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RGLD Stock Analysis 2026 - ROYAL GOLD INC AI Rating

RGLD Nasdaq Mineral Royalty Traders DE CIK: 0000085535
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 RGLD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.0B
Net Margin: 45.2%
Free Cash Flow: $704.8M
Current Ratio: 3.12x
Debt/Equity: 0.13x
EPS: $6.69
AI Rating: BUY with 78% confidence

Is RGLD a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Royal Gold demonstrates exceptional fundamental strength with commanding profitability (45.2% net margin, 61.9% operating margin), robust 43.2% revenue growth, and fortress balance sheet (0.13x leverage, 709.1x interest coverage). However, the 1.1% net income decline despite strong topline growth and modest ROE/ROA (6.5%/4.9%) warrant caution—suggesting potential margin pressure or capital inefficiency in the royalty business.

Why Buy RGLD? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional profitability: 45.2% net margin and 69.3% gross margin demonstrate pricing power in mineral royalties
  • + Fortress balance sheet: 0.13x debt-to-equity and 709.1x interest coverage with 3.12x liquidity ratio indicates minimal financial risk
  • + Strong cash generation: 68.4% free cash flow margin and $704.8M operating cash flow provide substantial capital deployment capacity
  • + Significant revenue growth: 43.2% YoY expansion driven by commodity exposure positioning
  • + Capital-light model: Royalty business structure minimizes capital intensity relative to assets

RGLD Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Net income declined 1.1% YoY despite 43.2% revenue growth, indicating margin compression or increased operating costs requiring investigation
  • ! Low return metrics: ROE of 6.5% and ROA of 4.9% underperform relative to exceptional profit margins, suggesting capital inefficiency or shareholder payout strategy
  • ! Commodity price cyclicality: Revenue growth highly dependent on precious metals prices; commodity downturn could rapidly compress margins
  • ! Royalty portfolio concentration risk: Earnings tied to specific mines and operator performance with limited diversification control

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income margin trend—must stabilize or expand to justify strong revenue growth
  • * Return on equity trajectory—critical indicator of capital efficiency and shareholder value creation
  • * Precious metals price exposure and royalty portfolio composition—primary revenue driver
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and capital allocation decisions

RGLD Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.0B
Net Income
$466.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$6.69
Free Cash Flow
$704.8M
Total Assets
$9.5B
Cash Position
$233.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 68.4% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. Strong liquidity with a 3.12x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

RGLD Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 69.3%
Operating Margin 61.9%
Net Margin 45.2%
ROE 6.5%
ROA 4.9%
FCF Margin 68.4%

RGLD vs Default Sector

How ROYAL GOLD INC compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
RGLD 45.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
RGLD Sector
ROE
RGLD 6.5%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
RGLD Sector
Current Ratio
RGLD 3.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
RGLD Sector
Debt/Equity
RGLD 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
RGLD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is RGLD Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, ROYAL GOLD INC has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
6.5%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
45.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.13x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

RGLD Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.12x
Quick Ratio
3.12x
Debt/Equity
0.13x
Debt/Assets
24.5%
Interest Coverage
709.07x
Long-term Debt
$895.4M

RGLD 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

RGLD 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $615.9M, Net Income $93.8M, EPS $1.43. Year 2022: Revenue $653.6M, Net Income $199.3M, EPS $3.03. Year 2023: Revenue $615.9M, Net Income $302.5M, EPS $4.60. Year 2024: Revenue $719.4M, Net Income $239.0M, EPS $3.63. Year 2025: Revenue $1.0B, Net Income $239.4M, EPS $3.63.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: ROYAL GOLD INC's revenue has grown significantly by 67% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $3.63 reflects profitable operations.

RGLD Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
68.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

RGLD Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for ROYAL GOLD INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $193.8M $96.2M $1.46
Q2 2025 $174.1M $81.2M $1.23
Q1 2025 $148.9M $47.2M $0.72
Q3 2024 $138.6M $49.3M $0.75
Q2 2024 $144.0M $63.4M $0.97
Q1 2024 $148.9M $47.2M $0.72
Q3 2023 $131.4M $45.8M $0.70
Q2 2023 $144.0M $63.4M $0.97

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

RGLD Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$704.8M
Cash generated from operations
Dividends Paid
$118.5M
Returned to shareholders

RGLD SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for ROYAL GOLD INC (CIK: 0000085535)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 3, 2026 DEF 14A rgld-20260403.htm View →
Mar 31, 2026 8-K rgld-20260331.htm View →
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773355546.xml View →
Mar 11, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773278088.xml View →
Mar 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772675379.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about RGLD

What is the AI rating for RGLD?

ROYAL GOLD INC (RGLD) has an AI rating of BUY with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are RGLD's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional profitability: 45.2% net margin and 69.3% gross margin demonstrate pricing power in mineral royalties. Fortress balance sheet: 0.13x debt-to-equity and 709.1x interest coverage with 3.12x liquidity ratio indicates minimal financial risk.

What are the risks of investing in RGLD?

Claude: Net income declined 1.1% YoY despite 43.2% revenue growth, indicating margin compression or increased operating costs requiring investigation. Low return metrics: ROE of 6.5% and ROA of 4.9% underperform relative to exceptional profit margins, suggesting capital inefficiency or shareholder payout strategy.

What is RGLD's revenue and growth?

ROYAL GOLD INC reported revenue of $1.0B.

Does RGLD pay dividends?

ROYAL GOLD INC pays dividends, with $118.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find RGLD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for ROYAL GOLD INC (CIK: 0000085535) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is RGLD's EPS?

ROYAL GOLD INC has a diluted EPS of $6.69.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is RGLD a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, ROYAL GOLD INC has a BUY rating with 78% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is RGLD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for RGLD: ROE of 6.5% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 45.2% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy RGLD stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives ROYAL GOLD INC a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is RGLD's free cash flow?

ROYAL GOLD INC's operating cash flow is $704.8M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 68.4%.

How does RGLD compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 45.2% (avg: 12%), ROE 6.5% (avg: 15%), current ratio 3.12 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI