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ARLP Stock Analysis - ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP AI Rating

ARLP Nasdaq Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining DE CIK: 0001086600
Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
HOLD
62% Confidence

Investment Thesis

ARLP demonstrates solid operational efficiency with strong cash generation (FCF margin 17.7%, OCF $651M) and exceptional interest coverage (49.7x), indicating financial stability in the coal sector. However, declining revenue (-10.4% YoY) and modest net income contraction (-1.9% YoY) signal headwinds in demand, warranting cautious positioning pending evidence of stabilization.

ARLP Strengths

  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $387.9M with 17.7% FCF margin demonstrates robust cash conversion despite sector challenges
  • + Excellent liquidity position with 2.10x current ratio and exceptional 49.7x interest coverage ratio providing financial flexibility
  • + Healthy operating margin of 17.6% and net margin of 14.2% show disciplined cost management and profitability despite revenue decline
  • + Modest long-term debt of $427.1M relative to $2.9B in assets indicates conservative capital structure

ARLP Risks

  • ! Revenue declining 10.4% year-over-year reflects structural headwinds in coal demand due to energy transition and regulatory pressures
  • ! Exposure to cyclical commodity (bituminous coal) with limited pricing power and long-term secular decline risks
  • ! Cash equivalents of only $71.2M relative to $427.1M long-term debt provide limited cushion for potential business deterioration
  • ! Net income contraction despite operational efficiency suggests margin compression or higher financing costs ahead

Key Metrics to Watch

ARLP Financial Metrics

Revenue
$2.2B
Net Income
$311.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.00
Free Cash Flow
$387.9M
Total Assets
$2.9B
Cash Position
$71.2M

ARLP Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 17.6%
Net Margin 14.2%
ROE N/A
ROA 10.9%
FCF Margin 17.7%

ARLP Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.10x
Quick Ratio
1.41x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
34.8%
Interest Coverage
49.72x
Long-term Debt
$427.1M

ARLP 5-Year Financial Trend

ARLP 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.0B, Net Income $399.4M, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $2.4B, Net Income -$129.2M, EPS N/A. Year 2023: Revenue $2.6B, Net Income $182.8M, EPS N/A. Year 2024: Revenue $2.6B, Net Income $586.2M, EPS N/A. Year 2025: Revenue $2.6B, Net Income $630.1M, EPS N/A.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP's revenue has grown significantly by 31% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion.

ARLP Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
17.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ARLP Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $571.4M $86.3M N/A
Q2 2025 $547.5M $59.4M N/A
Q1 2025 $540.5M $74.0M N/A
Q3 2024 $613.6M $86.3M N/A
Q2 2024 $593.4M $100.2M N/A
Q1 2024 $651.7M $158.1M N/A
Q3 2023 $632.5M $153.7M N/A
Q2 2023 $619.9M $163.5M N/A

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

ARLP Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$651.1M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$263.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

ARLP SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP (CIK: 0001086600)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI