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JPM Stock Analysis 2026 - JPMORGAN CHASE & CO AI Rating

JPM CIK: 0000019617
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 19, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
62% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 JPM Key Takeaways

Revenue: $182.4B
Net Margin: 31.3%
Free Cash Flow: $-147.8B
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.74x
EPS: $20.02
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Is JPM a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

JPMorgan Chase demonstrates solid profitability with strong net margins (31.3%) and healthy ROE (15.7%), supported by massive revenue growth of 91.2% YoY. However, the negative operating cash flow of -$147.8B and concerning free cash flow margin of -81% raise significant questions about cash generation quality and operational sustainability that overshadow the top-line growth.

Why Buy JPM? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 91.2% YoY indicating strong business momentum and market demand
  • + High profitability metrics with 31.3% net margin and 39.8% operating margin demonstrating pricing power and operational efficiency
  • + Strong balance sheet with $343.3B in cash equivalents and manageable 0.74x debt-to-equity ratio providing financial flexibility
  • + Solid return on equity of 15.7% showing effective capital deployment despite challenges

JPM Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Severe negative operating cash flow of -$147.8B and -81% FCF margin indicating the company is burning cash rather than generating it operationally
  • ! Massive divergence between reported net income ($57.0B) and negative operating cash flow suggests potential earnings quality concerns or significant working capital deterioration
  • ! Low interest coverage ratio of 3.0x leaves limited margin of safety if interest rates rise or credit conditions tighten in banking sector
  • ! Zero insider purchases in last 90 days may indicate management confidence concerns about near-term prospects

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend - critical to determine if negative FCF is structural or temporary
  • * Net income sustainability relative to cash generation - watch for widening gap between earnings and cash conversion
  • * Debt servicing capability and interest coverage ratio - monitor closely given low 3.0x coverage in rising rate environment
  • * Working capital dynamics and loan loss provisions - key drivers of the cash flow divergence

JPM Financial Metrics

Revenue
$182.4B
Net Income
$57.0B
EPS (Diluted)
$20.02
Free Cash Flow
$-147.8B
Total Assets
$4.4T
Cash Position
$343.3B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

JPM Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 39.8%
Net Margin 31.3%
ROE 15.7%
ROA 1.3%
FCF Margin -81.0%

JPM vs Default Sector

How JPMORGAN CHASE & CO compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
JPM 31.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
JPM Sector
ROE
JPM 15.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
JPM Sector
Current Ratio
JPM 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
JPM Sector
Debt/Equity
JPM 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
JPM Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is JPM Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, JPMORGAN CHASE & CO has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
15.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
31.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.74x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

JPM Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.74x
Debt/Assets
91.8%
Interest Coverage
2.98x
Long-term Debt
$269.9B

JPM 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

JPM 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $121.6B, Net Income $36.4B, EPS $10.72. Year 2022: Revenue $128.7B, Net Income $29.1B, EPS $8.88. Year 2023: Revenue $158.1B, Net Income $48.3B, EPS $15.36. Year 2024: Revenue $177.6B, Net Income $37.7B, EPS $12.09. Year 2025: Revenue $182.4B, Net Income $49.6B, EPS $16.23.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: JPMORGAN CHASE & CO's revenue has grown significantly by 50% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $16.23 reflects profitable operations.

JPM Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-81.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

JPM Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for JPMORGAN CHASE & CO including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2014 $23.1B -$126.0M $-0.17
Q2 2014 $24.5B $3.1B $1.46
Q1 2014 $23.0B $4.9B $1.28
Q3 2013 $23.1B -$126.0M $-0.17
Q2 2013 $22.2B $3.1B $1.21
Q1 2013 $25.1B $4.6B $1.19
Q3 2012 $23.8B $3.9B $1.02
Q2 2012 $22.2B $4.6B $1.21

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

JPM Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$147.8B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$31.6B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends Paid
$16.6B
Returned to shareholders

JPM SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for JPMORGAN CHASE & CO (CIK: 0000019617)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 23, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primary_doc.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about JPM

What is the AI rating for JPM?

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO (JPM) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are JPM's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 91.2% YoY indicating strong business momentum and market demand. High profitability metrics with 31.3% net margin and 39.8% operating margin demonstrating pricing power and operational efficiency.

What are the risks of investing in JPM?

Claude: Severe negative operating cash flow of -$147.8B and -81% FCF margin indicating the company is burning cash rather than generating it operationally. Massive divergence between reported net income ($57.0B) and negative operating cash flow suggests potential earnings quality concerns or significant working capital deterioration.

What is JPM's revenue and growth?

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO reported revenue of $182.4B.

Does JPM pay dividends?

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO pays dividends, with $16,625.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find JPM SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for JPMORGAN CHASE & CO (CIK: 0000019617) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is JPM's EPS?

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO has a diluted EPS of $20.02.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is JPM a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, JPMORGAN CHASE & CO has a HOLD rating with 62% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is JPM stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for JPM: ROE of 15.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 31.3% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy JPM stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives JPMORGAN CHASE & CO a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is JPM's free cash flow?

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO's operating cash flow is $-147.8B, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is -81.0%.

How does JPM compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 31.3% (avg: 12%), ROE 15.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI