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STX Stock Analysis - Seagate Technology Holdings plc AI Rating

STX Nasdaq Computer Storage Devices CIK: 0001137789
Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-01-02
AI Rating
BUY
72% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Seagate demonstrates exceptional profitability with 20.9% net margins and 28.2% operating margins, coupled with strong revenue growth of 38.9% YoY and substantial earnings expansion (338.5% net income growth). However, the extreme leverage (7.63x debt-to-equity) and modest stockholders' equity of $459M create significant financial risk despite healthy free cash flow generation of $1.0B.

STX Strengths

  • + Exceptional net income growth of 338.5% YoY indicating strong operational execution
  • + Robust free cash flow of $1.0B with 19% FCF margin providing debt service capacity
  • + Strong revenue growth of 38.9% YoY suggesting healthy demand in storage devices market
  • + Healthy operating margin of 28.2% and net margin of 20.9% demonstrating pricing power
  • + Interest coverage ratio of 9.1x indicates adequate ability to service debt obligations

STX Risks

  • ! Extremely high leverage with 7.63x debt-to-equity ratio and total liabilities exceeding total assets significantly
  • ! Stockholders' equity of only $459M is dangerously low relative to $3.5B long-term debt, creating solvency concerns
  • ! Quick ratio of 0.72x indicates potential short-term liquidity constraints if operations deteriorate
  • ! Gross margin data unavailable, limiting visibility into cost structure and pricing sustainability
  • ! High leverage amplifies downside risk if storage market demand weakens or competitive pressures intensify

Key Metrics to Watch

STX Financial Metrics

Revenue
$5.5B
Net Income
$1.1B
EPS (Diluted)
$5.03
Free Cash Flow
$1.0B
Total Assets
$8.7B
Cash Position
$1.0B

STX Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 28.2%
Net Margin 20.9%
ROE 248.8%
ROA 13.1%
FCF Margin 19.0%

STX Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.12x
Quick Ratio
0.72x
Debt/Equity
7.63x
Debt/Assets
94.7%
Interest Coverage
9.09x
Long-term Debt
$3.5B

STX 5-Year Financial Trend

STX 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $10.7B, Net Income $2.0B, EPS $7.06. Year 2022: Revenue $11.7B, Net Income $1.0B, EPS $3.79. Year 2023: Revenue $11.7B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $5.36. Year 2024: Revenue $11.7B, Net Income $1.6B, EPS $7.36. Year 2027: Revenue $9.1B, Net Income -$529.0M, EPS $-2.56.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Seagate Technology Holdings plc's revenue has declined by 15% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-2.56 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

STX Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
19.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

STX Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Seagate Technology Holdings plc including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $2.3B $336.0M $1.55
Q1 2026 $2.2B $305.0M $1.41
Q3 2025 $1.7B $25.0M $0.12
Q2 2025 $1.6B -$19.0M $-0.09
Q1 2025 $1.5B -$184.0M $-0.88
Q3 2024 $1.7B $25.0M $0.12
Q2 2024 $1.6B -$4.0M $-0.02
Q1 2024 $1.5B $29.0M $0.14

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

STX Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.3B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$29.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$221.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$307.0M
Returned to shareholders

STX SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Seagate Technology Holdings plc (CIK: 0001137789)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-01-02 | Powered by Claude AI