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ALCO Stock Analysis - ALICO, INC. AI Rating

ALCO Nasdaq Agricultural Production-Crops FL CIK: 0000003545
Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
STRONG SELL
95% Confidence

Investment Thesis

ALICO faces severe operational distress with negative profitability across all metrics, including -184.5% net margin and -453.4% operating margin, indicating the company is burning cash on minimal revenue of $1.9M. While the balance sheet shows adequate liquidity (14.39x current ratio) and manageable leverage (0.83x debt/equity), the company's core agricultural business is fundamentally unprofitable and negative free cash flow of -$6.0M demonstrates unsustainable operations. Without evidence of operational turnaround or significant revenue recovery, the company faces continued value destruction.

ALCO Strengths

  • + Strong liquidity position with $34.8M cash and 14.39x current ratio providing runway for operations
  • + Moderate leverage with 0.83x debt/equity ratio and $99.6M equity base providing financial flexibility
  • + Substantial asset base of $195.0M provides collateral and potential liquidation value

ALCO Risks

  • ! Severe unprofitability: -184.5% net margin, -453.4% operating margin, and negative gross margin of -294.3% indicate fundamental business model failure
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$6.0M and negative operating cash flow of -$5.5M demonstrate unsustainable cash burn with only $34.8M in reserves
  • ! Core revenue collapse at $1.9M with no apparent path to profitability or growth, suggesting structural challenges in agricultural production segment
  • ! Negative interest coverage of -8.9x indicates inability to service debt from operations, creating refinancing risk

Key Metrics to Watch

ALCO Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.9M
Net Income
$-3.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.45
Free Cash Flow
$-6.0M
Total Assets
$195.0M
Cash Position
$34.8M

ALCO Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin -294.3%
Operating Margin -453.4%
Net Margin -184.5%
ROE -3.5%
ROA -1.8%
FCF Margin -315.6%

ALCO Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
14.39x
Quick Ratio
13.02x
Debt/Equity
0.83x
Debt/Assets
46.4%
Interest Coverage
-8.87x
Long-term Debt
$82.8M

ALCO 5-Year Financial Trend

ALCO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $122.3M, Net Income $37.8M, EPS $5.05. Year 2022: Revenue $108.6M, Net Income $23.7M, EPS $3.16. Year 2023: Revenue $108.6M, Net Income $34.9M, EPS $4.64. Year 2024: Revenue $46.6M, Net Income $1.8M, EPS $0.24. Year 2025: Revenue $46.6M, Net Income $7.0M, EPS $0.91.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: ALICO, INC.'s revenue has declined by 62% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $0.91 reflects profitable operations.

ALCO Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-315.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ALCO Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for ALICO, INC. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $8.4M -$2.0M $-0.27
Q2 2025 $18.0M -$15.8M $-2.07
Q1 2025 $1.9M -$3.5M $-0.45
Q3 2024 $7.3M $895.0K $0.12
Q2 2024 $18.1M -$7.8M $-1.02
Q1 2024 $10.6M -$3.2M $-0.41
Q3 2023 $7.3M $895.0K $0.12
Q2 2023 $21.3M -$7.8M $-1.02

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

ALCO Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$5.5M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$238.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$487.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$383.0K
Returned to shareholders

ALCO SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for ALICO, INC. (CIK: 0000003545)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI