash Flow
$28.4M
Total Assets
$5.0B
Cash Position
$153.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 5.0% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 2.31x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

ACA Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 21.1%
Operating Margin 8.2%
Net Margin 6.6%
ROE 1.4%
ROA 0.8%
FCF Margin 5.0%

ACA vs Materials Sector: How Arcosa, Inc. Compares

How Arcosa, Inc. compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
ACA 6.6%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
ACA Sector
ROE
ACA 1.4%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
ACA Sector
Current Ratio
ACA 2.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
ACA Sector
Debt/Equity
ACA 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
ACA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Arcosa, Inc. Stock Overvalued? ACA Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Arcosa, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.4%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
6.6%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.57x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Arcosa, Inc. Balance Sheet: ACA Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.31x
Quick Ratio
1.60x
Debt/Equity
0.57x
Debt/Assets
47.0%
Interest Coverage
1.96x
Long-term Debt
$1.5B

ACA Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ACA 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.0B, Net Income $113.3M, EPS $2.32. Year 2022: Revenue $2.2B, Net Income $106.6M, EPS $2.18. Year 2023: Revenue $2.3B, Net Income $69.6M, EPS $1.42. Year 2024: Revenue $2.6B, Net Income $245.8M, EPS $5.05. Year 2025: Revenue $2.9B, Net Income $159.2M, EPS $3.26.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Arcosa, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 42% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $3.26 reflects profitable operations.

ACA Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
5.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ACA Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Arcosa, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $547.6M $23.6M $0.48
Q3 2025 $640.4M $16.6M $0.34
Q2 2025 $664.7M $45.6M $0.93
Q1 2025 $598.6M $23.6M $0.48
Q3 2024 $591.7M $16.6M $0.34
Q2 2024 $584.8M $40.9M $0.84
Q1 2024 $549.2M $39.2M $0.80
Q3 2023 $591.7M $32.0M $0.66

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Arcosa, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$71.9M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$17.5M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$43.5M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$2.4M
Returned to shareholders

ACA SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Arcosa, Inc. (CIK: 0001739445)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 15, 2026 8-K aca-20260513.htm View →
May 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778794110.xml View →
May 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778794104.xml View →
May 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778794095.xml View →
May 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778794089.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ACA

What is the AI rating for ACA?

Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 70% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ACA's key strengths?

Claude: Solid revenue growth of 12.2% YoY demonstrates market demand and pricing power. Strong liquidity with current ratio of 2.31x and quick ratio of 1.60x provides financial flexibility. ChatGPT: Revenue growth of 12.2% year over year indicates healthy end-market demand and execution. Liquidity is strong with a 2.20x current ratio and 1.35x quick ratio, supporting near-term financial flexibility.

What are the risks of investing in ACA?

Claude: Severe earnings-to-revenue growth divergence (net income +0.2% vs revenue +12.2%) indicates gross or operating margin compression requiring investigation. Critically low returns on equity (1.4%) and assets (0.8%) suggest fundamental capital efficiency problems or asset impairment issues. ChatGPT: Net income growth of only 0.2% despite higher revenue suggests margin pressure, cost inflation, or weaker earnings quality. Long-term debt of $1.51B and interest coverage of 4.1x leave less room if operating conditions soften.

What is ACA's revenue and growth?

Arcosa, Inc. reported revenue of $571.7M.

Does ACA pay dividends?

Arcosa, Inc. pays dividends, with $2.4M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find ACA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Arcosa, Inc. (CIK: 0001739445) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ACA's EPS?

Arcosa, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.77.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is ACA a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Arcosa, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is ACA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ACA: ROE of 1.4% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 6.6% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy ACA stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Arcosa, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ACA's free cash flow?

Arcosa, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $71.9M, with capital expenditures of $43.5M. FCF margin is 5.0%.

How does ACA compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin 6.6% (avg: 10%), ROE 1.4% (avg: 14%), current ratio 2.31 (avg: 1.6).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI