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Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

EBS NYSE Pharmaceutical Preparations DE CIK: 0001367644
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
78% Confidence
NEUTRAL
STRONG SELL
85% Conf
HOLD
72% Conf

📊 EBS Key Takeaways

Revenue: $156.1M
Net Margin: 4.4%
Free Cash Flow: $-36.2M
Current Ratio: 4.29x
Debt/Equity: 1.13x
EPS: $0.07
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 85% confidence
Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) receives a SELL rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $156.1M, net profit margin of 4.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of 1.3%, Emergent BioSolutions Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Healthcare sector. Below is our complete EBS stock analysis for 2026.

Is Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) a Good Investment?

Claude

Emergent BioSolutions exhibits severe financial distress with an interest coverage ratio of 0.4x, indicating the company cannot service its $589.7M debt from operating income. Compounding this crisis, the company generated negative operating cash flow of -$33.8M and free cash flow of -$36.2M, demonstrating unsustainable cash burn. Combined with zero revenue growth and extremely poor returns (ROE 1.3%, ROA 0.5%), the company faces imminent refinancing or restructuring risks.

ChatGPT

Emergent BioSolutions shows a meaningful improvement in earnings and cash generation, with net income more than doubling year over year and free cash flow reaching a strong 21.1% margin. However, revenue was flat, leverage remains elevated, and interest coverage is only moderate, which limits the strength of the improvement and suggests the turnaround still needs to prove durability.

Why Buy Emergent BioSolutions Inc. Stock? EBS Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong liquidity position with current ratio of 4.29x and $160.3M cash reserves providing short-term operational runway
  • + Net income improved 127.6% year-over-year, showing recent operational progress from depressed base
  • + Gross profit of $261M exceeds revenue, suggesting potential for margin recovery if operational efficiency improves
ChatGPT
  • + Strong free cash flow generation with $156.8M of free cash flow and a 21.1% FCF margin
  • + Excellent near-term liquidity, supported by a 5.01x current ratio and $205.4M in cash
  • + Profitability improved materially year over year, with net income and diluted EPS both up more than 125%

EBS Stock Risks: Emergent BioSolutions Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical: Interest coverage ratio of 0.4x means operating income cannot cover debt service obligations—indicates high default risk
  • ! Persistent negative operating cash flow (-$33.8M) and negative free cash flow (-$36.2M) are unsustainable; company is burning cash despite positive net income
  • ! Complete revenue stagnation (0% YoY growth) with microscopic margins (4.4% net) leaves no buffer for debt obligations or adverse events
  • ! Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.13x combined with operational losses suggests potential covenant violations or forced restructuring
  • ! Abnormally elevated gross margin (167.2%) raises data quality concerns and masks true operational performance
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue stagnation at $742.9M raises concern about how sustainable earnings growth will be without top-line expansion
  • ! Leverage is still meaningful, with $589.7M of long-term debt and a 1.13x debt-to-equity ratio
  • ! Interest coverage of 4.1x leaves less room for operational setbacks or margin compression

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio—must exceed 1.5x to reduce default risk
  • * Operating cash flow—must turn positive to validate business sustainability
  • * Revenue growth trajectory—stagnation at 0% YoY is unacceptable for debt service
  • * Debt refinancing activity and covenant compliance
  • * Cash burn rate and runway remaining before liquidity crisis
ChatGPT
  • * Revenue growth and segment mix improvement
  • * Debt reduction and interest coverage trend

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$156.1M
Net Income
$6.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.07
Free Cash Flow
$-36.2M
Total Assets
$1.3B
Cash Position
$160.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 4.29x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

EBS Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 167.2%
Operating Margin 6.7%
Net Margin 4.4%
ROE 1.3%
ROA 0.5%
FCF Margin -23.2%

EBS vs Healthcare Sector: How Emergent BioSolutions Inc. Compares

How Emergent BioSolutions Inc. compares to Healthcare sector averages

Net Margin
EBS 4.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
EBS Sector
ROE
EBS 1.3%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
EBS Sector
Current Ratio
EBS 4.3x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
EBS Sector
Debt/Equity
EBS 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
EBS Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Emergent BioSolutions Inc. Stock Overvalued? EBS Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Emergent BioSolutions Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Healthcare sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.3%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
4.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.13x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. Balance Sheet: EBS Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
4.29x
Quick Ratio
2.08x
Debt/Equity
1.13x
Debt/Assets
60.4%
Interest Coverage
0.43x
Long-term Debt
$589.7M

EBS Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

EBS 5-year financial data: Year 2018: Revenue $782.4M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2019: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2020: Revenue $1.6B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2025: Revenue $1.0B, Net Income -$760.5M, EPS $-14.85.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Emergent BioSolutions Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 34% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-14.85 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

EBS Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-23.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

EBS Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Emergent BioSolutions Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $156.1M $6.8M $0.07
Q3 2025 $231.1M $9.0M $0.91
Q2 2025 $140.9M $9.0M $-0.22
Q1 2025 $222.2M $9.0M $0.17
Q2 2021 $394.7M $4.6M $0.09
Q1 2021 $192.5M -$12.5M $-0.24
Q3 2020 $311.8M $7.6M $0.15
Q2 2020 $243.2M -$9.5M $-0.18

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$33.8M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$9.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$2.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

EBS SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (CIK: 0001367644)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777930251.xml View →
May 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777930221.xml View →
May 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777930168.xml View →
May 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777930151.xml View →
May 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1777930137.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about EBS

What is the AI rating for EBS?

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are EBS's key strengths?

Claude: Strong liquidity position with current ratio of 4.29x and $160.3M cash reserves providing short-term operational runway. Net income improved 127.6% year-over-year, showing recent operational progress from depressed base. ChatGPT: Strong free cash flow generation with $156.8M of free cash flow and a 21.1% FCF margin. Excellent near-term liquidity, supported by a 5.01x current ratio and $205.4M in cash.

What are the risks of investing in EBS?

Claude: Critical: Interest coverage ratio of 0.4x means operating income cannot cover debt service obligations—indicates high default risk. Persistent negative operating cash flow (-$33.8M) and negative free cash flow (-$36.2M) are unsustainable; company is burning cash despite positive net income. ChatGPT: Revenue stagnation at $742.9M raises concern about how sustainable earnings growth will be without top-line expansion. Leverage is still meaningful, with $589.7M of long-term debt and a 1.13x debt-to-equity ratio.

What is EBS's revenue and growth?

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. reported revenue of $156.1M.

Does EBS pay dividends?

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find EBS SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (CIK: 0001367644) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is EBS's EPS?

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.07.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is EBS a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Emergent BioSolutions Inc. has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is EBS stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for EBS: ROE of 1.3% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 4.4% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy EBS stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Emergent BioSolutions Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is EBS's free cash flow?

Emergent BioSolutions Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-33.8M, with capital expenditures of $2.4M. FCF margin is -23.2%.

How does EBS compare to other Healthcare stocks?

Vs Healthcare sector averages: Net margin 4.4% (avg: 12%), ROE 1.3% (avg: 15%), current ratio 4.29 (avg: 2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI