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MEG Stock Analysis 2026 - Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. AI Rating

MEG NYSE Services-Management Consulting Services DE CIK: 0001643615
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 1, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
62% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MEG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $830.5M
Net Margin: -0.1%
Free Cash Flow: $91.2M
Current Ratio: 1.43x
Debt/Equity: 0.61x
EPS: $-0.14
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Is MEG a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Montrose Environmental demonstrates exceptional revenue growth (4344.6% YoY) and strong free cash flow generation ($91.2M, 11% FCF margin), but profitability remains severely compressed with negative net margin (-0.1%) and declining net income despite massive top-line expansion. The quality of growth is questionable given the company is unprofitable at the bottom line despite $830.5M in revenue, raising concerns about pricing power, cost structure, and operational execution.

Why Buy MEG? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 4344.6% year-over-year demonstrates significant market demand and successful business expansion
  • + Strong free cash flow generation at $91.2M with 11.0% FCF margin indicates the business converts revenue to cash effectively despite accounting losses
  • + Healthy liquidity position with 1.43x current ratio and manageable leverage at 0.61x debt-to-equity ratio provides financial flexibility

MEG Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Negative net income of -$843K and deteriorating net margin of -0.1% despite massive revenue growth signals serious profitability issues and potential accounting adjustments masking operational challenges
  • ! Ultra-thin operating margin of 1.4% on $830.5M revenue leaves minimal buffer for cost volatility or revenue pressure; high operating leverage risk
  • ! Material long-term debt of $277.1M combined with low cash balance of $11.2M creates debt service concerns, especially given negative net earnings and reliance on cash flow for sustainability

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net margin trend and path to profitability - critical to validate sustainability of revenue growth model
  • * Operating margin expansion and cost structure efficiency - determine if negative earnings are temporary or structural
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and debt service coverage ratios - ensure cash generation continues to support debt obligations

MEG Financial Metrics

Revenue
$830.5M
Net Income
$-843.0K
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.14
Free Cash Flow
$91.2M
Total Assets
$981.3M
Cash Position
$11.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

MEG Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 1.4%
Net Margin -0.1%
ROE -0.2%
ROA -0.1%
FCF Margin 11.0%

MEG vs Default Sector

How Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
MEG -0.1%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MEG Sector
ROE
MEG -0.2%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MEG Sector
Current Ratio
MEG 1.4x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MEG Sector
Debt/Equity
MEG 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MEG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MEG Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-0.2%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-0.1%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.61x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MEG Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.43x
Quick Ratio
1.43x
Debt/Equity
0.61x
Debt/Assets
54.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$277.1M

MEG 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MEG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $546.4M, Net Income -$23.6M, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $546.4M, Net Income -$57.9M, EPS $-6.48. Year 2023: Revenue $624.2M, Net Income -$25.3M, EPS $-1.56. Year 2024: Revenue $696.4M, Net Income -$31.8M, EPS $-1.62. Year 2025: Revenue $830.5M, Net Income -$30.9M, EPS $-1.57.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Montrose Environmental Group, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 52% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-1.57 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

MEG Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
11.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MEG Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $178.7M $7.4M $0.08
Q2 2025 $173.3M -$1.0M $-0.15
Q1 2025 $155.3M -$13.4M $-0.53
Q3 2024 $167.9M -$7.2M $-0.39
Q2 2024 $159.1M -$7.2M $-0.38
Q1 2024 $131.4M -$13.4M $-0.53
Q3 2023 $130.3M -$5.7M $-0.33
Q2 2023 $139.9M -$7.2M $-0.38

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MEG Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$107.5M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$2.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$16.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$4.2M
Returned to shareholders

MEG SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001643615)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 24, 2026 DEF 14A meg-20260323.htm View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 11, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MEG

What is the AI rating for MEG?

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. (MEG) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MEG's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 4344.6% year-over-year demonstrates significant market demand and successful business expansion. Strong free cash flow generation at $91.2M with 11.0% FCF margin indicates the business converts revenue to cash effectively despite accounting losses.

What are the risks of investing in MEG?

Claude: Negative net income of -$843K and deteriorating net margin of -0.1% despite massive revenue growth signals serious profitability issues and potential accounting adjustments masking operational challenges. Ultra-thin operating margin of 1.4% on $830.5M revenue leaves minimal buffer for cost volatility or revenue pressure; high operating leverage risk.

What is MEG's revenue and growth?

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. reported revenue of $830.5M.

Does MEG pay dividends?

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. pays dividends, with $4.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MEG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001643615) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MEG's EPS?

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.14.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MEG a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 62% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MEG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MEG: ROE of -0.2% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -0.1% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MEG stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MEG's free cash flow?

Montrose Environmental Group, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $107.5M, with capital expenditures of $16.3M. FCF margin is 11.0%.

How does MEG compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin -0.1% (avg: 12%), ROE -0.2% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.43 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 1, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI