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FATE Stock Analysis 2026 - FATE THERAPEUTICS INC AI Rating

FATE Nasdaq Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) CIK: 0001434316
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
STRONG SELL
92% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 FATE Key Takeaways

Revenue: $6.6M
Net Margin: -2,051.1%
Free Cash Flow: $-112.0M
Current Ratio: 5.79x
Debt/Equity: 0.07x
EPS: $-1.15
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence

Is FATE a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

FATE is a pre-revenue stage biotech company burning significant cash (-$106.1M operating CF) with collapsing revenues (-51.2% YoY) and extreme negative margins exceeding -2000%. The company faces a critical cash runway issue despite adequate liquidity, requiring substantial additional funding or clinical/commercial success to remain viable.

Why Buy FATE? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong liquidity position with 5.79x current ratio and $46.6M cash on hand
  • + Relatively low leverage with 0.07x debt-to-equity ratio providing financial flexibility
  • + Moderate long-term debt burden of only $14.0M limits near-term refinancing pressure

FATE Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Severe cash burn of $112.1M free cash flow with only ~5 quarters of cash runway at current burn rate
  • ! Revenue collapse of 51.2% YoY indicating clinical/commercial development setbacks or failed pipeline programs
  • ! Persistent unprofitability with operating losses of $147.7M and negative 2222% operating margin reflects fundamental business model challenges
  • ! Dilution risk from required capital raises to fund continued R&D and operations

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly cash burn trends and cash runway to next major catalysts
  • * Revenue trends - stabilization or further deterioration signals pipeline success/failure
  • * Operating cash flow and path to profitability timeline from management guidance
  • * Clinical trial progress and regulatory milestones for lead programs

FATE Financial Metrics

Revenue
$6.6M
Net Income
$-136.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$-1.15
Free Cash Flow
$-112.0M
Total Assets
$318.9M
Cash Position
$46.6M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 5.79x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

FATE Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -2,222.4%
Net Margin -2,051.1%
ROE -65.8%
ROA -42.7%
FCF Margin -1,685.8%

FATE vs Healthcare Sector

How FATE THERAPEUTICS INC compares to Healthcare sector averages

Net Margin
FATE -2,051.1%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
FATE Sector
ROE
FATE -65.8%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
FATE Sector
Current Ratio
FATE 5.8x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
FATE Sector
Debt/Equity
FATE 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
FATE Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is FATE Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, FATE THERAPEUTICS INC has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Healthcare sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-65.8%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-2,051.1%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.07x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

FATE Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
5.79x
Quick Ratio
5.79x
Debt/Equity
0.07x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$14.0M

FATE 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

FATE 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $55.8M, Net Income -$98.1M, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $96.3M, Net Income -$173.4M, EPS $-2.10. Year 2023: Revenue $96.3M, Net Income -$281.7M, EPS $-2.91. Year 2024: Revenue $63.5M, Net Income -$160.9M, EPS $-1.64. Year 2025: Revenue $13.6M, Net Income -$186.3M, EPS $-1.64.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: FATE THERAPEUTICS INC's revenue has declined by 76% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-1.64 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

FATE Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-1,685.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

FATE Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for FATE THERAPEUTICS INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $1.7M -$32.3M $-0.27
Q2 2025 $1.9M -$34.1M $-0.29
Q1 2025 $1.6M -$37.6M $-0.32
Q3 2024 $1.9M -$18.9M $-0.40
Q2 2024 $933.0K -$18.9M $-0.33
Q1 2024 $1.9M -$18.9M $-0.19
Q3 2023 $1.9M -$18.9M $-0.46
Q2 2023 $933.0K -$18.9M $-0.54

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

FATE Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$106.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$7.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$6.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

FATE SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for FATE THERAPEUTICS INC (CIK: 0001434316)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Feb 26, 2026 10-K fate-20251231.htm View →
Feb 26, 2026 8-K fate-20260226.htm View →
Jan 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Jan 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Jan 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FATE

What is the AI rating for FATE?

FATE THERAPEUTICS INC (FATE) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 92% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FATE's key strengths?

Claude: Strong liquidity position with 5.79x current ratio and $46.6M cash on hand. Relatively low leverage with 0.07x debt-to-equity ratio providing financial flexibility.

What are the risks of investing in FATE?

Claude: Severe cash burn of $112.1M free cash flow with only ~5 quarters of cash runway at current burn rate. Revenue collapse of 51.2% YoY indicating clinical/commercial development setbacks or failed pipeline programs.

What is FATE's revenue and growth?

FATE THERAPEUTICS INC reported revenue of $6.6M.

Does FATE pay dividends?

FATE THERAPEUTICS INC does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find FATE SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for FATE THERAPEUTICS INC (CIK: 0001434316) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FATE's EPS?

FATE THERAPEUTICS INC has a diluted EPS of $-1.15.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is FATE a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, FATE THERAPEUTICS INC has a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is FATE stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FATE: ROE of -65.8% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -2,051.1% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy FATE stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives FATE THERAPEUTICS INC a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FATE's free cash flow?

FATE THERAPEUTICS INC's operating cash flow is $-106.1M, with capital expenditures of $6.0M. FCF margin is -1,685.8%.

How does FATE compare to other Healthcare stocks?

Vs Healthcare sector averages: Net margin -2,051.1% (avg: 12%), ROE -65.8% (avg: 15%), current ratio 5.79 (avg: 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI