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MSCI Stock Analysis 2026 - MSCI Inc. AI Rating

MSCI NYSE Services-Business Services, NEC DE CIK: 0001408198
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 2, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MSCI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $3.1B
Net Margin: 38.4%
Free Cash Flow: $1.5B
Current Ratio: 0.90x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $15.69
AI Rating: BUY with 72% confidence

Is MSCI a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

MSCI demonstrates exceptional profitability with 54.7% operating margins and 38.4% net margins, coupled with strong free cash flow generation of $1.5B (49.4% FCF margin). However, the company's financial structure is concerning with negative stockholders' equity of -$2.7B and total liabilities exceeding assets by $2.7B, indicating significant leverage primarily from debt financing.

Why Buy MSCI? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Outstanding operating margins of 54.7% reflecting high-quality recurring revenue business model
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $1.5B with 49.4% FCF margin enabling debt service and capital returns
  • + Solid interest coverage ratio of 36.7x demonstrating comfortable ability to service debt obligations
  • + Consistent revenue growth of 9.7% YoY showing stable market demand
  • + High return on assets of 21.1% indicating efficient asset utilization

MSCI Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Negative stockholders' equity of -$2.7B signals inverted balance sheet structure with liabilities greatly exceeding assets
  • ! High financial leverage with $6.2B long-term debt and unfavorable total liabilities of $8.4B creating refinancing risk
  • ! Current ratio of 0.90x below 1.0x threshold indicates potential short-term liquidity constraints
  • ! Net income growth stalled at 0.0% YoY despite 9.7% revenue growth suggesting margin compression or one-time items
  • ! Capital structure reliance on debt rather than equity creates vulnerability to interest rate increases and credit market disruptions

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Trend in stockholders' equity and debt-to-EBITDA ratio indicating balance sheet repair progress
  • * Operating margin sustainability amid competitive pressures in data and analytics services
  • * Free cash flow consistency and allocation priorities between debt reduction and shareholder returns
  • * Current ratio trajectory and working capital management improving liquidity position
  • * Net income growth acceleration to match or exceed revenue growth rate

MSCI Financial Metrics

Revenue
$3.1B
Net Income
$1.2B
EPS (Diluted)
$15.69
Free Cash Flow
$1.5B
Total Assets
$5.7B
Cash Position
$515.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 49.4% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MSCI Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 54.7%
Net Margin 38.4%
ROE N/A
ROA 21.1%
FCF Margin 49.4%

MSCI vs Default Sector

How MSCI Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
MSCI 38.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MSCI Sector
ROE
MSCI 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MSCI Sector
Current Ratio
MSCI 0.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MSCI Sector
Debt/Equity
MSCI 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MSCI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MSCI Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, MSCI Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
38.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MSCI Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.90x
Quick Ratio
0.90x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
146.6%
Interest Coverage
36.71x
Long-term Debt
$6.2B

MSCI 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MSCI 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.0B, Net Income $563.6M, EPS $6.59. Year 2022: Revenue $2.2B, Net Income $601.8M, EPS $7.12. Year 2023: Revenue $2.5B, Net Income $726.0M, EPS $8.70. Year 2024: Revenue $2.9B, Net Income $870.6M, EPS $10.72. Year 2025: Revenue $3.1B, Net Income $1.1B, EPS $14.39.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: MSCI Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 53% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $14.39 reflects profitable operations.

MSCI Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
49.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MSCI Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for MSCI Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $724.7M $256.0M $3.57
Q2 2025 $707.9M $256.0M $3.37
Q1 2025 $680.0M $256.0M $3.22
Q3 2024 $625.4M $238.7M $3.27
Q2 2024 $621.2M $238.7M $3.09
Q1 2024 $592.2M $238.7M $2.97
Q3 2023 $560.6M $210.6M $2.68
Q2 2023 $551.8M $210.6M $2.59

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MSCI Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.6B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$2.5B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$39.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$556.5M
Returned to shareholders

MSCI SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for MSCI Inc. (CIK: 0001408198)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 31, 2026 8-K msci-20260327.htm View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1773950425.xml View →
Mar 11, 2026 DEF 14A msci-20260310.htm View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772571832.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772571805.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MSCI

What is the AI rating for MSCI?

MSCI Inc. (MSCI) has an AI rating of BUY with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MSCI's key strengths?

Claude: Outstanding operating margins of 54.7% reflecting high-quality recurring revenue business model. Strong free cash flow generation of $1.5B with 49.4% FCF margin enabling debt service and capital returns.

What are the risks of investing in MSCI?

Claude: Negative stockholders' equity of -$2.7B signals inverted balance sheet structure with liabilities greatly exceeding assets. High financial leverage with $6.2B long-term debt and unfavorable total liabilities of $8.4B creating refinancing risk.

What is MSCI's revenue and growth?

MSCI Inc. reported revenue of $3.1B.

Does MSCI pay dividends?

MSCI Inc. pays dividends, with $556.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MSCI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for MSCI Inc. (CIK: 0001408198) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MSCI's EPS?

MSCI Inc. has a diluted EPS of $15.69.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MSCI a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, MSCI Inc. has a BUY rating with 72% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is MSCI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MSCI: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 38.4% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MSCI stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives MSCI Inc. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MSCI's free cash flow?

MSCI Inc.'s operating cash flow is $1.6B, with capital expenditures of $39.3M. FCF margin is 49.4%.

How does MSCI compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 38.4% (avg: 12%), ROE N/A (avg: 15%), current ratio 0.90 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 2, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI