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Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ (FSS) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

FSS NYSE Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies DE CIK: 0000277509
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
77% Confidence
AGREEMENT
HOLD
72% Conf
BUY
82% Conf

📊 FSS Key Takeaways

Revenue: $625.6M
Net Margin: 11.3%
Free Cash Flow: $94.6M
Current Ratio: 2.84x
Debt/Equity: 0.38x
EPS: $1.14
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence
Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ (FSS) receives a BUY rating with 77% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $625.6M, net profit margin of 11.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of 4.9%, Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Automotive sector. Below is our complete FSS stock analysis for 2026.

Is Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ (FSS) a Good Investment?

Claude

Federal Signal demonstrates strong financial fundamentals with exceptional free cash flow generation ($94.6M, 15.1% margin) and excellent debt management (14.4x interest coverage). However, complete revenue stagnation (0% YoY) combined with weak capital returns (ROE 4.9%, ROA 2.9%) indicate a mature business unable to drive growth, limiting upside potential despite operational efficiency.

ChatGPT

Federal Signal shows strong fundamental quality through solid double-digit earnings growth, healthy margins, and robust free cash flow generation despite flat revenue. The balance sheet appears sound, with strong liquidity, moderate leverage, and high interest coverage, indicating resilience and financial flexibility. The main limitation is muted top-line growth, so continued margin discipline and conversion of earnings into cash are critical to sustaining momentum.

Why Buy Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ Stock? FSS Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation of $94.6M with 15.1% FCF margin
  • + Excellent debt management with 14.4x interest coverage ratio and 0.38x debt-to-equity
  • + Operational efficiency demonstrated by 14% net income growth despite flat revenue
  • + Strong liquidity position with 2.84x current ratio
  • + Solid gross and operating margins at 28.7% and 15.9% respectively
ChatGPT
  • + Strong profitability profile with 28.9% gross margin, 15.6% operating margin, and 11.3% net margin
  • + High-quality earnings growth, with net income up 14.0% and diluted EPS up 14.6% despite flat revenue
  • + Healthy financial position supported by 3.02x current ratio, 0.41x debt-to-equity, 24.2x interest coverage, and solid free cash flow

FSS Stock Risks: Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Revenue completely stagnant at 0% YoY growth indicating fundamental market or competitive challenges
  • ! Weak capital returns (ROE 4.9%, ROA 2.9%) suggest inefficient capital deployment
  • ! Substantial long-term debt ($548.6M) relative to minimal cash position ($71.4M)
  • ! Minimal capital expenditure ($6.7M) indicates underinvestment in growth initiatives
  • ! Earnings growth driven by cost management rather than organic revenue expansion - unsustainable model
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue growth is currently stagnant, which may limit future earnings expansion if margin gains slow
  • ! Cash balance is relatively modest compared with long-term debt, reducing cushion in a downturn
  • ! Industrial and vehicle-related end markets can be cyclical, which could pressure orders, margins, and cash flow

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth rate - require positive top-line momentum to upgrade rating
  • * Return on equity and assets - need improvement to 8%+ to indicate better capital efficiency
  • * Free cash flow consistency - monitor if FCF remains sustainably above $90M
ChatGPT
  • * Revenue growth and order/bookings momentum
  • * Free cash flow conversion and operating margin sustainability

Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ (FSS) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$625.6M
Net Income
$70.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.14
Free Cash Flow
$94.6M
Total Assets
$2.5B
Cash Position
$71.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.84x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

FSS Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 28.7%
Operating Margin 15.9%
Net Margin 11.3%
ROE 4.9%
ROA 2.9%
FCF Margin 15.1%

FSS vs Automotive Sector: How Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ Compares

How Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ compares to Automotive sector averages

Net Margin
FSS 11.3%
vs
Sector Avg 6.0%
FSS Sector
ROE
FSS 4.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
FSS Sector
Current Ratio
FSS 2.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
FSS Sector
Debt/Equity
FSS 0.4x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
FSS Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ Stock Overvalued? FSS Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Automotive sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
4.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
11.3%
Sector avg: 6%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.38x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ Balance Sheet: FSS Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.84x
Quick Ratio
1.29x
Debt/Equity
0.38x
Debt/Assets
41.6%
Interest Coverage
14.45x
Long-term Debt
$548.6M

FSS Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

FSS 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $108.5M, EPS $1.76. Year 2022: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $96.2M, EPS $1.56. Year 2023: Revenue $1.7B, Net Income $100.6M, EPS $1.63. Year 2024: Revenue $1.9B, Net Income $120.4M, EPS $1.97. Year 2025: Revenue $2.2B, Net Income $157.4M, EPS $2.56.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Federal Signal Corp. /DE/'s revenue has grown significantly by 79% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $2.56 reflects profitable operations.

FSS Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
15.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

FSS Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $463.8M $46.3M $0.75
Q3 2025 $474.2M $53.9M $0.87
Q2 2025 $490.4M $60.8M $0.99
Q1 2025 $424.9M $46.3M $0.75
Q3 2024 $446.4M $43.3M $0.71
Q2 2024 $442.4M $40.3M $0.66
Q1 2024 $385.5M $27.4M $0.45
Q3 2023 $346.4M $31.8M $0.52

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$101.3M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$6.7M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$9.2M
Returned to shareholders

FSS SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ (CIK: 0000277509)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778014976.xml View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778014670.xml View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778014604.xml View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778014546.xml View →
Apr 29, 2026 10-Q fss-20260331.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FSS

What is the AI rating for FSS?

Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ (FSS) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 77% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FSS's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation of $94.6M with 15.1% FCF margin. Excellent debt management with 14.4x interest coverage ratio and 0.38x debt-to-equity. ChatGPT: Strong profitability profile with 28.9% gross margin, 15.6% operating margin, and 11.3% net margin. High-quality earnings growth, with net income up 14.0% and diluted EPS up 14.6% despite flat revenue.

What are the risks of investing in FSS?

Claude: Revenue completely stagnant at 0% YoY growth indicating fundamental market or competitive challenges. Weak capital returns (ROE 4.9%, ROA 2.9%) suggest inefficient capital deployment. ChatGPT: Revenue growth is currently stagnant, which may limit future earnings expansion if margin gains slow. Cash balance is relatively modest compared with long-term debt, reducing cushion in a downturn.

What is FSS's revenue and growth?

Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ reported revenue of $625.6M.

Does FSS pay dividends?

Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ pays dividends, with $9.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find FSS SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ (CIK: 0000277509) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FSS's EPS?

Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ has a diluted EPS of $1.14.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is FSS a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ has a BUY rating with 77% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is FSS stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FSS: ROE of 4.9% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 11.3% (sector avg: 6%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy FSS stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Federal Signal Corp. /DE/ a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FSS's free cash flow?

Federal Signal Corp. /DE/'s operating cash flow is $101.3M, with capital expenditures of $6.7M. FCF margin is 15.1%.

How does FSS compare to other Automotive stocks?

Vs Automotive sector averages: Net margin 11.3% (avg: 6%), ROE 4.9% (avg: 12%), current ratio 2.84 (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI