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EXPO Stock Analysis 2026 - EXPONENT INC AI Rating

EXPO Nasdaq Services-Management Consulting Services DE CIK: 0000851520
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-01-02
BUY
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 EXPO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $582.0M
Net Margin: 18.2%
Free Cash Flow: $122.3M
Current Ratio: 2.40x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $2.07
AI Rating: BUY with 78% confidence

Is EXPO a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Exponent demonstrates robust financial health with strong profitability metrics (20.6% operating margin, 18.2% net margin) and exceptional cash generation (122.3M free cash flow, 21% FCF margin). The company maintains an fortress balance sheet with 2.40x current ratio, zero debt, and substantial cash reserves of 221.9M, providing strategic flexibility. However, flat revenue growth and declining diluted EPS present near-term headwinds that warrant monitoring.

Why Buy EXPO? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation with 122.3M FCF and 21% FCF margin demonstrating high-quality earnings conversion
  • + Superior profitability with 20.6% operating margin and 18.2% net margin, well above typical consulting services benchmarks
  • + Fortress balance sheet with zero long-term debt, 221.9M cash reserves, and 2.40x current ratio providing strategic optionality
  • + Strong return on equity of 27.2% and ROA of 13.6% indicating efficient capital deployment
  • + Significant insider activity with 24 Form 4 filings suggesting management confidence

EXPO Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Flat revenue growth of 0% YoY indicates stagnation in top-line expansion and potential market saturation concerns
  • ! Diluted EPS declining 1.9% YoY despite flat net income suggests share dilution from equity issuance or option exercises
  • ! High profitability multiples may create difficult comps and pressure margins if consulting demand weakens
  • ! Lack of operating expense control visibility with no gross margin data limits assessment of operational scalability
  • ! Management's high insider trading activity (24 filings in 90 days) requires context to assess motivation

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth trajectory - need return to positive growth to validate business momentum
  • * Operating margin sustainability - monitor for compression as firm scales or faces competitive pressures
  • * Free cash flow generation - track consistency of 20%+ FCF margins as indicator of earnings quality
  • * Headcount and utilization rates - key drivers for professional services margins and growth
  • * Client concentration and contract backlog - assess revenue stability and forward visibility

EXPO Financial Metrics

Revenue
$582.0M
Net Income
$106.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.07
Free Cash Flow
$122.3M
Total Assets
$777.5M
Cash Position
$221.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 21.0% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. Strong liquidity with a 2.40x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

EXPO Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 20.6%
Net Margin 18.2%
ROE 27.2%
ROA 13.6%
FCF Margin 21.0%

EXPO vs Default Sector

How EXPONENT INC compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
EXPO 18.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
EXPO Sector
ROE
EXPO 27.2%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
EXPO Sector
Current Ratio
EXPO 2.4x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
EXPO Sector
Debt/Equity
EXPO 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
EXPO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is EXPO Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, EXPONENT INC appears fundamentally strong relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
27.2%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
18.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

EXPO Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.40x
Quick Ratio
2.40x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
49.8%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
N/A

EXPO 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

EXPO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $466.3M, Net Income $82.5M, EPS $1.53. Year 2022: Revenue $513.3M, Net Income $82.6M, EPS $1.55. Year 2023: Revenue $536.8M, Net Income $101.2M, EPS $1.90. Year 2024: Revenue $558.5M, Net Income $102.3M, EPS $1.96. Year 2025: Revenue $582.0M, Net Income $100.3M, EPS $1.94.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: EXPONENT INC's revenue has grown significantly by 25% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.94 reflects profitable operations.

EXPO Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
21.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

EXPO Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for EXPONENT INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $136.3M $26.0M $0.50
Q2 2025 $140.5M $26.6M $0.52
Q1 2025 $144.9M $26.7M $0.52
Q3 2024 $133.3M $24.5M $0.48
Q2 2024 $140.2M $25.7M $0.50
Q1 2024 $140.3M $29.1M $0.56
Q3 2023 $127.2M $24.4M $0.47
Q2 2023 $130.3M $25.7M $0.49

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

EXPO Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$131.7M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$97.1M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$9.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$61.5M
Returned to shareholders

EXPO SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for EXPONENT INC (CIK: 0000851520)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/edgardoc.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/edgardoc.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/edgardoc.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/edgardoc.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/edgardoc.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about EXPO

What is the AI rating for EXPO?

EXPONENT INC (EXPO) has an AI rating of BUY with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are EXPO's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation with 122.3M FCF and 21% FCF margin demonstrating high-quality earnings conversion. Superior profitability with 20.6% operating margin and 18.2% net margin, well above typical consulting services benchmarks.

What are the risks of investing in EXPO?

Claude: Flat revenue growth of 0% YoY indicates stagnation in top-line expansion and potential market saturation concerns. Diluted EPS declining 1.9% YoY despite flat net income suggests share dilution from equity issuance or option exercises.

What is EXPO's revenue and growth?

EXPONENT INC reported revenue of $582.0M.

Does EXPO pay dividends?

EXPONENT INC pays dividends, with $61.5M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find EXPO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for EXPONENT INC (CIK: 0000851520) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is EXPO's EPS?

EXPONENT INC has a diluted EPS of $2.07.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is EXPO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, EXPONENT INC has a BUY rating with 78% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is EXPO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for EXPO: ROE of 27.2% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 18.2% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy EXPO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives EXPONENT INC a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is EXPO's free cash flow?

EXPONENT INC's operating cash flow is $131.7M, with capital expenditures of $9.4M. FCF margin is 21.0%.

How does EXPO compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 18.2% (avg: 12%), ROE 27.2% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.40 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-01-02 | Powered by Claude AI