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MSCI Inc. (MSCI) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

MSCI NYSE Services-Business Services, NEC DE CIK: 0001408198
Updated This Month • Analysis: Apr 29, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
75% Confidence
AGREEMENT
HOLD
70% Conf
BUY
80% Conf

📊 MSCI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $850.8M
Net Margin: 47.7%
Free Cash Flow: $304.0M
Current Ratio: 0.86x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $5.53
AI Rating: HOLD with 70% confidence
MSCI Inc. (MSCI) receives a BUY rating with 75% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $850.8M, net profit margin of 47.7%, MSCI Inc. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Services sector. Below is our complete MSCI stock analysis for 2026.

Is MSCI Inc. (MSCI) a Good Investment?

Claude

MSCI exhibits strong operational performance with exceptional margins (53.7% operating, 47.7% net) and robust free cash flow generation ($304M, 35.7% FCF margin), supported by 9.7% revenue growth. However, the balance sheet presents material concerns: negative equity of -$2.8B, leverage of $6.4B debt versus $5.5B assets, and a current ratio of 0.86x. Most troubling is flat net income growth despite revenue expansion, indicating margin compression that undermines earnings quality despite strong interest coverage (9.8x).

ChatGPT

MSCI shows exceptional profitability and cash generation, with ~55% operating margin and ~49% FCF margin, supporting a high-quality, asset-light model. Revenue grew ~10% YoY and interest coverage is strong, indicating manageable leverage despite sizable debt. Key watchouts are flat net income YoY, negative equity from buybacks, and sub-1.0x liquidity, but overall fundamentals remain robust.

Why Buy MSCI Inc. Stock? MSCI Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional profitability margins (53.7% operating, 47.7% net) demonstrating strong pricing power and operational efficiency
  • + Robust free cash flow generation ($304M annually, 35.7% margin) provides debt service capacity and strategic flexibility
  • + Strong interest coverage ratio (9.8x) confirms operational cash flow can service debt obligations
  • + Capital-light business model with minimal capex ($2.8M) ensures cash flow sustainability
  • + Solid revenue growth (9.7% YoY) indicates market demand and business momentum
ChatGPT
  • + Very high operating and net margins, indicating strong pricing power and efficiency
  • + Excellent free cash flow generation with low capital intensity
  • + Strong interest coverage (36.7x), suggesting manageable leverage

MSCI Stock Risks: MSCI Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative stockholders' equity of -$2.8B represents fundamental balance sheet insolvency risk
  • ! Severe leverage with $6.4B debt against $5.5B total assets (debt-to-asset ratio 1.16x) creates financial fragility
  • ! Current ratio of 0.86x signals inadequate liquidity to cover short-term obligations; working capital stress
  • ! Net income stagnation (+0.0%) despite 9.7% revenue growth indicates margin compression and deteriorating earnings quality
  • ! EPS growth (11.7%) driven by share buybacks rather than earnings expansion suggests financial engineering masking operational weakness
ChatGPT
  • ! Negative shareholders’ equity from cumulative buybacks/leverage may limit flexibility and screen as risk
  • ! Sub-1.0x current and quick ratios indicate tighter near-term liquidity
  • ! Flat net income YoY; EPS growth appears buyback-aided, raising growth quality questions

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income margin trend and drivers of profit growth disconnection from revenue growth
  • * Debt reduction pace and trajectory toward positive equity; leverage ratio trajectory
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and free cash flow allocation between deleveraging and capital returns
  • * Current ratio improvement and working capital management signaling liquidity stabilization
  • * Gross margin and operating expense growth rates to identify source of operating leverage loss
ChatGPT
  • * Revenue growth (YoY) and operating margin trend
  • * Debt-to-FCF and interest coverage

MSCI Inc. (MSCI) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$850.8M
Net Income
$406.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$5.53
Free Cash Flow
$304.0M
Total Assets
$5.5B
Cash Position
$385.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 35.7% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MSCI Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 53.7%
Net Margin 47.7%
ROE N/A
ROA 7.3%
FCF Margin 35.7%

MSCI vs Services Sector: How MSCI Inc. Compares

How MSCI Inc. compares to Services sector averages

Net Margin
MSCI 47.7%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
MSCI Sector
ROE
MSCI 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 16.0%
MSCI Sector
Current Ratio
MSCI 0.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
MSCI Sector
Debt/Equity
MSCI 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MSCI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MSCI Inc. Stock Overvalued? MSCI Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, MSCI Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Services sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 16%
Net Profit Margin
47.7%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MSCI Inc. Balance Sheet: MSCI Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.86x
Quick Ratio
0.86x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
150.0%
Interest Coverage
9.79x
Long-term Debt
$6.4B

MSCI Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

MSCI 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.0B, Net Income $563.6M, EPS $6.59. Year 2022: Revenue $2.2B, Net Income $601.8M, EPS $7.12. Year 2023: Revenue $2.5B, Net Income $726.0M, EPS $8.70. Year 2024: Revenue $2.9B, Net Income $870.6M, EPS $10.72. Year 2025: Revenue $3.1B, Net Income $1.1B, EPS $14.39.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: MSCI Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 53% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $14.39 reflects profitable operations.

MSCI Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
35.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MSCI Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for MSCI Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $745.8M $288.6M $3.71
Q3 2025 $724.7M $256.0M $3.57
Q2 2025 $707.9M $256.0M $3.37
Q1 2025 $680.0M $256.0M $3.22
Q3 2024 $625.4M $238.7M $3.27
Q2 2024 $621.2M $238.7M $3.09
Q1 2024 $592.2M $238.7M $2.97
Q3 2023 $560.6M $210.6M $2.68

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MSCI Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$306.8M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$414.8M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$2.8M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$150.5M
Returned to shareholders

MSCI SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for MSCI Inc. (CIK: 0001408198)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778011599.xml View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778011591.xml View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778011583.xml View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778011576.xml View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778011568.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MSCI

What is the AI rating for MSCI?

MSCI Inc. (MSCI) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 75% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MSCI's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional profitability margins (53.7% operating, 47.7% net) demonstrating strong pricing power and operational efficiency. Robust free cash flow generation ($304M annually, 35.7% margin) provides debt service capacity and strategic flexibility. ChatGPT: Very high operating and net margins, indicating strong pricing power and efficiency. Excellent free cash flow generation with low capital intensity.

What are the risks of investing in MSCI?

Claude: Negative stockholders' equity of -$2.8B represents fundamental balance sheet insolvency risk. Severe leverage with $6.4B debt against $5.5B total assets (debt-to-asset ratio 1.16x) creates financial fragility. ChatGPT: Negative shareholders’ equity from cumulative buybacks/leverage may limit flexibility and screen as risk. Sub-1.0x current and quick ratios indicate tighter near-term liquidity.

What is MSCI's revenue and growth?

MSCI Inc. reported revenue of $850.8M.

Does MSCI pay dividends?

MSCI Inc. pays dividends, with $150.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MSCI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for MSCI Inc. (CIK: 0001408198) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MSCI's EPS?

MSCI Inc. has a diluted EPS of $5.53.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MSCI a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, MSCI Inc. has a BUY rating with 75% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is MSCI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MSCI: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 16%), net margin of 47.7% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MSCI stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives MSCI Inc. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MSCI's free cash flow?

MSCI Inc.'s operating cash flow is $306.8M, with capital expenditures of $2.8M. FCF margin is 35.7%.

How does MSCI compare to other Services stocks?

Vs Services sector averages: Net margin 47.7% (avg: 10%), ROE N/A (avg: 16%), current ratio 0.86 (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 29, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI