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REPX Stock Analysis 2026 - Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. AI Rating

REPX NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas DE CIK: 0001001614
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 REPX Key Takeaways

Revenue: $392.0M
Net Margin: 41.0%
Free Cash Flow: $212.5M
Current Ratio: 0.60x
Debt/Equity: 0.39x
EPS: $7.59
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence

Is REPX a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Riley Exploration delivers exceptional profitability (41% net margin, 34% operating margin) with robust cash generation ($212.5M operating CF, 54.2% FCF margin) and outstanding returns on equity (25.4%). However, revenue contraction (-4.4% YoY), dangerously low liquidity (0.60x current ratio), and minimal cash reserves ($17.9M) indicate vulnerability to commodity cycle downturns and refinancing risks.

Why Buy REPX? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional profitability with 41% net margin and 34% operating margin indicating strong operational efficiency
  • + Outstanding cash generation with $212.5M operating cash flow and 54.2% FCF margin demonstrating high-quality earnings
  • + Excellent capital returns with 25.4% ROE and 13.8% ROA showing efficient asset deployment
  • + Net income and EPS growth of ~80% YoY despite flat/declining revenues shows margin expansion
  • + Moderate leverage at 0.39x Debt/Equity provides debt service capacity with 4.7x interest coverage

REPX Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Critical liquidity position: Current ratio of 0.60x and quick ratio of 0.55x cannot cover short-term obligations
  • ! Minimal cash position of $17.9M relative to $535.3M liabilities and $247.9M long-term debt creates refinancing risk
  • ! Revenue decline of 4.4% YoY in cyclical commodity business suggests margins may not be sustainable
  • ! Extreme profitability likely driven by commodity price peaks; earnings compression probable in downturn
  • ! Very low capex of $47.0K raises underinvestment concerns and sustainability of future production

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly revenue trends and commodity price exposure
  • * Cash balance and working capital changes
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and capital allocation
  • * Debt maturity schedule and refinancing requirements
  • * Capital expenditure plans and production maintenance spending

REPX Financial Metrics

Revenue
$392.0M
Net Income
$160.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$7.59
Free Cash Flow
$212.5M
Total Assets
$1.2B
Cash Position
$17.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 54.2% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

REPX Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 34.0%
Net Margin 41.0%
ROE 25.4%
ROA 13.8%
FCF Margin 54.2%

REPX vs Energy Sector

How Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
REPX 41.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
REPX Sector
ROE
REPX 25.4%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
REPX Sector
Current Ratio
REPX 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
REPX Sector
Debt/Equity
REPX 0.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
REPX Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is REPX Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. appears fundamentally strong relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
25.4%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
41.0%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.39x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

REPX Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.60x
Quick Ratio
0.55x
Debt/Equity
0.39x
Debt/Assets
45.8%
Interest Coverage
4.71x
Long-term Debt
$247.9M

REPX 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

REPX 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $151.0M, Net Income $35.1M, EPS $2.13. Year 2022: Revenue $321.7M, Net Income -$65.7M, EPS $-4.19. Year 2023: Revenue $375.0M, Net Income $118.0M, EPS $5.99. Year 2024: Revenue $410.2M, Net Income $111.6M, EPS $5.58. Year 2025: Revenue $410.2M, Net Income $111.6M, EPS $5.58.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 172% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.58 reflects profitable operations.

REPX Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
54.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

REPX Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $102.3M $16.3M $0.77
Q2 2025 $85.4M $18.8M $1.44
Q1 2025 $99.7M $18.8M $0.94
Q3 2024 $102.3M $8.6M $0.43
Q2 2024 $99.9M $18.8M $1.59
Q1 2024 $67.0M $18.8M $0.94
Q3 2023 $88.1M -$7.2M $0.43
Q2 2023 $88.4M -$7.2M $1.60

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

REPX Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$212.5M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$47.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$33.3M
Returned to shareholders

REPX SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (CIK: 0001001614)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775251016.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775248476.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775248399.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775248329.xml View →
Apr 3, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775248292.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about REPX

What is the AI rating for REPX?

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) has an AI rating of BUY with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are REPX's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional profitability with 41% net margin and 34% operating margin indicating strong operational efficiency. Outstanding cash generation with $212.5M operating cash flow and 54.2% FCF margin demonstrating high-quality earnings.

What are the risks of investing in REPX?

Claude: Critical liquidity position: Current ratio of 0.60x and quick ratio of 0.55x cannot cover short-term obligations. Minimal cash position of $17.9M relative to $535.3M liabilities and $247.9M long-term debt creates refinancing risk.

What is REPX's revenue and growth?

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. reported revenue of $392.0M.

Does REPX pay dividends?

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. pays dividends, with $33.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find REPX SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (CIK: 0001001614) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is REPX's EPS?

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $7.59.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is REPX a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. has a BUY rating with 72% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is REPX stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for REPX: ROE of 25.4% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 41.0% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy REPX stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is REPX's free cash flow?

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $212.5M, with capital expenditures of $47.0K. FCF margin is 54.2%.

How does REPX compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin 41.0% (avg: 12%), ROE 25.4% (avg: 14%), current ratio 0.60 (avg: 1.3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI