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UNP Stock Analysis - UNION PACIFIC CORP AI Rating

UNP NYSE Railroads, Line-Haul Operating UT CIK: 0000100885
Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
STRONG BUY
85% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Union Pacific demonstrates exceptional fundamental strength with industry-leading profitability metrics (40.2% operating margin, 29.1% net margin) and outstanding returns on equity (38.7% ROE). The company generates substantial free cash flow ($5.5B) while maintaining solid interest coverage (10.3x), supporting its capital-intensive business model and debt servicing capabilities.

UNP Strengths

  • + Exceptional operating margin of 40.2% indicates efficient cost management and pricing power in railroad operations
  • + Outstanding ROE of 38.7% demonstrates superior capital efficiency and ability to generate shareholder returns
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $5.5B (22.4% FCF margin) provides flexibility for debt reduction and shareholder distributions
  • + Healthy interest coverage ratio of 10.3x indicates robust ability to service significant debt obligations
  • + Consistent earnings growth with net income up 5.8% YoY and diluted EPS up 8.0% YoY
  • + Significant insider activity with 37 Form 4 filings in last 90 days suggests management confidence

UNP Risks

  • ! Elevated leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 1.72x and long-term debt of $31.8B relative to equity of $18.5B
  • ! Below-1.0x current and quick ratios (0.91x) indicate potential near-term liquidity constraints typical but notable for capital-intensive industries
  • ! Modest revenue growth of only 1.1% YoY suggests limited organic volume expansion despite strong profitability
  • ! Capital expenditure requirements of $3.8B annually limit financial flexibility in cyclical downturns

Key Metrics to Watch

UNP Financial Metrics

Revenue
$24.5B
Net Income
$7.1B
EPS (Diluted)
$11.98
Free Cash Flow
$5.5B
Total Assets
$69.7B
Cash Position
$1.3B

UNP Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 40.2%
Net Margin 29.1%
ROE 38.7%
ROA 10.2%
FCF Margin 22.4%

UNP Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.91x
Quick Ratio
0.91x
Debt/Equity
1.72x
Debt/Assets
73.5%
Interest Coverage
10.29x
Long-term Debt
$31.8B

UNP 5-Year Financial Trend

UNP 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $21.8B, Net Income $5.9B, EPS $8.38. Year 2022: Revenue $24.9B, Net Income $5.3B, EPS $7.88. Year 2023: Revenue $24.9B, Net Income $6.5B, EPS $9.95. Year 2024: Revenue $24.9B, Net Income $7.0B, EPS $11.21. Year 2025: Revenue $24.5B, Net Income $6.4B, EPS $10.45.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: UNION PACIFIC CORP's revenue has grown significantly by 12% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $10.45 reflects profitable operations.

UNP Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
22.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

UNP Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for UNION PACIFIC CORP including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $6.1B $1.7B $2.75
Q2 2025 $6.0B $1.7B $2.74
Q1 2025 $6.0B $1.6B $2.69
Q3 2024 $5.9B $1.5B $2.51
Q2 2024 $6.0B $1.6B $2.57
Q1 2024 $6.0B $1.6B $2.67
Q3 2023 $5.9B $1.5B $2.51
Q2 2023 $6.0B $1.6B $2.57

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

UNP Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$9.3B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$2.7B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$3.8B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$3.2B
Returned to shareholders

UNP SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for UNION PACIFIC CORP (CIK: 0000100885)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI