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MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

MAX NYSE Services-Business Services, NEC DE CIK: 0001818383
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
76% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
80% Conf
HOLD
73% Conf

📊 MAX Key Takeaways

Revenue: $310.0M
Net Margin: 3.7%
Free Cash Flow: $-1.6M
Current Ratio: 1.46x
Debt/Equity: 85.29x
EPS: $0.21
AI Rating: SELL with 80% confidence
MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) receives a SELL rating with 76% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $310.0M, net profit margin of 3.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 598.2%, MediaAlpha, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Services sector. Below is our complete MAX stock analysis for 2026.

Is MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) a Good Investment?

Claude

MediaAlpha demonstrates strong revenue growth of 28.8% YoY, but this is severely undermined by critical financial distress signals: negative operating cash flow (-$1.6M) despite reported profitability, extreme leverage with 85.29x debt-to-equity ratio, and liabilities exceeding total assets. The disconnect between accounting profits and cash generation indicates unsustainable fundamentals.

ChatGPT

MediaAlpha shows strong top-line momentum, with revenue up 28.8% year over year and solid free cash flow generation supported by very low capital intensity. However, profitability remains thin, net income was flat despite strong revenue growth, and the balance sheet is highly levered with minimal equity and only modest interest coverage, which limits the quality of that growth.

Why Buy MediaAlpha, Inc. Stock? MAX Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 28.8% YoY demonstrates market traction and customer demand
  • + Positive operating income ($22.4M) and net income ($11.5M) with improving diluted EPS (+25.8% YoY)
  • + Adequate interest coverage ratio of 10.2x and acceptable liquidity ratios (1.46x current/quick)
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue growth is strong at 28.8% year over year, indicating continued demand and market traction
  • + Operating cash flow of $65.60M and free cash flow of $65.26M show the business converts earnings into cash effectively
  • + Low capital expenditure needs support cash generation and reduce reinvestment burden

MAX Stock Risks: MediaAlpha, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative operating cash flow (-$1.6M) signals inability to convert profits into cash from core operations, indicating potential accounting quality issues
  • ! Extreme financial leverage with 85.29x debt-to-equity ratio and liabilities ($396.8M) exceeding assets ($367.7M) by $29.1M
  • ! Thin profit margins (7.2% operating, 3.7% net) combined with negative FCF leave no buffer for operational disruption or debt service challenges
ChatGPT
  • ! Operating margin of 2.0% and net margin of 2.3% leave little room for execution missteps or cyclical pressure
  • ! Debt/equity of 36.88x and stockholders' equity of only $4.16M indicate a very fragile capital structure
  • ! Interest coverage of 2.1x suggests limited cushion if borrowing costs rise or earnings weaken

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trajectory (critical inflection point)
  • * Net debt reduction and refinancing ability under extreme leverage
  • * Gross profit margin sustainability and cost structure efficiency
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and net income growth versus revenue growth
  • * Interest coverage, debt reduction, and stockholders' equity trend

MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$310.0M
Net Income
$11.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.21
Free Cash Flow
$-1.6M
Total Assets
$367.7M
Cash Position
$26.1M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

MediaAlpha, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

MAX Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 7.2%
Net Margin 3.7%
ROE 598.2%
ROA 3.1%
FCF Margin -0.5%

MAX vs Services Sector: How MediaAlpha, Inc. Compares

How MediaAlpha, Inc. compares to Services sector averages

Net Margin
MAX 3.7%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
MAX Sector
ROE
MAX 598.2%
vs
Sector Avg 16.0%
MAX Sector
Current Ratio
MAX 1.5x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
MAX Sector
Debt/Equity
MAX 85.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MAX Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MediaAlpha, Inc. Stock Overvalued? MAX Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, MediaAlpha, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Services sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
598.2%
Sector avg: 16%
Net Profit Margin
3.7%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
85.29x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MediaAlpha, Inc. Balance Sheet: MAX Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.46x
Quick Ratio
1.46x
Debt/Equity
85.29x
Debt/Assets
107.9%
Interest Coverage
10.17x
Long-term Debt
$163.5M

MAX Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

MAX 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $645.3M, Net Income -$4.4M, EPS $-0.14. Year 2022: Revenue $645.3M, Net Income -$4.4M, EPS $-0.14. Year 2023: Revenue $645.3M, Net Income -$5.3M, EPS $-0.19. Year 2024: Revenue $864.7M, Net Income -$57.7M, EPS $-1.37. Year 2025: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income -$40.4M, EPS $-0.89.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: MediaAlpha, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 73% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.89 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

MAX Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-0.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MAX Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for MediaAlpha, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $264.3M -$1.9M $-0.04
Q3 2025 $259.1M -$5.8M $-0.11
Q2 2025 $178.3M $2.5M $0.04
Q1 2025 $126.6M -$1.1M $-0.02
Q3 2024 $74.6M $9.5M $0.17
Q2 2024 $84.8M $2.5M $0.04
Q1 2024 $111.6M -$1.1M $-0.02
Q3 2023 $74.6M -$13.5M $-0.29

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MediaAlpha, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$1.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$20.3M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$42.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

MAX SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for MediaAlpha, Inc. (CIK: 0001818383)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 7, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778185305.xml View →
May 7, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778185299.xml View →
May 7, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778185293.xml View →
May 7, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778185288.xml View →
May 6, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778107039.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MAX

What is the AI rating for MAX?

MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 76% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MAX's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 28.8% YoY demonstrates market traction and customer demand. Positive operating income ($22.4M) and net income ($11.5M) with improving diluted EPS (+25.8% YoY). ChatGPT: Revenue growth is strong at 28.8% year over year, indicating continued demand and market traction. Operating cash flow of $65.60M and free cash flow of $65.26M show the business converts earnings into cash effectively.

What are the risks of investing in MAX?

Claude: Negative operating cash flow (-$1.6M) signals inability to convert profits into cash from core operations, indicating potential accounting quality issues. Extreme financial leverage with 85.29x debt-to-equity ratio and liabilities ($396.8M) exceeding assets ($367.7M) by $29.1M. ChatGPT: Operating margin of 2.0% and net margin of 2.3% leave little room for execution missteps or cyclical pressure. Debt/equity of 36.88x and stockholders' equity of only $4.16M indicate a very fragile capital structure.

What is MAX's revenue and growth?

MediaAlpha, Inc. reported revenue of $310.0M.

Does MAX pay dividends?

MediaAlpha, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find MAX SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for MediaAlpha, Inc. (CIK: 0001818383) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MAX's EPS?

MediaAlpha, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.21.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MAX a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, MediaAlpha, Inc. has a SELL rating with 76% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MAX stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MAX: ROE of 598.2% (sector avg: 16%), net margin of 3.7% (sector avg: 10%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy MAX stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives MediaAlpha, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MAX's free cash flow?

MediaAlpha, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-1.6M, with capital expenditures of $42.0K. FCF margin is -0.5%.

How does MAX compare to other Services stocks?

Vs Services sector averages: Net margin 3.7% (avg: 10%), ROE 598.2% (avg: 16%), current ratio 1.46 (avg: 1.5).

Is MediaAlpha, Inc. carrying too much debt?

MAX has a debt-to-equity ratio of 85.29x, which is above the Services sector average of 0.7x. However, the current ratio of 1.46 suggests adequate short-term liquidity.

Why is MAX's return on equity (ROE) so high?

MediaAlpha, Inc. has a return on equity of 598.2%, significantly above the Services sector average of 16%. A high ROE indicates the company is efficient at generating profits from shareholder equity. This is supported by a 3.7% net margin.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI