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EL Stock Analysis 2026 - ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC AI Rating

EL NYSE Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations DE CIK: 0001001250
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 EL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $7.7B
Net Margin: 2.7%
Free Cash Flow: $581.0M
Current Ratio: 1.36x
Debt/Equity: 1.82x
EPS: $0.57
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence

Is EL a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Estée Lauder faces significant fundamental headwinds with revenue declining 8.2% YoY while profitability compressed severely, evidenced by EPS collapsing 391.7% despite flat net income. The company's leverage position is concerning with a 1.82x debt-to-equity ratio and weak 1.5x interest coverage, limiting financial flexibility during a challenging period.

Why Buy EL? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong gross margin of 75.1% demonstrates brand pricing power and product mix quality
  • + Solid free cash flow generation of $581M provides liquidity for debt servicing and investments
  • + Substantial cash position of $3.1B offers a buffer against operational challenges

EL Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Severe revenue decline of 8.2% YoY indicates loss of market share or weakening demand in core categories
  • ! Profitability compression with operating margin at only 7.4% and net margin at 2.7% suggests cost structure misalignment
  • ! High leverage with 1.82x debt-to-equity ratio and thin 1.5x interest coverage creates refinancing risk in uncertain environment
  • ! Dramatically diluted EPS (-391.7% YoY) signals substantial share count increases or one-time charges

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue stabilization and return to year-over-year growth
  • * Operating margin recovery and cost structure optimization
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio reduction and interest coverage improvement

EL Financial Metrics

Revenue
$7.7B
Net Income
$209.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.57
Free Cash Flow
$581.0M
Total Assets
$19.6B
Cash Position
$3.1B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

EL Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 75.1%
Operating Margin 7.4%
Net Margin 2.7%
ROE 5.2%
ROA 1.1%
FCF Margin 7.5%

EL vs Energy Sector

How ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
EL 2.7%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
EL Sector
ROE
EL 5.2%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
EL Sector
Current Ratio
EL 1.4x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
EL Sector
Debt/Equity
EL 1.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
EL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is EL Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
5.2%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
2.7%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.82x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

EL Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.36x
Quick Ratio
1.00x
Debt/Equity
1.82x
Debt/Assets
44.5%
Interest Coverage
1.51x
Long-term Debt
$7.3B

EL 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

EL 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $16.2B, Net Income $1.8B, EPS $4.82. Year 2022: Revenue $17.7B, Net Income $696.0M, EPS $1.86. Year 2023: Revenue $17.7B, Net Income $2.9B, EPS $7.79. Year 2024: Revenue $17.7B, Net Income $2.4B, EPS $6.55. Year 2025: Revenue $15.9B, Net Income $1.0B, EPS $2.79.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 2% decline. The most recent EPS of $2.79 reflects profitable operations.

EL Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
7.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

EL Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $4.0B $162.0M $0.44
Q1 2026 $3.4B $47.0M $0.13
Q3 2025 $3.6B N/A $0.44
Q2 2025 $4.0B N/A $0.87
Q1 2025 $3.4B N/A $0.09
Q3 2024 $3.8B N/A $0.43
Q2 2024 $3.8B N/A $0.87
Q1 2024 $3.5B N/A $0.09

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

EL Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$785.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$67.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$204.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$255.0M
Returned to shareholders

EL SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC (CIK: 0001001250)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773780147.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773780120.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773780112.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773780102.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773780094.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about EL

What is the AI rating for EL?

ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC (EL) has an AI rating of SELL with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are EL's key strengths?

Claude: Strong gross margin of 75.1% demonstrates brand pricing power and product mix quality. Solid free cash flow generation of $581M provides liquidity for debt servicing and investments.

What are the risks of investing in EL?

Claude: Severe revenue decline of 8.2% YoY indicates loss of market share or weakening demand in core categories. Profitability compression with operating margin at only 7.4% and net margin at 2.7% suggests cost structure misalignment.

What is EL's revenue and growth?

ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC reported revenue of $7.7B.

Does EL pay dividends?

ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC pays dividends, with $255.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find EL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC (CIK: 0001001250) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is EL's EPS?

ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC has a diluted EPS of $0.57.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is EL a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC has a SELL rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is EL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for EL: ROE of 5.2% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 2.7% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy EL stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is EL's free cash flow?

ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC's operating cash flow is $785.0M, with capital expenditures of $204.0M. FCF margin is 7.5%.

How does EL compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin 2.7% (avg: 12%), ROE 5.2% (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.36 (avg: 1.3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI