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American Express Co (AXP) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

AXP NYSE Finance Services NY CIK: 0000004962
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 29, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
72% Confidence
AGREEMENT
HOLD
62% Conf
BUY
83% Conf

📊 AXP Key Takeaways

Revenue: $10.5B
Net Margin: 28.2%
Free Cash Flow: $2.7B
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 1.73x
EPS: $4.28
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence
American Express Co (AXP) receives a BUY rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $10.5B, net profit margin of 28.2%, and return on equity (ROE) of 8.7%, American Express Co demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete AXP stock analysis for 2026.

Is American Express Co (AXP) a Good Investment?

Claude

American Express demonstrates strong revenue growth (61.4% YoY) and excellent profitability margins (28.2% net, 35.9% operating), supported by solid free cash flow generation of $2.7B. However, a critical disconnect exists: net income grew only 0.5% despite revenue surging 61%, signaling operational headwinds. Weak interest coverage of 1.9x combined with elevated leverage (1.73x debt-to-equity) creates financial vulnerability despite the large $53.8B cash position.

ChatGPT

American Express shows strong core fundamentals, with high operating and net margins, excellent ROE, and robust free cash flow generation. Financial health appears solid given its cash position, earnings power, and manageable interest coverage, though the sharp revenue growth alongside nearly flat net income suggests growth quality should be monitored for efficiency and credit-cost pressure.

Why Buy American Express Co Stock? AXP Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 61.4% YoY demonstrates strong business momentum
  • + Healthy net margin of 28.2% and operating margin of 35.9% show pricing power and operational efficiency
  • + Strong cash generation with $2.7B free cash flow and $53.8B cash reserves provide financial flexibility
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $3.8B confirms earnings quality
ChatGPT
  • + High profitability with 33.4% operating margin and 26.2% net margin
  • + Strong capital efficiency, highlighted by 32.4% ROE and solid 3.6% ROA
  • + Robust cash generation with $18.43B operating cash flow and $16.00B free cash flow

AXP Stock Risks: American Express Co Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Alarming disconnect: revenue +61.4% but net income +0.5% suggests margin compression, rising credit provisions, or hidden charges
  • ! Interest coverage of 1.9x is dangerously low, leaving minimal cushion to service $58.8B debt in economic downturns
  • ! Weak returns: ROE of 8.7% and ROA of 1.0% underperform expectations for financial services company
  • ! Elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 1.73x limits financial flexibility if credit quality deteriorates
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income growth of just 0.5% lags far behind revenue growth, indicating possible margin or expense pressure
  • ! Leverage remains meaningful with $56.39B long-term debt and 1.68x debt-to-equity
  • ! As a financial services company, results are sensitive to credit performance and funding costs

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly trend of net income growth—determine if 0.5% is temporary anomaly or structural deterioration
  • * Interest coverage ratio sustainability—critical for debt refinancing risk assessment
  • * Loan loss provisions and credit charge-off rates—to explain net income lag
  • * Free cash flow generation—confirm if 25.2% FCF margin is maintainable
  • * Debt-to-equity trajectory—monitor if leverage increases further in coming quarters
ChatGPT
  • * Net income growth relative to revenue growth
  • * Interest coverage and credit-loss trends

American Express Co (AXP) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$10.5B
Net Income
$3.0B
EPS (Diluted)
$4.28
Free Cash Flow
$2.7B
Total Assets
$308.9B
Cash Position
$53.8B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 25.2% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

AXP Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 35.9%
Net Margin 28.2%
ROE 8.7%
ROA 1.0%
FCF Margin 25.2%

AXP vs Finance Sector: How American Express Co Compares

How American Express Co compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
AXP 28.2%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
AXP Sector
ROE
AXP 8.7%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
AXP Sector
Current Ratio
AXP 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
AXP Sector
Debt/Equity
AXP 1.7x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
AXP Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is American Express Co Stock Overvalued? AXP Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, American Express Co has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
8.7%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
28.2%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.73x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

American Express Co Balance Sheet: AXP Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.73x
Debt/Assets
89.0%
Interest Coverage
1.88x
Long-term Debt
$58.8B

AXP Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

AXP 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $28.2B, Net Income $6.8B, EPS $7.99. Year 2022: Revenue $34.2B, Net Income $3.1B, EPS $3.77. Year 2023: Revenue $37.2B, Net Income $8.1B, EPS $10.02. Year 2024: Revenue $38.8B, Net Income $7.5B, EPS $9.85. Year 2025: Revenue $41.3B, Net Income $8.4B, EPS $11.21.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: American Express Co's revenue has grown significantly by 47% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $11.21 reflects profitable operations.

AXP Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
25.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AXP Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for American Express Co including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $9.6B $2.6B $3.64
Q3 2025 $9.7B $2.5B $3.49
Q2 2025 $9.8B $2.9B $4.08
Q1 2025 $9.3B $2.4B $3.33
Q3 2024 $9.4B $2.5B $3.30
Q2 2024 $9.4B $2.2B $2.89
Q1 2024 $8.8B $1.8B $2.40
Q3 2023 $8.7B $1.9B $2.47

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

American Express Co Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$3.8B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$1.9B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.1B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$583.0M
Returned to shareholders

AXP SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for American Express Co (CIK: 0000004962)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 23, 2026 10-Q axp-20260331.htm View →
Apr 23, 2026 8-K axp-20260423.htm View →
Apr 15, 2026 8-K axp-20260415.htm View →
Apr 6, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about AXP

What is the AI rating for AXP?

American Express Co (AXP) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are AXP's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 61.4% YoY demonstrates strong business momentum. Healthy net margin of 28.2% and operating margin of 35.9% show pricing power and operational efficiency. ChatGPT: High profitability with 33.4% operating margin and 26.2% net margin. Strong capital efficiency, highlighted by 32.4% ROE and solid 3.6% ROA.

What are the risks of investing in AXP?

Claude: Alarming disconnect: revenue +61.4% but net income +0.5% suggests margin compression, rising credit provisions, or hidden charges. Interest coverage of 1.9x is dangerously low, leaving minimal cushion to service $58.8B debt in economic downturns. ChatGPT: Net income growth of just 0.5% lags far behind revenue growth, indicating possible margin or expense pressure. Leverage remains meaningful with $56.39B long-term debt and 1.68x debt-to-equity.

What is AXP's revenue and growth?

American Express Co reported revenue of $10.5B.

Does AXP pay dividends?

American Express Co pays dividends, with $583.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find AXP SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for American Express Co (CIK: 0000004962) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is AXP's EPS?

American Express Co has a diluted EPS of $4.28.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is AXP a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, American Express Co has a BUY rating with 72% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is AXP stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for AXP: ROE of 8.7% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 28.2% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy AXP stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives American Express Co a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is AXP's free cash flow?

American Express Co's operating cash flow is $3.8B, with capital expenditures of $1.1B. FCF margin is 25.2%.

How does AXP compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 28.2% (avg: 25%), ROE 8.7% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Is American Express Co carrying too much debt?

AXP has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.73x, which is above the Finance sector average of 2x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 29, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI