📊 EXE Key Takeaways
Is EXE a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis
EXPAND ENERGY demonstrates exceptional operational performance with 186% revenue growth, robust 20.4% operating margins, and strong cash generation (4.6B operating cash flow). The company maintains healthy financial leverage (0.27x debt/equity) with outstanding interest coverage (130.1x), positioning it well for continued capital deployment and shareholder returns.
Why Buy EXE? Key Strengths
- Exceptional revenue growth of 186% YoY with significant operating leverage producing 20.4% operating margins
- Strong cash generation with 4.6B operating cash flow and 15.2% FCF margin, enabling debt reduction and capital flexibility
- Conservative capital structure with 0.27x debt/equity ratio and 130x interest coverage providing significant financial flexibility
- Improved diluted EPS of 7.57 (+266% YoY) despite flat net income suggests effective capital structure management
- Solid balance sheet with 18.6B equity and positive free cash flow of 1.8B supporting long-term value creation
EXE Investment Risks to Consider
- Critically tight liquidity with current ratio of 1.01x and quick ratio of 1.00x suggests minimal working capital buffer for operational disruptions
- Low gross margin of 6.1% despite high operating margin indicates significant fixed costs and potential vulnerability to commodity price volatility
- Operating leverage works both ways - revenue contraction could rapidly compress margins given the cost structure
- Commodity price dependency in crude petroleum and natural gas sector creates earnings and cash flow volatility
- 11 Form 4 filings in 90 days may indicate insider uncertainty or significant equity compensation dilution
Key Metrics to Watch
- Working capital trends and cash conversion cycle to address liquidity concerns
- Operating cash flow sustainability and free cash flow generation as commodity prices fluctuate
- Debt levels and leverage ratios to ensure financial stability during industry downturns
- Gross margin expansion potential through operational efficiency and cost management
- Capital allocation decisions and shareholder return mechanisms
EXE Financial Metrics
💡 AI Analyst Insight
EXPAND ENERGY Corp presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.
EXE Profitability Ratios
EXE vs Energy Sector
How EXPAND ENERGY Corp compares to Energy sector averages
Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.
Is EXE Overvalued or Undervalued?
Based on fundamental analysis, EXPAND ENERGY Corp has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Energy sector in 2026.
Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.
EXE Balance Sheet & Liquidity
EXE 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis
5-Year Trend Summary: EXPAND ENERGY Corp's revenue has grown significantly by 42% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $16.92 reflects profitable operations.
EXE Growth Metrics (YoY)
EXE Quarterly Performance
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $648.0M | $26.0M | $-0.85 |
| Q2 2025 | $505.0M | $26.0M | $-1.53 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | $26.0M | $0.18 |
| Q3 2024 | $648.0M | $26.0M | $0.49 |
| Q2 2024 | $505.0M | $26.0M | $-1.53 |
| Q1 2024 | $1.1B | $26.0M | $0.18 |
| Q3 2023 | $1.5B | $70.0M | $0.49 |
| Q2 2023 | $1.9B | $391.0M | $2.73 |
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.
EXE Capital Allocation
EXE SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis
Access official SEC EDGAR filings for EXPAND ENERGY Corp (CIK: 0000895126)
📋 Recent SEC Filings
| Date | Form | Document | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 4 | xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773695025.xml | View → |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 4 | xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773694348.xml | View → |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 4 | xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773694203.xml | View → |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 4 | xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773694107.xml | View → |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 4 | xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773694064.xml | View → |
❓ Frequently Asked Questions about EXE
What is the AI rating for EXE?
EXPAND ENERGY Corp (EXE) has an AI rating of STRONG BUY with 82% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.
What are EXE's key strengths?
Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 186% YoY with significant operating leverage producing 20.4% operating margins. Strong cash generation with 4.6B operating cash flow and 15.2% FCF margin, enabling debt reduction and capital flexibility.
What are the risks of investing in EXE?
Claude: Critically tight liquidity with current ratio of 1.01x and quick ratio of 1.00x suggests minimal working capital buffer for operational disruptions. Low gross margin of 6.1% despite high operating margin indicates significant fixed costs and potential vulnerability to commodity price volatility.
What is EXE's revenue and growth?
EXPAND ENERGY Corp reported revenue of $12.1B.
Does EXE pay dividends?
EXPAND ENERGY Corp pays dividends, with $765.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.
Where can I find EXE SEC filings?
Official SEC filings for EXPAND ENERGY Corp (CIK: 0000895126) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.
What is EXE's EPS?
EXPAND ENERGY Corp has a diluted EPS of $7.57.
How is the AI analysis conducted?
Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.
Is EXE a good stock to buy right now?
Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, EXPAND ENERGY Corp has a STRONG BUY rating with 82% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.
Is EXE stock overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation metrics for EXE: ROE of 9.8% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 15.0% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.
Should I buy EXE stock in 2026?
Our dual AI analysis gives EXPAND ENERGY Corp a combined STRONG BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.
What is EXE's free cash flow?
EXPAND ENERGY Corp's operating cash flow is $4.6B, with capital expenditures of $2.7B. FCF margin is 15.2%.
How does EXE compare to other Energy stocks?
Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin 15.0% (avg: 12%), ROE 9.8% (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.01 (avg: 1.3).