← Back to All US Stocks

MTDR Stock Analysis 2026 - Matador Resources Co AI Rating

MTDR NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas TX CIK: 0001520006
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 2, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
62% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MTDR Key Takeaways

Revenue: $3.7B
Net Margin: 20.5%
Free Cash Flow: $269.6M
Current Ratio: 0.79x
Debt/Equity: 0.60x
EPS: $6.09
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Is MTDR a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Matador Resources demonstrates solid operational profitability with a 33.2% operating margin and strong free cash flow generation of $269.6M, supported by healthy interest coverage of 11.0x. However, declining net income (-11.8% YoY) and EPS (-14.7% YoY) despite flat revenue growth, combined with weak liquidity (0.79x current ratio) and minimal cash reserves, create concerns about capital allocation and financial flexibility.

Why Buy MTDR? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong operating margin of 33.2% reflects efficient core business operations
  • + Robust free cash flow generation of $2.4B operating cash flow with 7.3% FCF margin provides capital for shareholder returns and debt reduction
  • + Conservative debt/equity ratio of 0.60x and solid interest coverage of 11.0x indicate manageable leverage and debt service capacity
  • + Substantial asset base of $11.7B with stockholders' equity of $5.7B provides operational foundation

MTDR Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Declining profitability with net income down 11.8% and EPS down 14.7% YoY signals operational headwinds despite stable revenue
  • ! Critically weak liquidity position with current ratio of 0.79x and only $15.3M cash on hand creates vulnerability to working capital stress or commodity price shocks
  • ! High capital intensity with $2.2B capex consuming 92% of operating cash flow limits financial flexibility and growth optionality
  • ! Revenue growth of only 1.1% YoY indicates mature/stagnant market position in cyclical commodity sector

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Trend in net income and EPS recovery or deterioration in next reporting periods
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and allocation between debt reduction and shareholder returns
  • * Current ratio improvement and cash position build given liquidity concerns
  • * Operating margin sustainability amid commodity price volatility

MTDR Financial Metrics

Revenue
$3.7B
Net Income
$759.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$6.09
Free Cash Flow
$269.6M
Total Assets
$11.7B
Cash Position
$15.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MTDR Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 33.2%
Net Margin 20.5%
ROE 13.4%
ROA 6.5%
FCF Margin 7.3%

MTDR vs Energy Sector

How Matador Resources Co compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
MTDR 20.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MTDR Sector
ROE
MTDR 13.4%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
MTDR Sector
Current Ratio
MTDR 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
MTDR Sector
Debt/Equity
MTDR 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
MTDR Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MTDR Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Matador Resources Co has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
13.4%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
20.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.60x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MTDR Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.79x
Quick Ratio
0.79x
Debt/Equity
0.60x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
10.98x
Long-term Debt
$3.4B

MTDR 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MTDR 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.9B, Net Income $87.8M, EPS $0.75. Year 2022: Revenue $3.2B, Net Income -$593.2M, EPS $-5.11. Year 2023: Revenue $3.2B, Net Income $585.0M, EPS $4.91. Year 2024: Revenue $3.5B, Net Income $1.2B, EPS $10.11. Year 2025: Revenue $3.7B, Net Income $846.1M, EPS $7.05.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Matador Resources Co's revenue has grown significantly by 96% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $7.05 reflects profitable operations.

MTDR Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
7.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MTDR Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Matador Resources Co including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $860.1M $176.4M $1.42
Q2 2025 $855.2M $150.2M $1.21
Q1 2025 $785.3M $193.7M $1.61
Q3 2024 $771.8M $248.3M $1.99
Q2 2024 $649.9M $164.7M $1.37
Q1 2024 $563.7M $163.1M $1.36
Q3 2023 $771.8M $263.7M $2.20
Q2 2023 $649.9M $164.7M $1.37

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MTDR Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$2.4B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$55.8M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$2.2B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$163.1M
Returned to shareholders

MTDR SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Matador Resources Co (CIK: 0001520006)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773142013.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 8-K tm268001d1_8k.htm View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772540467.xml View →
Feb 27, 2026 8-K tm267312d2_8k.htm View →
Feb 26, 2026 8-K tm267312d1_8k.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MTDR

What is the AI rating for MTDR?

Matador Resources Co (MTDR) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MTDR's key strengths?

Claude: Strong operating margin of 33.2% reflects efficient core business operations. Robust free cash flow generation of $2.4B operating cash flow with 7.3% FCF margin provides capital for shareholder returns and debt reduction.

What are the risks of investing in MTDR?

Claude: Declining profitability with net income down 11.8% and EPS down 14.7% YoY signals operational headwinds despite stable revenue. Critically weak liquidity position with current ratio of 0.79x and only $15.3M cash on hand creates vulnerability to working capital stress or commodity price shocks.

What is MTDR's revenue and growth?

Matador Resources Co reported revenue of $3.7B.

Does MTDR pay dividends?

Matador Resources Co pays dividends, with $163.1M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MTDR SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Matador Resources Co (CIK: 0001520006) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MTDR's EPS?

Matador Resources Co has a diluted EPS of $6.09.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MTDR a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Matador Resources Co has a HOLD rating with 62% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MTDR stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MTDR: ROE of 13.4% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 20.5% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MTDR stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Matador Resources Co a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MTDR's free cash flow?

Matador Resources Co's operating cash flow is $2.4B, with capital expenditures of $2.2B. FCF margin is 7.3%.

How does MTDR compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin 20.5% (avg: 12%), ROE 13.4% (avg: 14%), current ratio 0.79 (avg: 1.3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 2, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI