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Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

NCDL NYSE MD CIK: 0001737924
Update Pending • Analysis: May 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
C
68% Confidence
AGREEMENT
C
72% Conf
B
64% Conf

📊 NCDL Key Takeaways

Revenue: N/A
Net Margin: N/A
Free Cash Flow: $-13.7M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 1.32x
EPS: $1.86
AI Grade: C with 72% confidence
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) receives a C fundamental grade with 68% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings., and return on equity (ROE) of 1.0% Below is our complete NCDL stock analysis for 2026.

Is Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) a Good Investment?

Claude

NCDL exhibits deteriorating operational performance with net income declining 43.6% YoY and negative operating cash flow of -$13.7M, indicating significant portfolio stress. Critically low returns on equity (1.0%) and assets (0.4%) demonstrate the lending portfolio is severely underperforming, while minimal cash reserves of $15.3M are insufficient to support $1.2B in liabilities.

ChatGPT

Profitability has weakened, with net income down sharply year over year and ROE at a modest 7.5%, suggesting pressure on earnings quality or credit marks. However, leverage is moderate for a lender and operating cash flow is strong relative to net income, providing some cushion to support obligations and reinvestment. Maintain a neutral stance while watching for stabilization in core earnings and credit performance.

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. Key Strengths (NCDL)

Claude
  • + Substantial asset base of $2.0B provides operational foundation
  • + Moderate leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 1.32x
  • + Established stockholders' equity of $864.1M
ChatGPT
  • + Robust operating cash flow ($194.16M) supporting liquidity needs
  • + Moderate leverage (Debt/Equity 1.27x) with a sizable $875.18M equity base
  • + Positive profitability ($65.61M net income) on a $2.05B asset base

NCDL Stock Risks: Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Net income collapsed 43.6% year-over-year signaling accelerating deterioration
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -$13.7M indicates the company is burning cash operationally
  • ! Dangerously low returns on equity (1.0%) and assets (0.4%) suggest portfolio underperformance and credit stress
  • ! Critically low cash position ($15.3M) relative to total liabilities ($1.2B) creates liquidity risk
ChatGPT
  • ! Significant YoY earnings decline (-43.6%) indicating profitability pressure
  • ! Low cash balance ($8.55M) against sizable long-term debt ($1.11B)
  • ! Potential credit quality and mark-to-market volatility weighing on ROE (7.5%)

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly operating cash flow trend and cash burn trajectory
  • * Portfolio credit quality metrics and loan loss provisions
  • * Net income stabilization and return on equity recovery
  • * Cash reserve levels and debt covenant compliance
ChatGPT
  • * NII per share (EPS) trend
  • * Non-accrual rate

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
N/A
Net Income
$8.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.86
Free Cash Flow
$-13.7M
Total Assets
$2.0B
Cash Position
$15.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NCDL Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin N/A
ROE 1.0%
ROA 0.4%
FCF Margin N/A

NCDL vs Market Sector: How Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. Compares

How Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
NCDL 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NCDL Sector
ROE
NCDL 1.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
NCDL Sector
Current Ratio
NCDL 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
NCDL Sector
Debt/Equity
NCDL 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
NCDL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. Stock Overvalued? NCDL Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.0%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
N/A
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.32x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. Balance Sheet: NCDL Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.32x
Debt/Assets
57.8%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$1.1B

NCDL Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

NCDL 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $2.52 reflects profitable operations.

NCDL Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
N/A
Free cash flow / Revenue

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$13.7M
Cash generated from operations
Dividends Paid
$22.2M
Returned to shareholders

NCDL SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (CIK: 0001737924)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 28, 2026 8-K ncdlc-20260521.htm View →
May 15, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
May 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
May 7, 2026 8-K ncdlc-20260507.htm View →
May 7, 2026 10-Q ncdlc-20260331.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NCDL

What is the AI rating for NCDL?

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (B) with 68% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NCDL's key strengths?

Claude: Substantial asset base of $2.0B provides operational foundation. Moderate leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 1.32x. ChatGPT: Robust operating cash flow ($194.16M) supporting liquidity needs. Moderate leverage (Debt/Equity 1.27x) with a sizable $875.18M equity base.

What are the risks of investing in NCDL?

Claude: Net income collapsed 43.6% year-over-year signaling accelerating deterioration. Negative operating cash flow of -$13.7M indicates the company is burning cash operationally. ChatGPT: Significant YoY earnings decline (-43.6%) indicating profitability pressure. Low cash balance ($8.55M) against sizable long-term debt ($1.11B).

What is NCDL's revenue and growth?

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. reported revenue of N/A.

Does NCDL pay dividends?

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. pays dividends, with $22.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NCDL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (CIK: 0001737924) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NCDL's EPS?

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. has a diluted EPS of $1.86.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is NCDL's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. has a C grade with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is NCDL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NCDL: ROE of 1.0% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of N/A (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is NCDL's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NCDL's free cash flow?

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s operating cash flow is $-13.7M, with capital expenditures of N/A.

How does NCDL compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin N/A (avg: 12%), ROE 1.0% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI