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Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

REPX NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas DE CIK: 0001001614
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
78% Confidence
DISAGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
85% Conf
BUY
72% Conf

📊 REPX Key Takeaways

Revenue: $113.9M
Net Margin: -61.8%
Free Cash Flow: $47.1M
Current Ratio: 0.32x
Debt/Equity: 0.43x
EPS: $-3.38
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 85% confidence
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) receives a SELL rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $113.9M, net profit margin of -61.8%, and return on equity (ROE) of -12.7%, Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Energy sector. Below is our complete REPX stock analysis for 2026.

Is Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) a Good Investment?

Claude

Riley Exploration Permian exhibits severe financial distress with critical liquidity shortfall (current ratio 0.32x), despite generating positive operating cash flow. The $70.4M net loss starkly contrasts operating income of $43.7M, signaling material non-operating charges or impairments that have materially eroded shareholder value. Declining revenue and severely constrained cash position (15.8M) relative to liabilities present existential solvency risk.

ChatGPT

REPX shows strong operating profitability and returns (34% operating margin, 25.4% ROE) with moderate leverage, producing robust operating cash flow. Despite a small revenue decline, earnings expanded sharply—likely helped by non-operating items and efficiencies—while the balance sheet remains manageable. Monitor liquidity and reinvestment discipline to sustain production and margins.

Why Buy Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Stock? REPX Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $47.1M with 41.4% FCF margin demonstrates underlying asset quality and operational cash generation capability
  • + Moderate leverage with 0.43x debt-to-equity ratio and 8.1x interest coverage ratio provides some debt service flexibility
  • + Positive operating income of $43.7M and 38.3% operating margin indicate core extraction operations remain profitable
ChatGPT
  • + High profitability with 34% operating margin and 41% net margin
  • + Strong operating cash flow and high FCF margin
  • + Moderate leverage (0.39x D/E) and solid ROE (25.4%)

REPX Stock Risks: Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical liquidity crisis: current ratio of 0.32x and quick ratio of 0.29x indicate severe inability to meet short-term obligations; cash position of $15.8M vs $626.6M total liabilities creates imminent solvency risk
  • ! Unexplained $70.4M net loss despite positive $43.7M operating income signals material non-operating charges, impairments, or financial restructuring that have destroyed $123M+ of earnings quality
  • ! Revenue declining 4.4% YoY with negative ROE (-12.7%) and ROA (-6.0%) indicate deteriorating operational and financial performance trajectory
ChatGPT
  • ! Tight liquidity (0.60x current ratio) and low cash balance
  • ! Net margin may reflect non-operating gains/hedging or tax effects
  • ! Very low reported capex suggests underinvestment risk to production sustainability

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Current ratio and cash balance - any further deterioration would indicate immediate default risk
  • * Nature and recurrence of non-operating charges creating the $70.4M loss differential from operating income
  • * Revenue stabilization and capital expenditure trends - current $47K capex is suspiciously minimal and warrants investigation
ChatGPT
  • * Capex-to-Operating-Cash-Flow (reinvestment rate)
  • * Current ratio and liquidity headroom

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$113.9M
Net Income
$-70.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$-3.38
Free Cash Flow
$47.1M
Total Assets
$1.2B
Cash Position
$15.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 41.4% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

REPX Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 38.3%
Net Margin -61.8%
ROE -12.7%
ROA -6.0%
FCF Margin 41.4%

REPX vs Energy Sector: How Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Compares

How Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
REPX -61.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
REPX Sector
ROE
REPX -12.7%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
REPX Sector
Current Ratio
REPX 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
REPX Sector
Debt/Equity
REPX 0.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
REPX Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Stock Overvalued? REPX Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-12.7%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-61.8%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.43x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Balance Sheet: REPX Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.32x
Quick Ratio
0.29x
Debt/Equity
0.43x
Debt/Assets
53.1%
Interest Coverage
8.14x
Long-term Debt
$240.7M

REPX Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

REPX 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $151.0M, Net Income $35.1M, EPS $2.13. Year 2022: Revenue $321.7M, Net Income -$65.7M, EPS $-4.19. Year 2023: Revenue $375.0M, Net Income $118.0M, EPS $5.99. Year 2024: Revenue $410.2M, Net Income $111.6M, EPS $5.58. Year 2025: Revenue $410.2M, Net Income $111.6M, EPS $5.58.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 172% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.58 reflects profitable operations.

REPX Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
41.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

REPX Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $102.5M $28.6M $1.36
Q3 2025 $102.3M $16.3M $0.77
Q2 2025 $85.4M $18.8M $1.44
Q1 2025 $99.7M $18.8M $0.94
Q3 2024 $102.3M $8.6M $0.43
Q2 2024 $99.9M $18.8M $1.59
Q1 2024 $67.0M $18.8M $0.94
Q3 2023 $88.1M -$7.2M $0.43

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$47.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$4.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$47.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$8.4M
Returned to shareholders

REPX SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (CIK: 0001001614)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779203412.xml View →
May 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779203406.xml View →
May 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779203400.xml View →
May 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779203394.xml View →
May 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779203389.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about REPX

What is the AI rating for REPX?

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are REPX's key strengths?

Claude: Strong free cash flow generation of $47.1M with 41.4% FCF margin demonstrates underlying asset quality and operational cash generation capability. Moderate leverage with 0.43x debt-to-equity ratio and 8.1x interest coverage ratio provides some debt service flexibility. ChatGPT: High profitability with 34% operating margin and 41% net margin. Strong operating cash flow and high FCF margin.

What are the risks of investing in REPX?

Claude: Critical liquidity crisis: current ratio of 0.32x and quick ratio of 0.29x indicate severe inability to meet short-term obligations; cash position of $15.8M vs $626.6M total liabilities creates imminent solvency risk. Unexplained $70.4M net loss despite positive $43.7M operating income signals material non-operating charges, impairments, or financial restructuring that have destroyed $123M+ of earnings quality. ChatGPT: Tight liquidity (0.60x current ratio) and low cash balance. Net margin may reflect non-operating gains/hedging or tax effects.

What is REPX's revenue and growth?

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. reported revenue of $113.9M.

Does REPX pay dividends?

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. pays dividends, with $8.4M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find REPX SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (CIK: 0001001614) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is REPX's EPS?

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-3.38.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is REPX a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is REPX stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for REPX: ROE of -12.7% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -61.8% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy REPX stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is REPX's free cash flow?

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $47.2M, with capital expenditures of $47.0K. FCF margin is 41.4%.

How does REPX compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin -61.8% (avg: 12%), ROE -12.7% (avg: 14%), current ratio 0.32 (avg: 1.3).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI