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MIDD Stock Analysis 2026 - MIDDLEBY Corp AI Rating

MIDD Nasdaq Refrigeration & Service Industry Machinery DE CIK: 0000769520
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 1, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-01-03
SELL
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MIDD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $3.2B
Net Margin: -8.7%
Free Cash Flow: $559.5M
Current Ratio: 2.57x
Debt/Equity: 0.77x
EPS: $-5.32
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence

Is MIDD a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

MIDD faces severe profitability challenges with net losses of $277.7M despite modest revenue growth of 1.6% and healthy operating margins, indicating substantial non-operating charges that are eroding shareholder value. While the company maintains strong liquidity (2.57x current ratio) and generates robust free cash flow of $559.5M, the negative ROE (-10.0%) and ROA (-4.4%) signal deteriorating asset efficiency and capital allocation concerns that outweigh operational strengths.

Why Buy MIDD? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $559.5M with 17.5% FCF margin demonstrates underlying operational cash generation capability
  • + Solid liquidity position with 2.57x current ratio and $222.2M cash, providing financial flexibility and payment capacity
  • + Healthy operating margin of 18.0% and gross margin of 39.1% indicate core business operations remain profitable despite top-line growth headwinds

MIDD Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Net loss of $277.7M represents 164.8% YoY deterioration, indicating significant below-the-line charges (likely impairments, restructuring, or acquisition-related costs)
  • ! Negative returns metrics (ROE -10.0%, ROA -4.4%) suggest value destruction and inefficient capital deployment despite revenue generation
  • ! Slowing revenue growth of only 1.6% YoY combined with elevated debt load of $2.1B raises concerns about organic growth trajectory and debt servicing sustainability

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Drivers of net loss and non-operating charges to assess if losses are one-time or structural
  • * Revenue growth acceleration and market share trends in refrigeration and service machinery sectors
  • * Debt reduction progress and debt/EBITDA leverage ratios to evaluate balance sheet sustainability

MIDD Financial Metrics

Revenue
$3.2B
Net Income
$-277.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$-5.32
Free Cash Flow
$559.5M
Total Assets
$6.3B
Cash Position
$222.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.57x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

MIDD Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 39.1%
Operating Margin 18.0%
Net Margin -8.7%
ROE -10.0%
ROA -4.4%
FCF Margin 17.5%

MIDD vs Industrial Sector

How MIDDLEBY Corp compares to Industrial sector averages

Net Margin
MIDD -8.7%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
MIDD Sector
ROE
MIDD -10.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MIDD Sector
Current Ratio
MIDD 2.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MIDD Sector
Debt/Equity
MIDD 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MIDD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MIDD Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, MIDDLEBY Corp shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Industrial sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-10.0%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-8.7%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.77x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MIDD Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.57x
Quick Ratio
1.92x
Debt/Equity
0.77x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$2.1B

MIDD 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MIDD 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $3.3B, Net Income $352.2M, EPS $6.33. Year 2022: Revenue $4.0B, Net Income $207.3M, EPS $3.76. Year 2023: Revenue $4.0B, Net Income $488.5M, EPS $8.62. Year 2024: Revenue $4.0B, Net Income $436.6M, EPS $7.95. Year 2025: Revenue $3.2B, Net Income $400.9M, EPS $7.41.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: MIDDLEBY Corp's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $7.41 reflects profitable operations.

MIDD Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
17.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MIDD Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for MIDDLEBY Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $942.8M $114.2M $2.11
Q2 2025 $977.9M $106.0M $1.99
Q1 2025 $906.6M $86.6M $1.59
Q3 2024 $942.8M $108.7M $2.01
Q2 2024 $991.5M $115.4M $2.13
Q1 2024 $926.9M $86.6M $1.59
Q3 2023 $980.7M $104.4M $1.92
Q2 2023 $1.0B $113.2M $2.07

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MIDD Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$630.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$723.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$70.7M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

MIDD SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for MIDDLEBY Corp (CIK: 0000769520)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 1, 2026 8-K d47931d8k.htm View →
Mar 25, 2026 8-K d136535d8k.htm View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773700514.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773700431.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773700357.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MIDD

What is the AI rating for MIDD?

MIDDLEBY Corp (MIDD) has an AI rating of SELL with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MIDD's key strengths?

Claude: Strong free cash flow generation of $559.5M with 17.5% FCF margin demonstrates underlying operational cash generation capability. Solid liquidity position with 2.57x current ratio and $222.2M cash, providing financial flexibility and payment capacity.

What are the risks of investing in MIDD?

Claude: Net loss of $277.7M represents 164.8% YoY deterioration, indicating significant below-the-line charges (likely impairments, restructuring, or acquisition-related costs). Negative returns metrics (ROE -10.0%, ROA -4.4%) suggest value destruction and inefficient capital deployment despite revenue generation.

What is MIDD's revenue and growth?

MIDDLEBY Corp reported revenue of $3.2B.

Does MIDD pay dividends?

MIDDLEBY Corp does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find MIDD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for MIDDLEBY Corp (CIK: 0000769520) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MIDD's EPS?

MIDDLEBY Corp has a diluted EPS of $-5.32.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MIDD a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, MIDDLEBY Corp has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MIDD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MIDD: ROE of -10.0% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -8.7% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MIDD stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives MIDDLEBY Corp a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MIDD's free cash flow?

MIDDLEBY Corp's operating cash flow is $630.2M, with capital expenditures of $70.7M. FCF margin is 17.5%.

How does MIDD compare to other Industrial stocks?

Vs Industrial sector averages: Net margin -8.7% (avg: 10%), ROE -10.0% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.57 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 1, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-01-03 | Powered by Claude AI