📊 EXE Key Takeaways
Is EXPAND ENERGY Corp (EXE) a Good Investment?
EXPAND ENERGY demonstrates exceptional operational efficiency with 26.4% net margins and strong cash conversion (38.5% FCF margin), supported by conservative leverage (0.26x D/E) and fortress-like interest coverage (80.6x). However, the 186% revenue growth and 266% EPS growth are likely commodity-price-driven and unsustainable at current levels, warranting a measured approach rather than aggressive positioning.
Expand Energy shows solid fundamental strength through strong operating cash flow, positive free cash flow, low leverage, and very high interest coverage, which support financial resilience. Revenue growth was extremely strong, but flat net income alongside a very low gross margin suggests the growth quality is mixed and may reflect cost pressure, integration effects, or commodity-driven volatility. Overall, the balance sheet and cash generation are strong enough to support a constructive view, but margin durability remains the key question.
Why Buy EXPAND ENERGY Corp Stock? EXE Key Strengths
- Exceptional net margin of 26.4% and operating margin of 34.8% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency
- Fortress balance sheet with 0.26x debt-to-equity ratio and 80.6x interest coverage provides significant financial flexibility
- Strong free cash flow generation of $1.7B (38.5% FCF margin) indicates high-quality earnings and effective capital allocation
- Strong cash generation with $4.58B in operating cash flow and $1.84B in free cash flow
- Conservative leverage profile with debt-to-equity of 0.27x and long-term debt manageable relative to equity
- High earnings support capacity shown by 130.1x interest coverage and double-digit operating margin
EXE Stock Risks: EXPAND ENERGY Corp Investment Risks
- Revenue and earnings growth heavily dependent on crude oil and natural gas commodity prices; current 186% YoY growth likely unsustainable if energy prices normalize
- Thin 16.8% gross margin indicates vulnerability to input cost volatility and commodity price downturns
- Modest current ratio of 1.11x suggests limited working capital cushion; balance sheet strength concentrated in long-term assets
- Revenue surged 186.3% YoY but net income was flat, indicating weaker earnings conversion and mixed growth quality
- Gross margin of 6.1% is thin for the scale of revenue and leaves limited cushion against cost or commodity swings
- Liquidity is only adequate with a current ratio of 1.01x and cash of $616M, reducing short-term flexibility
Key Metrics to Watch
- Sustainability of net margins as commodity prices fluctuate; monitor if net margin contracts below 15%
- Operating cash flow stability and free cash flow generation in lower commodity price environments
- Capital allocation decisions and whether management returns excess cash to shareholders or invests in production growth
- Gross margin and net income conversion on future revenue growth
- Free cash flow after capital expenditures and working capital changes
EXPAND ENERGY Corp (EXE) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios
💡 AI Analyst Insight
The 38.5% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments.
EXE Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis
EXE vs Energy Sector: How EXPAND ENERGY Corp Compares
How EXPAND ENERGY Corp compares to Energy sector averages
Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.
Is EXPAND ENERGY Corp Stock Overvalued? EXE Valuation Analysis 2026
Based on fundamental analysis, EXPAND ENERGY Corp has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Energy sector in 2026.
Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.
EXPAND ENERGY Corp Balance Sheet: EXE Debt, Cash & Liquidity
EXE Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend
5-Year Trend Summary: EXPAND ENERGY Corp's revenue has grown significantly by 42% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $16.92 reflects profitable operations.
EXE Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance
EXE Quarterly Earnings & Performance
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $2.2B | -$249.0M | $-1.06 |
| Q3 2025 | $648.0M | $26.0M | $-0.85 |
| Q2 2025 | $505.0M | $26.0M | $-1.53 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | $26.0M | $0.18 |
| Q3 2024 | $648.0M | $26.0M | $0.49 |
| Q2 2024 | $505.0M | $26.0M | $-1.53 |
| Q1 2024 | $1.1B | $26.0M | $0.18 |
| Q3 2023 | $1.5B | $70.0M | $0.49 |
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.
EXPAND ENERGY Corp Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation
EXE SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis
Access official SEC EDGAR filings for EXPAND ENERGY Corp (CIK: 0000895126)
📋 Recent SEC Filings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions about EXE
What is the AI rating for EXE?
EXPAND ENERGY Corp (EXE) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (BUY) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.
What are EXE's key strengths?
Claude: Exceptional net margin of 26.4% and operating margin of 34.8% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency. Fortress balance sheet with 0.26x debt-to-equity ratio and 80.6x interest coverage provides significant financial flexibility. ChatGPT: Strong cash generation with $4.58B in operating cash flow and $1.84B in free cash flow. Conservative leverage profile with debt-to-equity of 0.27x and long-term debt manageable relative to equity.
What are the risks of investing in EXE?
Claude: Revenue and earnings growth heavily dependent on crude oil and natural gas commodity prices; current 186% YoY growth likely unsustainable if energy prices normalize. Thin 16.8% gross margin indicates vulnerability to input cost volatility and commodity price downturns. ChatGPT: Revenue surged 186.3% YoY but net income was flat, indicating weaker earnings conversion and mixed growth quality. Gross margin of 6.1% is thin for the scale of revenue and leaves limited cushion against cost or commodity swings.
What is EXE's revenue and growth?
EXPAND ENERGY Corp reported revenue of $4.4B.
Does EXE pay dividends?
EXPAND ENERGY Corp pays dividends, with $141.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.
Where can I find EXE SEC filings?
Official SEC filings for EXPAND ENERGY Corp (CIK: 0000895126) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.
What is EXE's EPS?
EXPAND ENERGY Corp has a diluted EPS of $4.81.
How is the AI analysis conducted?
Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.
Is EXE a good stock to buy right now?
Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, EXPAND ENERGY Corp has a BUY rating with 78% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.
Is EXE stock overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation metrics for EXE: ROE of 5.9% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 26.4% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.
Should I buy EXE stock in 2026?
Our dual AI analysis gives EXPAND ENERGY Corp a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.
What is EXE's free cash flow?
EXPAND ENERGY Corp's operating cash flow is $2.4B, with capital expenditures of $707.0M. FCF margin is 38.5%.
How does EXE compare to other Energy stocks?
Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin 26.4% (avg: 12%), ROE 5.9% (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.11 (avg: 1.3).