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NTRSO Stock Analysis 2026 - NORTHERN TRUST CORP AI Rating

NTRSO Nasdaq State Commercial Banks DE CIK: 0000073124
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 3, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 NTRSO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $8.1B
Net Margin: 21.5%
Free Cash Flow: $5.5B
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.11x
EPS: $8.74
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence

Is NTRSO a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Northern Trust demonstrates solid fundamental performance with strong revenue growth of 61.2% YoY and healthy profitability margins (21.5% net margin). The company maintains a conservative capital structure with low leverage (0.11x debt/equity) and generates substantial free cash flow of $5.5B, supporting operational resilience and capital allocation flexibility.

Why Buy NTRSO? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 61.2% YoY indicates strong business momentum and market demand
  • + Robust profitability with 28.9% operating margin and 21.5% net margin demonstrating operational efficiency
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $5.5B with 67.5% FCF margin provides financial flexibility and capital return capacity
  • + Conservative balance sheet with 0.11x debt-to-equity ratio and substantial cash position of $5.9B

NTRSO Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 1.2x is concerning and suggests limited cushion for debt servicing, particularly vulnerable to rate shocks
  • ! Net income growth of only 2.5% YoY significantly lags revenue growth of 61.2%, indicating margin compression or integration challenges
  • ! Diluted EPS declined 10.5% YoY despite revenue growth, signaling potential shareholder dilution or earnings quality concerns
  • ! ROA of 1.0% is relatively weak for an asset-heavy financial institution, suggesting inefficient asset deployment

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net margin stability and trend relative to revenue growth to assess earnings quality
  • * Interest coverage ratio improvement to confirm debt service capacity
  • * Operating leverage and the path to improved returns on assets (ROA > 1.2%)
  • * Insider trading activity patterns as continued Form 4 filings may indicate management confidence or concern

NTRSO Financial Metrics

Revenue
$8.1B
Net Income
$1.7B
EPS (Diluted)
$8.74
Free Cash Flow
$5.5B
Total Assets
$177.1B
Cash Position
$5.9B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 67.5% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NTRSO Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 28.9%
Net Margin 21.5%
ROE 13.4%
ROA 1.0%
FCF Margin 67.5%

NTRSO vs Finance Sector

How NORTHERN TRUST CORP compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
NTRSO 21.5%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
NTRSO Sector
ROE
NTRSO 13.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NTRSO Sector
Current Ratio
NTRSO 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
NTRSO Sector
Debt/Equity
NTRSO 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
NTRSO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is NTRSO Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, NORTHERN TRUST CORP has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
13.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
21.5%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.11x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

NTRSO Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.11x
Debt/Assets
92.7%
Interest Coverage
1.22x
Long-term Debt
$1.4B

NTRSO 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

NTRSO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $4.4B, Net Income $1.5B, EPS $6.63. Year 2022: Revenue $4.4B, Net Income $1.2B, EPS $5.46. Year 2023: Revenue $4.4B, Net Income $1.5B, EPS $7.14. Year 2024: Revenue $4.7B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $6.14. Year 2025: Revenue $5.0B, Net Income $1.1B, EPS $5.08.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: NORTHERN TRUST CORP's revenue has grown significantly by 15% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.08 reflects profitable operations.

NTRSO Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
67.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NTRSO Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for NORTHERN TRUST CORP including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $1.2B $214.7M $2.22
Q2 2025 $1.2B $214.7M $2.13
Q1 2025 $1.1B $214.7M $0.96
Q3 2024 $1.1B $214.7M $1.49
Q2 2024 $1.1B $214.7M $1.56
Q1 2024 $1.1B $214.7M $0.96
Q3 2023 $1.1B $327.8M $1.49
Q2 2023 $1.1B $331.8M $1.56

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

NTRSO Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$5.5B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$1.3B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$74.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$591.6M
Returned to shareholders

NTRSO SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for NORTHERN TRUST CORP (CIK: 0000073124)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775165632.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775165612.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775165593.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775165575.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775165556.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NTRSO

What is the AI rating for NTRSO?

NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRSO) has an AI rating of BUY with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NTRSO's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 61.2% YoY indicates strong business momentum and market demand. Robust profitability with 28.9% operating margin and 21.5% net margin demonstrating operational efficiency.

What are the risks of investing in NTRSO?

Claude: Interest coverage ratio of 1.2x is concerning and suggests limited cushion for debt servicing, particularly vulnerable to rate shocks. Net income growth of only 2.5% YoY significantly lags revenue growth of 61.2%, indicating margin compression or integration challenges.

What is NTRSO's revenue and growth?

NORTHERN TRUST CORP reported revenue of $8.1B.

Does NTRSO pay dividends?

NORTHERN TRUST CORP pays dividends, with $591.6M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NTRSO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for NORTHERN TRUST CORP (CIK: 0000073124) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NTRSO's EPS?

NORTHERN TRUST CORP has a diluted EPS of $8.74.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NTRSO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, NORTHERN TRUST CORP has a BUY rating with 72% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is NTRSO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NTRSO: ROE of 13.4% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 21.5% (sector avg: 25%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy NTRSO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives NORTHERN TRUST CORP a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NTRSO's free cash flow?

NORTHERN TRUST CORP's operating cash flow is $5.5B, with capital expenditures of $74.0M. FCF margin is 67.5%.

How does NTRSO compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 21.5% (avg: 25%), ROE 13.4% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 3, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI