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EGY Stock Analysis 2026 - VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/ AI Rating

EGY NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas DE CIK: 0000894627
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
75% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 EGY Key Takeaways

Revenue: $359.3M
Net Margin: -11.5%
Free Cash Flow: $209.7M
Current Ratio: 0.69x
Debt/Equity: 0.14x
EPS: $-0.40
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence

Is EGY a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

VAALCO Energy faces significant operational challenges with negative net income (-$41.4M), negative operating margin (-5.7%), and deteriorating revenue (-25% YoY), indicating fundamental business weakness in the current commodity environment. While the company maintains positive free cash flow ($209.7M) and manageable leverage (0.14x debt/equity), the negative profitability metrics, weak liquidity position (0.69x current ratio), and poor interest coverage (-142.1x) suggest structural profitability issues that outweigh the strong cash generation.

Why Buy EGY? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation at $209.7M despite operational losses, providing financial flexibility
  • + Conservative debt structure with only $60M long-term debt and 0.14x debt/equity ratio
  • + Strong free cash flow margin of 58.4% demonstrates capital-efficient operations when adjusted for losses

EGY Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Negative profitability with -$11.5% net margin and -9.3% ROE indicating the core business is not generating shareholder returns
  • ! Severe liquidity stress with current ratio of 0.69x suggesting potential difficulty meeting short-term obligations
  • ! Sharp revenue decline of 25% year-over-year combined with negative interest coverage ratio of -142.1x indicates operational distress and inability to service debt from earnings
  • ! Zero insider purchases in last 90 days suggests management lacks confidence in near-term recovery

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Return to operating profitability and path to positive net income margins
  • * Revenue stabilization and return to growth trajectory
  • * Liquidity improvement with current ratio moving above 1.0x
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and working capital trends

EGY Financial Metrics

Revenue
$359.3M
Net Income
$-41.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.40
Free Cash Flow
$209.7M
Total Assets
$913.4M
Cash Position
$58.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 58.4% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

EGY Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -5.7%
Net Margin -11.5%
ROE -9.3%
ROA -4.5%
FCF Margin 58.4%

EGY vs Energy Sector

How VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/ compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
EGY -11.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
EGY Sector
ROE
EGY -9.3%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
EGY Sector
Current Ratio
EGY 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
EGY Sector
Debt/Equity
EGY 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
EGY Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is EGY Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/ has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-9.3%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-11.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.14x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

EGY Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.69x
Quick Ratio
0.69x
Debt/Equity
0.14x
Debt/Assets
51.4%
Interest Coverage
-142.12x
Long-term Debt
$60.0M

EGY 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

EGY 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $199.1M, Net Income $2.6M, EPS $0.04. Year 2022: Revenue $354.3M, Net Income -$48.2M, EPS $-0.83. Year 2023: Revenue $455.1M, Net Income $81.8M, EPS $1.37. Year 2024: Revenue $479.0M, Net Income $51.9M, EPS $0.73. Year 2025: Revenue $479.0M, Net Income $60.4M, EPS $0.56.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/'s revenue has grown significantly by 141% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.56 reflects profitable operations.

EGY Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
58.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

EGY Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/ including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $61.0M $1.1M $0.01
Q2 2025 $96.9M $7.7M $0.08
Q1 2025 $100.2M $7.7M $0.07
Q3 2024 $116.3M $3.5M $0.06
Q2 2024 $109.2M $3.5M $0.06
Q1 2024 $80.4M $3.5M $0.03
Q3 2023 $78.1M $3.5M $0.06
Q2 2023 $109.2M $3.5M $0.06

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

EGY Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$212.7M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$709.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$3.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$26.5M
Returned to shareholders

EGY SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/ (CIK: 0000894627)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 20, 2026 10-K/A egy-20251231.htm View →
Mar 16, 2026 10-K egy-20251231.htm View →
Mar 12, 2026 8-K egy-20260312.htm View →
Feb 10, 2026 8-K egy-20260204.htm View →
Jan 15, 2026 8-K egy-20260115.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about EGY

What is the AI rating for EGY?

VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/ (EGY) has an AI rating of SELL with 75% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are EGY's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation at $209.7M despite operational losses, providing financial flexibility. Conservative debt structure with only $60M long-term debt and 0.14x debt/equity ratio.

What are the risks of investing in EGY?

Claude: Negative profitability with -$11.5% net margin and -9.3% ROE indicating the core business is not generating shareholder returns. Severe liquidity stress with current ratio of 0.69x suggesting potential difficulty meeting short-term obligations.

What is EGY's revenue and growth?

VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/ reported revenue of $359.3M.

Does EGY pay dividends?

VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/ pays dividends, with $26.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find EGY SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/ (CIK: 0000894627) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is EGY's EPS?

VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/ has a diluted EPS of $-0.40.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is EGY a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/ has a SELL rating with 75% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is EGY stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for EGY: ROE of -9.3% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -11.5% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy EGY stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/ a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is EGY's free cash flow?

VAALCO ENERGY INC /DE/'s operating cash flow is $212.7M, with capital expenditures of $3.0M. FCF margin is 58.4%.

How does EGY compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin -11.5% (avg: 12%), ROE -9.3% (avg: 14%), current ratio 0.69 (avg: 1.3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI