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COTY Stock Analysis - COTY INC. AI Rating

COTY NYSE Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations CIK: 0001024305
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
SELL
75% Confidence

📊 COTY Key Takeaways

Revenue: $3.3B
Net Margin: -1.7%
Free Cash Flow: $524.3M
Current Ratio: 0.79x
Debt/Equity: 0.85x
EPS: $-0.07
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence

Investment Thesis

Coty demonstrates deteriorating operational performance with declining revenue (-3.7% YoY) and negative net income despite maintaining strong gross margins (64.1%). The company's weak liquidity position (0.79x current ratio), elevated leverage (0.85x debt/equity with $3.0B long-term debt), and thin interest coverage (1.8x) create significant financial distress risk that outweighs the positive free cash flow generation.

COTY Strengths

  • + Strong gross margin of 64.1% indicates pricing power and operational efficiency in production
  • + Solid free cash flow generation of $524.3M (16.1% FCF margin) provides debt servicing capability
  • + Operating cash flow of $624.9M exceeds net income by a substantial margin, suggesting earnings quality issues rather than cash generation problems

COTY Risks

  • ! Negative net income of -$55.7M and declining revenue trend (-3.7% YoY) indicate structural profitability challenges in core business
  • ! Weak liquidity metrics (0.79x current ratio, 0.52x quick ratio) with $436.7M cash against $3.0B long-term debt creates refinancing risk
  • ! Deteriorating return metrics (ROE: -1.6%, ROA: -0.5%) and compressed operating margin (10.2%) demonstrate value destruction for shareholders

Key Metrics to Watch

COTY Financial Metrics

Revenue
$3.3B
Net Income
$-55.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.07
Free Cash Flow
$524.3M
Total Assets
$11.1B
Cash Position
$436.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

COTY Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 64.1%
Operating Margin 10.2%
Net Margin -1.7%
ROE -1.6%
ROA -0.5%
FCF Margin 16.1%

COTY vs Energy Sector

How COTY INC. compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
COTY -1.7%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
COTY Sector
ROE
COTY -1.6%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
COTY Sector
Current Ratio
COTY 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
COTY Sector
Debt/Equity
COTY 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
COTY Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

COTY Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.79x
Quick Ratio
0.52x
Debt/Equity
0.85x
Debt/Assets
64.4%
Interest Coverage
1.78x
Long-term Debt
$3.0B

COTY 5-Year Financial Trend

COTY 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $6.3B, Net Income -$3.8B, EPS $-5.04. Year 2022: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income -$1.0B, EPS $-1.33. Year 2023: Revenue $5.6B, Net Income -$201.3M, EPS $-0.40. Year 2024: Revenue $6.1B, Net Income $259.5M, EPS $0.08. Year 2025: Revenue $6.1B, Net Income $508.2M, EPS $0.57.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: COTY INC.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 3% decline. The most recent EPS of $0.57 reflects profitable operations.

COTY Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
16.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

COTY Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for COTY INC. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $1.7B $23.7M $0.02
Q1 2026 $1.6B $67.9M $0.07
Q3 2025 $1.3B $3.8M $0.00
Q2 2025 $1.7B $23.7M $0.02
Q1 2025 $1.6B $1.6M $0.00
Q3 2024 $1.3B $3.8M $0.00
Q2 2024 $1.5B $180.9M $0.20
Q1 2024 $1.4B $1.6M $0.00

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

COTY Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$624.9M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$100.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$6.6M
Returned to shareholders

COTY SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for COTY INC. (CIK: 0001024305)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 20, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1774050163.xml View →
Mar 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1773871845.xml View →
Mar 18, 2026 8-K coty-20260318.htm View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773094325.xml View →
Feb 18, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1771454974.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about COTY

What is the AI rating for COTY?

COTY INC. (COTY) has an AI rating of SELL with 75% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are COTY's key strengths?

Strong gross margin of 64.1% indicates pricing power and operational efficiency in production. Solid free cash flow generation of $524.3M (16.1% FCF margin) provides debt servicing capability.

What are the risks of investing in COTY?

Negative net income of -$55.7M and declining revenue trend (-3.7% YoY) indicate structural profitability challenges in core business. Weak liquidity metrics (0.79x current ratio, 0.52x quick ratio) with $436.7M cash against $3.0B long-term debt creates refinancing risk.

What is COTY's revenue and growth?

COTY INC. reported revenue of $3.3B.

Does COTY pay dividends?

COTY INC. pays dividends, with $6.6M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find COTY SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for COTY INC. (CIK: 0001024305) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is COTY's EPS?

COTY INC. has a diluted EPS of $-0.07.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI