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MC Stock Analysis 2026 - Moelis & Co AI Rating

MC NYSE Investment Advice DE CIK: 0001596967
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 1, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.5B
Net Margin: 15.4%
Free Cash Flow: $540.0M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $0.75
AI Rating: BUY with 78% confidence

Is MC a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Moelis & Co demonstrates strong fundamental performance with exceptional profitability metrics (15.4% net margin, 41% ROE) and robust revenue growth of 27% YoY, driven by its investment advisory business model. The company exhibits excellent financial health with zero leverage, substantial free cash flow generation ($540M FCF at 35.6% margin), and strong cash reserves relative to assets, providing operational flexibility.

Why Buy MC? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 27% YoY indicating robust market demand for advisory services
  • + Exceptional profitability metrics with 18.1% operating margin and 15.4% net margin typical of high-quality advisory firms
  • + Outstanding return on equity of 41% and ROA of 13.4% demonstrating efficient capital deployment
  • + Zero debt-to-equity ratio providing financial stability and strategic flexibility with no leverage risk
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation of $540M with 35.6% FCF margin, enabling shareholder distributions and investments
  • + Strong cash position of $508.6M representing 30% of total assets, providing liquidity buffer

MC Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Significant net income decline of 10.2% YoY despite 27% revenue growth suggests rising costs or one-time charges pressuring profitability
  • ! Investment advisory industry is cyclical and highly dependent on M&A activity, IPO markets, and capital markets volatility
  • ! Concentrated business model as advisory services revenue stream is vulnerable to economic downturns and market disruptions
  • ! High insider trading activity (21 Form 4 filings in 90 days) may indicate opportunistic selling or confidence signals requiring monitoring
  • ! Asset-light business model means future growth highly dependent on talent retention and market conditions

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trends and cost control to reconcile revenue growth with net income decline
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital allocation decisions between distributions and growth investments
  • * M&A transaction volume and advisory fee rates as leading indicators of revenue momentum
  • * Client concentration and advisory pipeline health as indicators of future revenue visibility
  • * Compensation ratios as percentage of revenue to monitor profitability sustainability

MC Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.5B
Net Income
$233.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.75
Free Cash Flow
$540.0M
Total Assets
$1.7B
Cash Position
$508.6M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 35.6% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MC Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 18.1%
Net Margin 15.4%
ROE 41.0%
ROA 13.4%
FCF Margin 35.6%

MC vs Default Sector

How Moelis & Co compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
MC 15.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MC Sector
ROE
MC 41.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MC Sector
Current Ratio
MC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MC Sector
Debt/Equity
MC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MC Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Moelis & Co appears fundamentally strong relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
41.0%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
15.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MC Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
60.9%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
N/A

MC 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MC 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Moelis & Co's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline.

MC Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
35.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MC Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$576.3M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$293.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$36.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$104.2M
Returned to shareholders

MC SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Moelis & Co (CIK: 0001596967)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 30, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 30, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 30, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 30, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 30, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MC

What is the AI rating for MC?

Moelis & Co (MC) has an AI rating of BUY with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MC's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 27% YoY indicating robust market demand for advisory services. Exceptional profitability metrics with 18.1% operating margin and 15.4% net margin typical of high-quality advisory firms.

What are the risks of investing in MC?

Claude: Significant net income decline of 10.2% YoY despite 27% revenue growth suggests rising costs or one-time charges pressuring profitability. Investment advisory industry is cyclical and highly dependent on M&A activity, IPO markets, and capital markets volatility.

What is MC's revenue and growth?

Moelis & Co reported revenue of $1.5B.

Does MC pay dividends?

Moelis & Co pays dividends, with $104.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Moelis & Co (CIK: 0001596967) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MC's EPS?

Moelis & Co has a diluted EPS of $0.75.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Moelis & Co has a BUY rating with 78% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is MC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MC: ROE of 41.0% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 15.4% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy MC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Moelis & Co a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MC's free cash flow?

Moelis & Co's operating cash flow is $576.3M, with capital expenditures of $36.3M. FCF margin is 35.6%.

How does MC compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 15.4% (avg: 12%), ROE 41.0% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 1, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI