← Back to All US Stocks

FRD Stock Analysis 2026 - FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC AI Rating

FRD Nasdaq Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling & Finishing Mills TX CIK: 0000039092
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 25, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 FRD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $455.1M
Net Margin: 2.3%
Free Cash Flow: $5.3M
Current Ratio: 3.59x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $1.46
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence

Is FRD a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Friedman Industries faces significant headwinds with revenue declining 13.9% YoY while profitability metrics compress to anemic levels (2.3% net margin, 3.0% operating margin). The steel industry downturn is evident in poor asset utilization (3.3% ROA), and despite positive free cash flow, the company's low cash reserves ($3.0M) and minimal earnings cushion create vulnerability to further demand deterioration.

Why Buy FRD? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong liquidity position with 3.59x current ratio provides buffer for operational challenges
  • + Positive free cash flow generation of $5.3M indicates ability to service obligations despite margin compression
  • + Zero long-term debt and 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio eliminates refinancing risk in uncertain commodity environment

FRD Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Revenue contraction of 13.9% YoY signals weakening demand in cyclical steel industry with no visible recovery signs
  • ! Severely depressed margins (3.9% gross, 3.0% operating, 2.3% net) indicate operational stress and limited pricing power
  • ! Critically low cash position of $3.0M relative to $311.9M asset base creates financial fragility if operating cash flow deteriorates further

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue stabilization and margin recovery in next two quarters as indicator of demand stabilization
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and cash balance growth relative to capex requirements
  • * Gross margin trends reflecting commodity steel pricing environment and production efficiency

FRD Financial Metrics

Revenue
$455.1M
Net Income
$10.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.46
Free Cash Flow
$5.3M
Total Assets
$311.9M
Cash Position
$3.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 1.2% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 3.59x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

FRD Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 3.9%
Operating Margin 3.0%
Net Margin 2.3%
ROE 7.3%
ROA 3.3%
FCF Margin 1.2%

FRD vs Default Sector

How FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
FRD 2.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
FRD Sector
ROE
FRD 7.3%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
FRD Sector
Current Ratio
FRD 3.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
FRD Sector
Debt/Equity
FRD 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
FRD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is FRD Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
7.3%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
2.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

FRD Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.59x
Quick Ratio
0.97x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
54.4%
Interest Coverage
5.10x
Long-term Debt
N/A

FRD 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

FRD 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $142.1M, Net Income $194.8K, EPS $0.03. Year 2022: Revenue $285.2M, Net Income $11.4M, EPS $1.63. Year 2023: Revenue $547.5M, Net Income $14.1M, EPS $2.04. Year 2024: Revenue $547.5M, Net Income $21.3M, EPS $2.91. Year 2025: Revenue $516.3M, Net Income $17.3M, EPS $2.39.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC's revenue has grown significantly by 263% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $2.39 reflects profitable operations.

FRD Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
1.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

FRD Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2026 $94.1M -$675.0K $0.11
Q2 2026 $106.8M -$675.0K $-0.10
Q1 2026 $114.6M $2.6M $0.37
Q3 2025 $94.1M -$675.0K $0.11
Q2 2025 $106.8M -$675.0K $-0.10
Q1 2025 $114.6M $2.6M $0.37
Q3 2024 $111.9M $1.2M $0.16
Q2 2024 $130.7M $2.5M $0.34

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

FRD Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$11.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$10.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$5.8M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$846.0K
Returned to shareholders

FRD SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC (CIK: 0000039092)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/rdgdoc.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 8-K frd20260317_8k.htm View →
Mar 11, 2026 4 xslF345X05/rdgdoc.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/rdgdoc.xml View →
Feb 25, 2026 4 xslF345X05/rdgdoc.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FRD

What is the AI rating for FRD?

FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC (FRD) has an AI rating of SELL with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FRD's key strengths?

Claude: Strong liquidity position with 3.59x current ratio provides buffer for operational challenges. Positive free cash flow generation of $5.3M indicates ability to service obligations despite margin compression.

What are the risks of investing in FRD?

Claude: Revenue contraction of 13.9% YoY signals weakening demand in cyclical steel industry with no visible recovery signs. Severely depressed margins (3.9% gross, 3.0% operating, 2.3% net) indicate operational stress and limited pricing power.

What is FRD's revenue and growth?

FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC reported revenue of $455.1M.

Does FRD pay dividends?

FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC pays dividends, with $0.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find FRD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC (CIK: 0000039092) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FRD's EPS?

FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC has a diluted EPS of $1.46.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is FRD a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC has a SELL rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is FRD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FRD: ROE of 7.3% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 2.3% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy FRD stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FRD's free cash flow?

FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC's operating cash flow is $11.2M, with capital expenditures of $5.8M. FCF margin is 1.2%.

How does FRD compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 2.3% (avg: 12%), ROE 7.3% (avg: 15%), current ratio 3.59 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 25, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI