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TDG Stock Analysis - TransDigm Group INC AI Rating

TDG NYSE Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC DE CIK: 0001260221
Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-27
AI Rating
HOLD
62% Confidence

Investment Thesis

TransDigm demonstrates exceptional operational profitability with 45.6% operating margins and strong free cash flow generation of $772M, but this is severely constrained by extreme leverage with $29.3B debt against negative $9.3B equity. The 661.8% revenue surge and flat net income growth suggest integration challenges or one-time gains, requiring clarification on earnings quality before confident recommendation.

TDG Strengths

  • + Exceptional operating margins at 45.6% indicate strong pricing power and operational efficiency in aerospace components
  • + Robust free cash flow of $772M (33.8% FCF margin) demonstrates ability to service debt despite capital structure concerns
  • + Solid liquidity position with 2.75x current ratio and 1.81x quick ratio providing near-term financial flexibility
  • + Strong revenue growth of 661.8% YoY suggests significant demand recovery or major acquisition integration

TDG Risks

  • ! Negative stockholders equity of -$9.3B with $29.3B long-term debt creates extreme financial distress risk and technical insolvency from accounting perspective
  • ! Disconnect between 661.8% revenue growth and flat net income (+0.0% YoY) raises serious questions about earnings quality, acquisition integration costs, or non-recurring items
  • ! Unable to calculate meaningful ROE and debt-to-equity ratios due to negative equity, indicating balance sheet is severely impaired
  • ! High debt burden relative to operating cash flow may constrain strategic flexibility and create refinancing risk if credit conditions deteriorate

Key Metrics to Watch

TDG Financial Metrics

Revenue
$2.3B
Net Income
$445.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$6.62
Free Cash Flow
$772.0M
Total Assets
$23.8B
Cash Position
$2.5B

TDG Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 59.2%
Operating Margin 45.6%
Net Margin 19.5%
ROE N/A
ROA 1.9%
FCF Margin 33.8%

TDG Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.75x
Quick Ratio
1.81x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
139.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$29.3B

TDG 5-Year Financial Trend

TDG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $5.1B, Net Income $890.0M, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $5.4B, Net Income $699.0M, EPS $8.96. Year 2023: Revenue $6.6B, Net Income $680.0M, EPS $10.41. Year 2024: Revenue $7.9B, Net Income $866.0M, EPS $13.40.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: TransDigm Group INC's revenue has grown significantly by 56% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $22.03 reflects profitable operations.

TDG Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
33.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

TDG Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for TransDigm Group INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $2.0B $445.0M $6.62
Q3 2025 $2.0B $382.0M $7.96
Q2 2025 $1.9B $382.0M $6.97
Q1 2025 $1.8B $382.0M $4.87
Q3 2024 $1.7B $228.0M $6.14
Q2 2024 $1.6B $228.0M $5.32
Q1 2024 $1.4B $228.0M $3.33
Q3 2023 $1.4B $163.0M $4.10

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

TDG Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$832.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$106.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$60.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$59.0M
Returned to shareholders

TDG SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for TransDigm Group INC (CIK: 0001260221)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-27 | Powered by Claude AI