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FSS Stock Analysis 2026 - FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/ AI Rating

FSS NYSE Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies DE CIK: 0000277509
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 25, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
75% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 FSS Key Takeaways

Revenue: $2.2B
Net Margin: 11.3%
Free Cash Flow: $227.1M
Current Ratio: 3.02x
Debt/Equity: 0.41x
EPS: $4.01
AI Rating: BUY with 75% confidence

Is FSS a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Federal Signal demonstrates solid fundamental health with strong profitability metrics (11.3% net margin, 17.8% ROE) and excellent cash generation (FCF of $227.1M). While revenue growth is stagnant at 0% YoY, net income grew 14% driven by operational efficiency, and the company maintains fortress-like balance sheet strength with 3.02x current ratio and 24.2x interest coverage.

Why Buy FSS? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation ($227.1M) with 10.4% FCF margin indicating high-quality earnings
  • + Strong balance sheet with conservative 0.41x debt-to-equity ratio and 24.2x interest coverage ratio
  • + Solid profitability with double-digit net income growth (14% YoY) despite flat revenue
  • + Excellent liquidity position (3.02x current ratio, 1.35x quick ratio) provides financial flexibility
  • + Consistent returns on equity (17.8%) and assets (10.3%) demonstrate capital efficiency

FSS Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Stagnant top-line revenue (0% YoY growth) suggests mature/declining market or competitive pressures
  • ! Net income growth (+14% YoY) is being driven by margin expansion rather than volume growth, which may not be sustainable
  • ! SIC 3711 (Motor Vehicles sector) classification suggests cyclical business exposure vulnerable to economic downturns
  • ! Relatively low cash position ($63.7M) despite strong FCF generation raises questions about capital allocation priorities

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth acceleration or stabilization - currently at 0% YoY is concerning for a capital-intensive business
  • * Operating margin sustainability - verify whether the 15.6% operating margin can be maintained
  • * Free cash flow conversion - monitor if the strong 10.4% FCF margin continues as revenue stabilizes
  • * Debt reduction pace - track whether management deploys excess cash for deleveraging or shareholder returns
  • * Capital expenditure trends - confirm CapEx remains disciplined relative to depreciation

FSS Financial Metrics

Revenue
$2.2B
Net Income
$246.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$4.01
Free Cash Flow
$227.1M
Total Assets
$2.4B
Cash Position
$63.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 3.02x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

FSS Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 28.9%
Operating Margin 15.6%
Net Margin 11.3%
ROE 17.8%
ROA 10.3%
FCF Margin 10.4%

FSS vs Default Sector

How FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/ compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
FSS 11.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
FSS Sector
ROE
FSS 17.8%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
FSS Sector
Current Ratio
FSS 3.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
FSS Sector
Debt/Equity
FSS 0.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
FSS Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is FSS Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/ has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
17.8%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
11.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.41x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

FSS Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.02x
Quick Ratio
1.35x
Debt/Equity
0.41x
Debt/Assets
42.2%
Interest Coverage
24.18x
Long-term Debt
$564.6M

FSS 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

FSS 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $108.5M, EPS $1.76. Year 2022: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $96.2M, EPS $1.56. Year 2023: Revenue $1.7B, Net Income $100.6M, EPS $1.63. Year 2024: Revenue $1.9B, Net Income $120.4M, EPS $1.97. Year 2025: Revenue $2.2B, Net Income $157.4M, EPS $2.56.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/'s revenue has grown significantly by 79% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $2.56 reflects profitable operations.

FSS Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
10.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

FSS Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/ including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $474.2M $53.9M $0.87
Q2 2025 $490.4M $60.8M $0.99
Q1 2025 $424.9M $46.3M $0.75
Q3 2024 $446.4M $43.3M $0.71
Q2 2024 $442.4M $40.3M $0.66
Q1 2024 $385.5M $27.4M $0.45
Q3 2023 $346.4M $31.8M $0.52
Q2 2023 $366.7M $33.5M $0.55

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

FSS Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$254.7M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$39.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$27.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$34.1M
Returned to shareholders

FSS SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/ (CIK: 0000277509)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773173465.xml View →
Mar 6, 2026 DEF 14A ffs-20260306.htm View →
Mar 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772664605.xml View →
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772502462.xml View →
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772496908.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FSS

What is the AI rating for FSS?

FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/ (FSS) has an AI rating of BUY with 75% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FSS's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation ($227.1M) with 10.4% FCF margin indicating high-quality earnings. Strong balance sheet with conservative 0.41x debt-to-equity ratio and 24.2x interest coverage ratio.

What are the risks of investing in FSS?

Claude: Stagnant top-line revenue (0% YoY growth) suggests mature/declining market or competitive pressures. Net income growth (+14% YoY) is being driven by margin expansion rather than volume growth, which may not be sustainable.

What is FSS's revenue and growth?

FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/ reported revenue of $2.2B.

Does FSS pay dividends?

FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/ pays dividends, with $34.1M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find FSS SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/ (CIK: 0000277509) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FSS's EPS?

FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/ has a diluted EPS of $4.01.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is FSS a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/ has a BUY rating with 75% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is FSS stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FSS: ROE of 17.8% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 11.3% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy FSS stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/ a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FSS's free cash flow?

FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP /DE/'s operating cash flow is $254.7M, with capital expenditures of $27.6M. FCF margin is 10.4%.

How does FSS compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 11.3% (avg: 12%), ROE 17.8% (avg: 15%), current ratio 3.02 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 25, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI