← Back to All US Stocks

NCDL Stock Analysis 2026 - Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. AI Rating

NCDL NYSE MD CIK: 0001737924
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 13, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
55% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 NCDL Key Takeaways

Revenue: N/A
Net Margin: N/A
Free Cash Flow: $194.2M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 1.27x
EPS: $1.86
AI Rating: HOLD with 55% confidence

Is NCDL a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

While operating cash flow remains robust at $194.2M, the company faces significant headwinds with net income declining 43.6% YoY and critically low cash reserves ($8.6M) relative to $1.1B debt burden. The deteriorating profitability and weak returns (7.5% ROE) suggest portfolio stress or margin compression typical of BDCs in tightening credit environments.

Why Buy NCDL? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong operating cash flow generation of $194.2M supports debt service capacity
  • + Moderate leverage ratio of 1.27x debt-to-equity is reasonable for a lending company
  • + Established asset base of $2.1B provides diversified loan portfolio

NCDL Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Severe profitability decline of 43.6% YoY indicates potential portfolio deterioration or loan defaults
  • ! Critically low cash position of $8.6M (0.4% of assets) creates liquidity vulnerability with $1.1B debt obligations
  • ! Declining returns on equity (7.5%) and diluted EPS (-17.7% YoY) suggest asset quality issues or compressed net investment income margins

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly net investment income and dividend coverage ratio sustainability
  • * Portfolio credit quality metrics and loan loss provisions
  • * Cash position relative to debt maturities and interest coverage

NCDL Financial Metrics

Revenue
N/A
Net Income
$65.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.86
Free Cash Flow
$194.2M
Total Assets
$2.1B
Cash Position
$8.6M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NCDL Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin N/A
ROE 7.5%
ROA 3.2%
FCF Margin N/A

NCDL vs Default Sector

How Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
NCDL 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NCDL Sector
ROE
NCDL 7.5%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
NCDL Sector
Current Ratio
NCDL 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
NCDL Sector
Debt/Equity
NCDL 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
NCDL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is NCDL Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
7.5%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
N/A
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.27x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

NCDL Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.27x
Debt/Assets
57.4%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$1.1B

NCDL 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

NCDL 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $2.52 reflects profitable operations.

NCDL Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
N/A
Free cash flow / Revenue

NCDL Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$194.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$65.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends Paid
$102.3M
Returned to shareholders

NCDL SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (CIK: 0001737924)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 7, 2026 DEF 14A ncdlc-20260406.htm View →
Mar 20, 2026 8-K ncdlc-20260317.htm View →
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →
Mar 11, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →
Mar 6, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NCDL

What is the AI rating for NCDL?

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) has an AI rating of HOLD with 55% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NCDL's key strengths?

Claude: Strong operating cash flow generation of $194.2M supports debt service capacity. Moderate leverage ratio of 1.27x debt-to-equity is reasonable for a lending company.

What are the risks of investing in NCDL?

Claude: Severe profitability decline of 43.6% YoY indicates potential portfolio deterioration or loan defaults. Critically low cash position of $8.6M (0.4% of assets) creates liquidity vulnerability with $1.1B debt obligations.

What is NCDL's revenue and growth?

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. reported revenue of N/A.

Does NCDL pay dividends?

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. pays dividends, with $102.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NCDL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (CIK: 0001737924) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NCDL's EPS?

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. has a diluted EPS of $1.86.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NCDL a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. has a HOLD rating with 55% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is NCDL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NCDL: ROE of 7.5% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of N/A (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy NCDL stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NCDL's free cash flow?

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s operating cash flow is $194.2M, with capital expenditures of N/A.

How does NCDL compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin N/A (avg: 12%), ROE 7.5% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 13, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI