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PAYX Stock Analysis - PAYCHEX INC AI Rating

PAYX Nasdaq Services-Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management DE CIK: 0000723531
Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-11-30
AI Rating
BUY
78% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Paychex demonstrates strong fundamental health with exceptional profitability (25.2% net margin, 36% operating margin) and robust free cash flow generation ($1.0B FCF, 33.7% FCF margin). The company maintains solid financial leverage (1.28x D/E) with exceptional interest coverage (26.7x), indicating low financial stress despite moderate debt levels.

PAYX Strengths

  • + Outstanding net margin of 25.2% with 36% operating margin demonstrates pricing power and operational efficiency
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $1.0B representing 33.7% of revenue provides capital flexibility
  • + Excellent interest coverage ratio of 26.7x indicates minimal refinancing risk and substantial debt service capacity
  • + High ROE of 20.1% shows efficient use of shareholder capital
  • + Solid operating cash flow of $1.2B covers capex requirements 10x over

PAYX Risks

  • ! Modest revenue growth of 3.0% YoY suggests limited organic expansion in core markets
  • ! EPS declined 1.9% despite flat net income growth, indicating share dilution or increased share count
  • ! Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.28x is moderate but elevated relative to service industry peers, limiting additional leverage capacity
  • ! Current ratio of 1.27x is adequate but not exceptional, suggesting moderate liquidity constraints
  • ! Long-term debt of $5.0B represents 31% of total assets, concentrating financial leverage

Key Metrics to Watch

PAYX Financial Metrics

Revenue
$3.1B
Net Income
$779.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.16
Free Cash Flow
$1.0B
Total Assets
$16.5B
Cash Position
$1.5B

PAYX Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 36.0%
Net Margin 25.2%
ROE 20.1%
ROA 4.7%
FCF Margin 33.7%

PAYX Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.27x
Quick Ratio
1.27x
Debt/Equity
1.28x
Debt/Assets
76.5%
Interest Coverage
26.71x
Long-term Debt
$5.0B

PAYX 5-Year Financial Trend

PAYX 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $4.0B, Net Income N/A, EPS $2.86. Year 2022: Revenue $4.6B, Net Income N/A, EPS $3.04. Year 2023: Revenue $4.9B, Net Income N/A, EPS $3.03. Year 2024: Revenue $5.1B, Net Income $1.4B, EPS $3.84. Year 2025: Revenue $5.4B, Net Income $1.6B, EPS $4.30.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: PAYCHEX INC's revenue has grown significantly by 35% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $4.30 reflects profitable operations.

PAYX Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
33.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

PAYX Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for PAYCHEX INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $1.3B $395.4M $1.10
Q1 2026 $1.3B $383.8M $1.06
Q3 2025 $1.4B N/A $1.38
Q2 2025 $1.2B N/A $1.08
Q1 2025 $1.3B N/A $1.16
Q3 2024 $1.3B N/A $1.29
Q2 2024 $1.2B N/A $0.99
Q1 2024 $1.2B N/A $1.05

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

PAYX Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.2B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$286.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$118.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$777.0M
Returned to shareholders

PAYX SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for PAYCHEX INC (CIK: 0000723531)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-11-30 | Powered by Claude AI