← Back to All US Stocks

Geron Corp. (GERN) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

GERN Nasdaq Pharmaceutical Preparations DE CIK: 0000886744
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
78% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
SELL
78% Conf
SELL
77% Conf

📊 GERN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $51.8M
Net Margin: -7.0%
Free Cash Flow: $-63.6M
Current Ratio: 6.78x
Debt/Equity: 0.52x
EPS: $-0.01
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence
Geron Corp. (GERN) receives a SELL rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $51.8M, net profit margin of -7.0%, and return on equity (ROE) of -1.6%, Geron Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Healthcare sector. Below is our complete GERN stock analysis for 2026.

Is Geron Corp. (GERN) a Good Investment?

Claude

Geron demonstrates strong balance sheet liquidity but faces critical operational challenges with negative operating cash flow of -$62.9M despite generating $51.8M in revenue, signaling an unsustainable business model. At current cash burn rates, the company has approximately 1.1 years of financial runway despite $68.9M in cash reserves, requiring immediate achievement of cash flow breakeven or substantial revenue acceleration to avoid capital raise.

ChatGPT

Geron shows meaningful revenue generation and improved net loss versus the prior year, but the business remains deeply unprofitable with negative operating income, negative free cash flow, and weak interest coverage. Balance sheet liquidity ratios are currently solid, yet the combination of $77.56M in cash and $111.72M in annual free cash flow burn raises concern about funding durability and the quality of growth unless margins improve quickly.

Why Buy Geron Corp. Stock? GERN Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Excellent liquidity position with 6.78x current ratio and 4.96x quick ratio providing near-term financial flexibility
  • + Established revenue stream of $51.8M demonstrates commercialized products in market
  • + Conservative debt structure with 0.52x debt-to-equity ratio limiting financial leverage risk
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue has scaled to $135.87M, indicating commercial traction rather than a purely pre-revenue profile
  • + Net loss and diluted EPS improved materially year over year, suggesting operating progress
  • + Liquidity appears solid on the surface with a 4.66x current ratio and 3.62x quick ratio

GERN Stock Risks: Geron Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe negative operating cash flow of -$62.9M despite revenue generation indicates unsustainable unit economics and operational burn
  • ! Unprofitable on net basis with -$3.6M net loss and -7.0% net margin showing inability to convert revenue to earnings
  • ! Limited financial runway of approximately 13 months at current quarterly burn rate if no operational improvements achieved
ChatGPT
  • ! Profitability remains very weak, with -50.5% operating margin and -61.5% net margin
  • ! Cash generation is poor, with operating cash flow of -$111.04M and free cash flow of -$111.72M
  • ! Negative interest coverage and $119.55M of long-term debt increase financing and balance sheet risk if losses persist

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend - must achieve positive OCF within next 2-3 quarters
  • * Revenue growth acceleration - need to demonstrate path to $100M+ revenue to support current cost structure
  • * Cash balance depletion rate and timing of potential capital raise requirement
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow burn relative to cash on hand
  • * Operating margin improvement as revenue scales

Geron Corp. (GERN) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$51.8M
Net Income
$-3.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.01
Free Cash Flow
$-63.6M
Total Assets
$534.1M
Cash Position
$68.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 6.78x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

GERN Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 0.3%
Net Margin -7.0%
ROE -1.6%
ROA -0.7%
FCF Margin -122.7%

GERN vs Healthcare Sector: How Geron Corp. Compares

How Geron Corp. compares to Healthcare sector averages

Net Margin
GERN -7.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
GERN Sector
ROE
GERN -1.6%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
GERN Sector
Current Ratio
GERN 6.8x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
GERN Sector
Debt/Equity
GERN 0.5x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
GERN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Geron Corp. Stock Overvalued? GERN Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Geron Corp. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Healthcare sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-1.6%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-7.0%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.52x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Geron Corp. Balance Sheet: GERN Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
6.78x
Quick Ratio
4.96x
Debt/Equity
0.52x
Debt/Assets
57.1%
Interest Coverage
0.01x
Long-term Debt
$119.8M

GERN Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

GERN 5-year financial data: Year 2019: Revenue $1.1M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2020: Revenue $1.1M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2021: Revenue $1.4M, Net Income -$68.5M, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $1.4M, Net Income -$75.6M, EPS $-0.28. Year 2023: Revenue $1.4M, Net Income -$116.1M, EPS $-0.35.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Geron Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 31% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.32 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

GERN Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-122.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GERN Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Geron Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $39.6M -$3.6M $-0.01
Q3 2025 $28.3M -$16.4M $-0.03
Q2 2025 $882.0K -$16.4M $-0.02
Q1 2025 $304.0K -$19.8M $-0.03
Q3 2024 $164.0K -$26.4M $-0.04
Q2 2024 $29.0K -$38.1M $-0.09
Q1 2024 $21.0K -$38.1M $-0.07
Q3 2023 $164.0K -$28.1M $-0.08

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Geron Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$62.9M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$680.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

GERN SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Geron Corp. (CIK: 0000886744)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 6, 2026 10-Q gern-20260331.htm View →
Apr 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04152026_120410.xml View →
Apr 7, 2026 DEF 14A gern-20260407.htm View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-04012026_040401.xml View →
Mar 26, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-03262026_090305.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GERN

What is the AI rating for GERN?

Geron Corp. (GERN) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GERN's key strengths?

Claude: Excellent liquidity position with 6.78x current ratio and 4.96x quick ratio providing near-term financial flexibility. Established revenue stream of $51.8M demonstrates commercialized products in market. ChatGPT: Revenue has scaled to $135.87M, indicating commercial traction rather than a purely pre-revenue profile. Net loss and diluted EPS improved materially year over year, suggesting operating progress.

What are the risks of investing in GERN?

Claude: Severe negative operating cash flow of -$62.9M despite revenue generation indicates unsustainable unit economics and operational burn. Unprofitable on net basis with -$3.6M net loss and -7.0% net margin showing inability to convert revenue to earnings. ChatGPT: Profitability remains very weak, with -50.5% operating margin and -61.5% net margin. Cash generation is poor, with operating cash flow of -$111.04M and free cash flow of -$111.72M.

What is GERN's revenue and growth?

Geron Corp. reported revenue of $51.8M.

Does GERN pay dividends?

Geron Corp. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find GERN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Geron Corp. (CIK: 0000886744) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GERN's EPS?

Geron Corp. has a diluted EPS of $-0.01.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GERN a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Geron Corp. has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is GERN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GERN: ROE of -1.6% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -7.0% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy GERN stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Geron Corp. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GERN's free cash flow?

Geron Corp.'s operating cash flow is $-62.9M, with capital expenditures of $680.0K. FCF margin is -122.7%.

How does GERN compare to other Healthcare stocks?

Vs Healthcare sector averages: Net margin -7.0% (avg: 12%), ROE -1.6% (avg: 15%), current ratio 6.78 (avg: 2).

Top Rated Stocks
AAPL 92% MSFT 92% FAST 92% DT 92% DECK 92% DAVEW 92% CTAS 92% CRUS 92% CRMD 92% CRDO 92%
Sector: All Healthcare Stocks →
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI