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DPZ Stock Analysis 2026 - DOMINOS PIZZA INC AI Rating

DPZ Nasdaq Wholesale-Groceries & Related Products DE CIK: 0001286681
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 23, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-28
HOLD
62% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 DPZ Key Takeaways

Revenue: $4.9B
Net Margin: 12.2%
Free Cash Flow: $671.5M
Current Ratio: 1.65x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $17.57
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Is DPZ a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Domino's demonstrates solid operational fundamentals with strong profitability metrics (19.3% operating margin, 12.2% net margin) and robust free cash flow generation ($671.5M). However, the company's severely negative stockholders' equity of -$3.9B against $5.6B in liabilities presents significant financial distress concerns that overshadow operational strengths, suggesting aggressive leverage or legacy capital structure issues requiring resolution.

Why Buy DPZ? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong operating cash flow of $792.1M with 13.6% FCF margin indicates efficient core business operations
  • + Solid profitability with 40% gross margin and 19.3% operating margin showing pricing power and operational efficiency
  • + Moderate revenue growth of 5.0% YoY with positive net income growth of 3.0% YoY demonstrates stable business performance
  • + Adequate liquidity metrics (1.65x current ratio, 1.50x quick ratio) and reasonable interest coverage of 4.9x

DPZ Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Negative stockholders' equity of -$3.9B indicates balance sheet insolvency and high financial risk despite operational profitability
  • ! Total liabilities of $5.6B significantly exceed total assets of $1.7B, creating structural financial distress
  • ! Muted growth trajectory (5.0% revenue, 3.0% net income) suggests limited expansion despite profitable core operations
  • ! Extreme leverage situation creates vulnerability to economic downturns or operational disruptions that could trigger covenant violations

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Debt reduction trajectory and balance sheet restructuring progress
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and free cash flow generation trends
  • * Revenue growth acceleration and operating margin expansion
  • * Equity rebuilding rate and long-term debt refinancing activities

DPZ Financial Metrics

Revenue
$4.9B
Net Income
$601.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$17.57
Free Cash Flow
$671.5M
Total Assets
$1.7B
Cash Position
$125.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

DOMINOS PIZZA INC presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

DPZ Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 40.0%
Operating Margin 19.3%
Net Margin 12.2%
ROE N/A
ROA 35.1%
FCF Margin 13.6%

DPZ vs Default Sector

How DOMINOS PIZZA INC compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
DPZ 12.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
DPZ Sector
ROE
DPZ 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
DPZ Sector
Current Ratio
DPZ 1.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
DPZ Sector
Debt/Equity
DPZ 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
DPZ Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is DPZ Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, DOMINOS PIZZA INC has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
12.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

DPZ Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.65x
Quick Ratio
1.50x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
327.3%
Interest Coverage
4.87x
Long-term Debt
$14.6M

DPZ 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

DPZ 5-year financial data: Year 2020: Revenue $4.1B, Net Income $362.0M, EPS $8.35. Year 2022: Revenue $4.4B, Net Income $400.7M, EPS $9.56. Year 2023: Revenue $4.5B, Net Income $491.3M, EPS $12.39. Year 2024: Revenue $4.7B, Net Income $452.3M, EPS $12.53. Year 2025: Revenue $4.9B, Net Income $519.1M, EPS $14.66.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: DOMINOS PIZZA INC's revenue has grown significantly by 20% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $14.66 reflects profitable operations.

DPZ Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
13.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

DPZ Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for DOMINOS PIZZA INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $1.1B $139.3M $4.08
Q2 2025 $1.1B $131.1M $3.81
Q1 2025 $1.1B $125.8M $3.58
Q3 2024 $1.0B $146.9M $4.18
Q2 2024 $1.0B $109.4M $3.08
Q1 2024 $1.0B $104.8M $2.93
Q3 2023 $1.0B $100.5M $2.79
Q2 2023 $1.0B $102.5M $2.82

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

DPZ Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$792.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$357.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$120.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$236.9M
Returned to shareholders

DPZ SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for DOMINOS PIZZA INC (CIK: 0001286681)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about DPZ

What is the AI rating for DPZ?

DOMINOS PIZZA INC (DPZ) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are DPZ's key strengths?

Claude: Strong operating cash flow of $792.1M with 13.6% FCF margin indicates efficient core business operations. Solid profitability with 40% gross margin and 19.3% operating margin showing pricing power and operational efficiency.

What are the risks of investing in DPZ?

Claude: Negative stockholders' equity of -$3.9B indicates balance sheet insolvency and high financial risk despite operational profitability. Total liabilities of $5.6B significantly exceed total assets of $1.7B, creating structural financial distress.

What is DPZ's revenue and growth?

DOMINOS PIZZA INC reported revenue of $4.9B.

Does DPZ pay dividends?

DOMINOS PIZZA INC pays dividends, with $236.9M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find DPZ SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for DOMINOS PIZZA INC (CIK: 0001286681) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is DPZ's EPS?

DOMINOS PIZZA INC has a diluted EPS of $17.57.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is DPZ a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, DOMINOS PIZZA INC has a HOLD rating with 62% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is DPZ stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for DPZ: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 12.2% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy DPZ stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives DOMINOS PIZZA INC a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is DPZ's free cash flow?

DOMINOS PIZZA INC's operating cash flow is $792.1M, with capital expenditures of $120.6M. FCF margin is 13.6%.

How does DPZ compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 12.2% (avg: 12%), ROE N/A (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.65 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 23, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-28 | Powered by Claude AI