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NeuroPace Inc (NPCE) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

NPCE Nasdaq Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus DE CIK: 0001528287
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 14, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
66% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
68% Conf
HOLD
64% Conf

📊 NPCE Key Takeaways

Revenue: $22.1M
Net Margin: -30.3%
Free Cash Flow: $-6.0M
Current Ratio: 5.38x
Debt/Equity: 4.08x
EPS: $-0.20
AI Rating: SELL with 68% confidence
NeuroPace Inc (NPCE) receives a SELL rating with 66% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $22.1M, net profit margin of -30.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of -46.3%, NeuroPace Inc demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Healthcare sector. Below is our complete NPCE stock analysis for 2026.

Is NeuroPace Inc (NPCE) a Good Investment?

Claude

NeuroPace exhibits strong top-line growth (+25.1% YoY) with exceptional gross margins (81.8%), indicating product-market fit in the neurostimulation space. However, the company faces severe profitability and cash generation challenges: operating cash flow is deeply negative (-5.9M), net margins are -30.3%, and the high debt-to-equity ratio (4.08x) with 59M in long-term debt leaves minimal financial flexibility. With negative interest coverage and no visible path to profitability, the company's growth quality is poor.

ChatGPT

NeuroPace delivers strong 25% revenue growth with a premium 77% gross margin, signaling solid product traction and attractive unit economics. Yet persistent operating losses, negative free cash flow, and high leverage create execution and refinancing risk until scale improves profitability.

Why Buy NeuroPace Inc Stock? NPCE Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 25.1% YoY demonstrates market demand for products
  • + Exceptional gross margin of 81.8% indicates strong pricing power and product viability
  • + Excellent liquidity position with 5.38x current ratio and 14.8M cash provides operational runway
ChatGPT
  • + Robust top-line growth (+25% YoY)
  • + Very high gross margin supporting operating leverage potential
  • + Ample liquidity with >4x quick ratio and low capex needs

NPCE Stock Risks: NeuroPace Inc Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Deeply unprofitable with -30.3% net margin and negative operating cash flow of -5.9M
  • ! Extremely high leverage with 4.08x debt-to-equity ratio and negative interest coverage (-2.5x), limiting financial flexibility
  • ! No visible path to profitability; growth is not translating to bottom-line improvement and company remains cash flow negative
ChatGPT
  • ! High leverage (Debt/Equity ~3.1x) with negative interest coverage
  • ! Continuing operating losses and negative free cash flow
  • ! Thin equity base increases solvency and dilution risk

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend and timeline to cash flow breakeven
  • * Operating margin progression toward profitability
  • * Debt refinancing risk and covenant compliance given negative interest coverage
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin
  • * Interest coverage

NeuroPace Inc (NPCE) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$22.1M
Net Income
$-6.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.20
Free Cash Flow
$-6.0M
Total Assets
$98.9M
Cash Position
$14.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 5.38x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

NPCE Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 81.8%
Operating Margin -25.2%
Net Margin -30.3%
ROE -46.3%
ROA -6.8%
FCF Margin -27.3%

NPCE vs Healthcare Sector: How NeuroPace Inc Compares

How NeuroPace Inc compares to Healthcare sector averages

Net Margin
NPCE -30.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NPCE Sector
ROE
NPCE -46.3%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
NPCE Sector
Current Ratio
NPCE 5.4x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
NPCE Sector
Debt/Equity
NPCE 4.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
NPCE Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is NeuroPace Inc Stock Overvalued? NPCE Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, NeuroPace Inc shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Healthcare sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-46.3%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-30.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
4.08x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

NeuroPace Inc Balance Sheet: NPCE Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
5.38x
Quick Ratio
4.35x
Debt/Equity
4.08x
Debt/Assets
85.4%
Interest Coverage
-2.47x
Long-term Debt
$59.0M

NPCE Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

NPCE 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $45.2M, Net Income -$24.3M, EPS $-117.85. Year 2022: Revenue $45.5M, Net Income -$36.1M, EPS $-2.17. Year 2023: Revenue $65.4M, Net Income -$47.1M, EPS $-1.91. Year 2024: Revenue $79.9M, Net Income -$33.0M, EPS $-1.27. Year 2025: Revenue $100.0M, Net Income -$27.1M, EPS $-0.93.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: NeuroPace Inc's revenue has grown significantly by 121% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.93 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

NPCE Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-27.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NPCE Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for NeuroPace Inc including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $22.1M -$6.6M $-0.20
Q3 2025 $21.1M -$3.5M $-0.11
Q2 2025 $19.3M -$6.6M $-0.26
Q1 2025 $18.1M -$6.6M $-0.21
Q3 2024 $16.4M -$5.5M $-0.19
Q2 2024 $16.5M -$7.5M $-0.26
Q1 2024 $14.5M -$8.9M $-0.32
Q3 2023 $11.2M -$7.3M $-0.28

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

NeuroPace Inc Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$5.9M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$117.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

NPCE SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for NeuroPace Inc (CIK: 0001528287)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-05192026_080535.xml View →
May 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779222436.xml View →
May 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779222368.xml View →
May 12, 2026 10-Q npce-20260331.htm View →
May 12, 2026 8-K neuropace-8xkq12026earning.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NPCE

What is the AI rating for NPCE?

NeuroPace Inc (NPCE) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 66% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NPCE's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 25.1% YoY demonstrates market demand for products. Exceptional gross margin of 81.8% indicates strong pricing power and product viability. ChatGPT: Robust top-line growth (+25% YoY). Very high gross margin supporting operating leverage potential.

What are the risks of investing in NPCE?

Claude: Deeply unprofitable with -30.3% net margin and negative operating cash flow of -5.9M. Extremely high leverage with 4.08x debt-to-equity ratio and negative interest coverage (-2.5x), limiting financial flexibility. ChatGPT: High leverage (Debt/Equity ~3.1x) with negative interest coverage. Continuing operating losses and negative free cash flow.

What is NPCE's revenue and growth?

NeuroPace Inc reported revenue of $22.1M.

Does NPCE pay dividends?

NeuroPace Inc does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find NPCE SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for NeuroPace Inc (CIK: 0001528287) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NPCE's EPS?

NeuroPace Inc has a diluted EPS of $-0.20.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NPCE a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, NeuroPace Inc has a SELL rating with 66% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is NPCE stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NPCE: ROE of -46.3% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -30.3% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy NPCE stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives NeuroPace Inc a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NPCE's free cash flow?

NeuroPace Inc's operating cash flow is $-5.9M, with capital expenditures of $117.0K. FCF margin is -27.3%.

How does NPCE compare to other Healthcare stocks?

Vs Healthcare sector averages: Net margin -30.3% (avg: 12%), ROE -46.3% (avg: 15%), current ratio 5.38 (avg: 2).

Is NeuroPace Inc carrying too much debt?

NPCE has a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.08x, which is above the Healthcare sector average of 0.6x. However, the current ratio of 5.38 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 14, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI