← Back to All US Stocks

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (GBDC) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

GBDC Nasdaq DE CIK: 0001476765
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
70% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
HOLD
68% Conf
HOLD
72% Conf

📊 GBDC Key Takeaways

Revenue: N/A
Net Margin: N/A
Free Cash Flow: $460.8M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 1.25x
EPS: $0.07
AI Rating: HOLD with 68% confidence
GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (GBDC) receives a HOLD rating with 70% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings., and return on equity (ROE) of 0.5% Below is our complete GBDC stock analysis for 2026.

Is GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (GBDC) a Good Investment?

Claude

GBDC demonstrates solid net income growth (+37.6% YoY) and strong operating cash flow generation ($460.8M), but critically low capital efficiency (ROE 0.5%, ROA 0.2%) combined with high leverage (1.25x D/E, $4.7B debt) creates material financial risk. Poor returns on substantial assets indicate underlying portfolio or credit quality challenges that offset profit growth.

ChatGPT

Golub Capital BDC shows solid fundamental stability with positive net income growth, positive diluted EPS growth, and strong operating cash generation relative to its earnings base. However, low ROE/ROA and a heavily leveraged balance sheet limit the quality of that growth, so the fundamentals support a neutral stance rather than a clearly aggressive rating.

Why Buy GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. Stock? GBDC Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Net income growth accelerating at 37.6% year-over-year with improving earnings trajectory
  • + Strong operating cash flow generation of $460.8M provides substantial liquidity and debt servicing capacity
  • + Significant asset base of $8.5B demonstrates scale and market position in BDC sector
ChatGPT
  • + Net income increased 37.6% year over year, indicating improved earnings momentum
  • + Operating cash flow of $212.01M materially exceeds net income, supporting earnings quality and cash generation
  • + Large equity base of $3.91B provides a meaningful capital cushion against portfolio volatility

GBDC Stock Risks: GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critically depressed returns on equity (0.5%) and assets (0.2%) well below BDC industry norms of 8-12% ROE
  • ! High financial leverage with $4.7B long-term debt and 1.25x debt-to-equity ratio creates refinancing and interest rate sensitivity risk
  • ! Cash position of only $135.2M (1.6% of assets) inadequate relative to $4.7B debt burden, limiting financial flexibility
ChatGPT
  • ! Long-term debt of $4.88B and debt-to-equity of 1.25x create meaningful balance-sheet sensitivity
  • ! ROE of 1.7% and ROA of 0.7% indicate weak underlying profitability relative to capital employed
  • ! Revenue, margin, and interest coverage data are unavailable, reducing visibility into operating efficiency and credit risk absorption

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Return on equity trajectory - must sustainably exceed 3% to justify leverage level and reduce default risk
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio and net debt levels - critical to monitor given tight cash position
  • * Portfolio credit quality metrics and loan loss provisions - underlying driver of low returns
ChatGPT
  • * Net investment income and ROE trend
  • * Debt-to-equity and non-accrual/credit quality trend

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (GBDC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
N/A
Net Income
$18.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.07
Free Cash Flow
$460.8M
Total Assets
$8.5B
Cash Position
$135.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

GBDC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin N/A
ROE 0.5%
ROA 0.2%
FCF Margin N/A

GBDC vs Market Sector: How GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. Compares

How GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
GBDC 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
GBDC Sector
ROE
GBDC 0.5%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
GBDC Sector
Current Ratio
GBDC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
GBDC Sector
Debt/Equity
GBDC 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
GBDC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. Stock Overvalued? GBDC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
0.5%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
N/A
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.25x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. Balance Sheet: GBDC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.25x
Debt/Assets
56.1%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$4.7B

GBDC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

GBDC 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $1.52 reflects profitable operations.

GBDC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
N/A
Free cash flow / Revenue

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$460.8M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$63.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends Paid
$156.8M
Returned to shareholders

GBDC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (CIK: 0001476765)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 4, 2026 10-Q gbdc-20260331.htm View →
May 4, 2026 8-K gbdc-20260504.htm View →
May 4, 2026 8-K gbdc-20260504.htm View →
Apr 6, 2026 8-K gbdc-20260406.htm View →
Feb 5, 2026 8-K gbdc-20260202.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GBDC

What is the AI rating for GBDC?

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (GBDC) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 70% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GBDC's key strengths?

Claude: Net income growth accelerating at 37.6% year-over-year with improving earnings trajectory. Strong operating cash flow generation of $460.8M provides substantial liquidity and debt servicing capacity. ChatGPT: Net income increased 37.6% year over year, indicating improved earnings momentum. Operating cash flow of $212.01M materially exceeds net income, supporting earnings quality and cash generation.

What are the risks of investing in GBDC?

Claude: Critically depressed returns on equity (0.5%) and assets (0.2%) well below BDC industry norms of 8-12% ROE. High financial leverage with $4.7B long-term debt and 1.25x debt-to-equity ratio creates refinancing and interest rate sensitivity risk. ChatGPT: Long-term debt of $4.88B and debt-to-equity of 1.25x create meaningful balance-sheet sensitivity. ROE of 1.7% and ROA of 0.7% indicate weak underlying profitability relative to capital employed.

What is GBDC's revenue and growth?

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. reported revenue of N/A.

Does GBDC pay dividends?

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. pays dividends, with $156.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find GBDC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (CIK: 0001476765) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GBDC's EPS?

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.07.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GBDC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is GBDC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GBDC: ROE of 0.5% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of N/A (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy GBDC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GBDC's free cash flow?

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $460.8M, with capital expenditures of N/A.

How does GBDC compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin N/A (avg: 12%), ROE 0.5% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Top Rated Stocks
AAPL 92% MSFT 92% FAST 92% DT 92% DECK 92% DAVEW 92% CTAS 92% CRUS 92% CRMD 92% CRDO 92%
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI