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Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

MS NYSE Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies DE CIK: 0000895421
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
78% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
78% Conf
HOLD
77% Conf

📊 MS Key Takeaways

Revenue: $15.3B
Net Margin: 36.4%
Free Cash Flow: $-7.1B
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 3.18x
EPS: $3.43
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence
Morgan Stanley (MS) receives a SELL rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $15.3B, net profit margin of 36.4%, and return on equity (ROE) of 4.9%, Morgan Stanley demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete MS stock analysis for 2026.

Is Morgan Stanley (MS) a Good Investment?

Claude

Morgan Stanley exhibits strong profitability margins (45.9% operating margin, 36.4% net margin) but displays critical financial stress indicators: negative operating cash flow of $7.1B, dangerous interest coverage of 0.6x, and extreme leverage of 3.18x debt-to-equity. The massive 487.9% revenue growth paired with only 3.8% net income growth suggests accounting or one-time items masking underlying operational weakness.

ChatGPT

Morgan Stanley shows solid core profitability with a 28.5% net margin, 15.1% ROE, and modest net income growth, which supports a fundamentally strong franchise. However, growth quality looks mixed because the reported revenue surge is not matched by comparable earnings growth, while leverage remains high and operating cash flow is negative. The balance of strong earnings power against funding and cash flow risks supports a neutral fundamental view.

Why Buy Morgan Stanley Stock? MS Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional operating margin of 45.9% demonstrates pricing power and cost control
  • + Strong net profit margin of 36.4% shows operational profitability
  • + Large cash position of $133.5B provides short-term liquidity cushion
  • + Significant EPS growth of 28.4% YoY
ChatGPT
  • + Strong profitability with 37.2% operating margin and 28.5% net margin
  • + Healthy capital base with $111.63B of equity and substantial cash at $111.69B
  • + Good shareholder returns efficiency with 15.1% ROE and positive net income growth

MS Stock Risks: Morgan Stanley Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 0.6x indicates severe debt servicing stress and inability to cover interest from operating income
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of $7.1B and negative free cash flow of -$7.1B signal fundamental cash generation problems despite reported profitability
  • ! Extreme leverage at 3.18x debt-to-equity with $363B long-term debt creates financial fragility
  • ! Highly suspicious 487.9% revenue growth coupled with only 3.8% net income growth suggests quality of earnings concerns
  • ! ROE of 4.9% and ROA of 0.4% are exceptionally low, indicating poor capital efficiency
ChatGPT
  • ! High leverage with debt-to-equity of 3.06x and $341.68B of long-term debt
  • ! Weak cash generation with operating cash flow and free cash flow at negative $17.89B
  • ! Growth quality concern because reported revenue growth of 487.9% far exceeds net income growth of 3.8%

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend - must turn positive to validate earnings quality
  • * Interest coverage ratio - urgently needs improvement above 1.5x
  • * Debt reduction progress - leverage must decline to sustainable levels
  • * Quarterly revenue composition - validate sustainability of the large revenue increase
ChatGPT
  • * Operating cash flow trend and stability
  • * ROE and interest coverage

Morgan Stanley (MS) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$15.3B
Net Income
$5.6B
EPS (Diluted)
$3.43
Free Cash Flow
$-7.1B
Total Assets
$1.6T
Cash Position
$133.5B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MS Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 45.9%
Net Margin 36.4%
ROE 4.9%
ROA 0.4%
FCF Margin -46.5%

MS vs Finance Sector: How Morgan Stanley Compares

How Morgan Stanley compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
MS 36.4%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
MS Sector
ROE
MS 4.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MS Sector
Current Ratio
MS 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
MS Sector
Debt/Equity
MS 3.2x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
MS Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Morgan Stanley Stock Overvalued? MS Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Morgan Stanley has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
4.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
36.4%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
3.18x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Morgan Stanley Balance Sheet: MS Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
3.18x
Debt/Assets
92.7%
Interest Coverage
0.63x
Long-term Debt
$363.0B

MS Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

MS 5-year financial data: Year 2010: Revenue $31.6B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2011: Revenue $32.4B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2012: Revenue $32.2B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2013: Revenue $32.4B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2014: Revenue $34.3B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Morgan Stanley's revenue has shown modest growth of 8% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $5.18 reflects profitable operations.

MS Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-46.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MS Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Morgan Stanley including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2018 $5.9B $1.8B $1.00
Q2 2015 $8.6B $1.6B $0.85
Q1 2015 $9.0B $1.4B $0.74
Q3 2014 $8.0B $880.0M $0.44
Q2 2014 $8.5B $505.0M $0.41
Q1 2014 $8.2B $784.0M $0.48
Q3 2013 $5.3B -$72.0M $-0.32
Q2 2013 $6.9B $431.0M $0.23

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Morgan Stanley Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$7.1B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$691.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends Paid
$1.7B
Returned to shareholders

MS SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Morgan Stanley (CIK: 0000895421)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 5, 2026 10-Q ms-20260331.htm View →
Apr 20, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1776716577.xml View →
Apr 17, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1776458475.xml View →
Apr 17, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1776458279.xml View →
Apr 17, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1776458249.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MS

What is the AI rating for MS?

Morgan Stanley (MS) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MS's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional operating margin of 45.9% demonstrates pricing power and cost control. Strong net profit margin of 36.4% shows operational profitability. ChatGPT: Strong profitability with 37.2% operating margin and 28.5% net margin. Healthy capital base with $111.63B of equity and substantial cash at $111.69B.

What are the risks of investing in MS?

Claude: Interest coverage ratio of 0.6x indicates severe debt servicing stress and inability to cover interest from operating income. Negative operating cash flow of $7.1B and negative free cash flow of -$7.1B signal fundamental cash generation problems despite reported profitability. ChatGPT: High leverage with debt-to-equity of 3.06x and $341.68B of long-term debt. Weak cash generation with operating cash flow and free cash flow at negative $17.89B.

What is MS's revenue and growth?

Morgan Stanley reported revenue of $15.3B.

Does MS pay dividends?

Morgan Stanley pays dividends, with $1,708.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MS SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Morgan Stanley (CIK: 0000895421) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MS's EPS?

Morgan Stanley has a diluted EPS of $3.43.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MS a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Morgan Stanley has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MS stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MS: ROE of 4.9% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 36.4% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MS stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Morgan Stanley a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MS's free cash flow?

Morgan Stanley's operating cash flow is $-7.1B, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is -46.5%.

How does MS compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 36.4% (avg: 25%), ROE 4.9% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Is Morgan Stanley carrying too much debt?

MS has a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.18x, which is above the Finance sector average of 2x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI