← Back to All US Stocks

MCO Stock Analysis 2026 - MOODYS CORP /DE/ AI Rating

MCO NYSE Services-Consumer Credit Reporting, Collection Agencies DE CIK: 0001059556
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 1, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
82% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MCO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $7.7B
Net Margin: 31.9%
Free Cash Flow: $2.6B
Current Ratio: 1.74x
Debt/Equity: 1.73x
EPS: $13.67
AI Rating: BUY with 82% confidence

Is MCO a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Moody's demonstrates exceptional profitability with a 31.9% net margin and 43.4% operating margin, supported by solid 8.9% revenue growth. The company generates substantial free cash flow of $2.6B with a 33.4% FCF margin, though the 1.73x debt-to-equity ratio requires monitoring given the $7.0B long-term debt load against $4.1B equity.

Why Buy MCO? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional operating margins of 43.4% and net margins of 31.9% demonstrate pricing power and operational efficiency
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $2.6B with 33.4% FCF margin indicates quality earnings and capital deployment flexibility
  • + Outstanding return metrics with 60.7% ROE and 15.5% ROA reflecting efficient use of shareholder capital
  • + Consistent revenue growth of 8.9% YoY with diluted EPS growth of 21.4% despite flat net income suggests strong share repurchase activity
  • + Healthy liquidity position with 1.74x current and quick ratios and $2.4B cash reserves

MCO Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! High financial leverage with 1.73x debt-to-equity ratio and $7.0B long-term debt relative to $4.1B equity creates vulnerability to economic downturns
  • ! Flat net income growth (-0.1% YoY) despite 8.9% revenue growth suggests margin pressure or higher operating expenses that warrant investigation
  • ! Significant dependence on credit rating cycles and broader financial market conditions typical of rating agencies creates cyclical business exposure
  • ! 32 Form 4 insider filings in 90 days could indicate elevated insider activity warranting further scrutiny on transaction rationale

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trend and ability to maintain 43%+ levels amid competitive pressures
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio trajectory and deleveraging progress relative to $7.0B long-term debt
  • * Net income growth acceleration relative to revenue growth to validate operating leverage
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital allocation decisions between dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction
  • * Credit rating market volumes and pricing power given cyclical industry exposure

MCO Financial Metrics

Revenue
$7.7B
Net Income
$2.5B
EPS (Diluted)
$13.67
Free Cash Flow
$2.6B
Total Assets
$15.8B
Cash Position
$2.4B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 33.4% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments.

MCO Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 43.4%
Net Margin 31.9%
ROE 60.7%
ROA 15.5%
FCF Margin 33.4%

MCO vs Consumer Sector

How MOODYS CORP /DE/ compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
MCO 31.9%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
MCO Sector
ROE
MCO 60.7%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
MCO Sector
Current Ratio
MCO 1.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
MCO Sector
Debt/Equity
MCO 1.7x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
MCO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MCO Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, MOODYS CORP /DE/ has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
60.7%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
31.9%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.73x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MCO Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.74x
Quick Ratio
1.74x
Debt/Equity
1.73x
Debt/Assets
73.4%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$7.0B

MCO 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MCO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $6.2B, Net Income $1.4B, EPS $7.42. Year 2022: Revenue $6.2B, Net Income $1.8B, EPS $9.39. Year 2023: Revenue $6.2B, Net Income $2.2B, EPS $11.78. Year 2024: Revenue $7.1B, Net Income $1.4B, EPS $7.44. Year 2025: Revenue $7.7B, Net Income $1.6B, EPS $8.73.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: MOODYS CORP /DE/'s revenue has grown significantly by 24% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $8.73 reflects profitable operations.

MCO Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
33.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MCO Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for MOODYS CORP /DE/ including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $1.8B $534.0M $2.93
Q2 2025 $1.8B $552.0M $3.02
Q1 2025 $1.8B $577.0M $3.15
Q3 2024 $1.5B $389.0M $2.11
Q2 2024 $1.5B $377.0M $2.05
Q1 2024 $1.5B $501.0M $2.72
Q3 2023 $1.3B $303.0M $1.65
Q2 2023 $1.4B $327.0M $1.77

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MCO Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$2.9B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$1.6B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$326.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$701.0M
Returned to shareholders

MCO SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for MOODYS CORP /DE/ (CIK: 0001059556)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773778627.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773778450.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773778382.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773778303.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773778241.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MCO

What is the AI rating for MCO?

MOODYS CORP /DE/ (MCO) has an AI rating of BUY with 82% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MCO's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional operating margins of 43.4% and net margins of 31.9% demonstrate pricing power and operational efficiency. Strong free cash flow generation of $2.6B with 33.4% FCF margin indicates quality earnings and capital deployment flexibility.

What are the risks of investing in MCO?

Claude: High financial leverage with 1.73x debt-to-equity ratio and $7.0B long-term debt relative to $4.1B equity creates vulnerability to economic downturns. Flat net income growth (-0.1% YoY) despite 8.9% revenue growth suggests margin pressure or higher operating expenses that warrant investigation.

What is MCO's revenue and growth?

MOODYS CORP /DE/ reported revenue of $7.7B.

Does MCO pay dividends?

MOODYS CORP /DE/ pays dividends, with $701.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MCO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for MOODYS CORP /DE/ (CIK: 0001059556) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MCO's EPS?

MOODYS CORP /DE/ has a diluted EPS of $13.67.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MCO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, MOODYS CORP /DE/ has a BUY rating with 82% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is MCO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MCO: ROE of 60.7% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 31.9% (sector avg: 8%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy MCO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives MOODYS CORP /DE/ a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MCO's free cash flow?

MOODYS CORP /DE/'s operating cash flow is $2.9B, with capital expenditures of $326.0M. FCF margin is 33.4%.

How does MCO compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin 31.9% (avg: 8%), ROE 60.7% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.74 (avg: 1.5).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 1, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI