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EXPI Stock Analysis 2026 - eXp World Holdings, Inc. AI Rating

EXPI Nasdaq Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) DE CIK: 0001495932
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
75% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 EXPI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $4.8B
Net Margin: -0.5%
Free Cash Flow: $109.0M
Current Ratio: 1.53x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $-0.14
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence

Is EXPI a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

eXp World Holdings demonstrates fundamentally weak profitability with negative operating and net margins despite $4.8B in revenue, indicating operational challenges within its real estate services model. While the company maintains strong liquidity (1.53x current ratio) and generates positive free cash flow ($109M), the persistent losses and deteriorating profitability ratios suggest underlying business model issues that free cash flow alone cannot offset.

Why Buy EXPI? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong liquidity position with $124.2M cash and 1.53x current ratio
  • + Positive free cash flow of $109M despite operating losses, indicating cash conversion capability
  • + Minimal debt burden with effectively zero long-term leverage (0.00x debt/equity)
  • + Modest revenue growth of 4.5% YoY in a mature sector

EXPI Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Persistent negative operating margin (-0.4%) and net margin (-0.5%) despite $4.8B revenue scale
  • ! Negative return on equity (-9.4%) and assets (-5.1%) indicating shareholder value destruction
  • ! Abnormally low gross margin (7.0%) suggests structural cost issues or unfavorable service mix
  • ! Ongoing operating losses ($-21.5M) raise questions about business model sustainability and path to profitability

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trajectory and timeline to profitability
  • * Gross margin improvement initiatives and service mix optimization
  • * Sustainability of free cash flow generation amid ongoing losses
  • * Cash burn rate relative to $124.2M cash balance

EXPI Financial Metrics

Revenue
$4.8B
Net Income
$-22.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.14
Free Cash Flow
$109.0M
Total Assets
$442.5M
Cash Position
$124.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 2.3% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

EXPI Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 7.0%
Operating Margin -0.4%
Net Margin -0.5%
ROE -9.4%
ROA -5.1%
FCF Margin 2.3%

EXPI vs Default Sector

How eXp World Holdings, Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
EXPI -0.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
EXPI Sector
ROE
EXPI -9.4%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
EXPI Sector
Current Ratio
EXPI 1.5x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
EXPI Sector
Debt/Equity
EXPI 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
EXPI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is EXPI Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, eXp World Holdings, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-9.4%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-0.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

EXPI Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.53x
Quick Ratio
1.53x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
45.1%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$20.0K

EXPI 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

EXPI 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $3.8B, Net Income -$9.5M, EPS $-0.08. Year 2022: Revenue $4.6B, Net Income $31.1M, EPS $0.21. Year 2023: Revenue $4.6B, Net Income $81.2M, EPS $0.51. Year 2024: Revenue $4.6B, Net Income $15.4M, EPS $0.10. Year 2025: Revenue $4.8B, Net Income -$9.0M, EPS $-0.06.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: eXp World Holdings, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 27% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.06 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

EXPI Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
2.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

EXPI Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for eXp World Holdings, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $1.2B $3.5M $0.02
Q2 2025 $1.3B -$2.3M $-0.01
Q1 2025 $943.1M -$11.0M $-0.07
Q3 2024 $1.2B N/A $0.01
Q2 2024 $1.2B N/A $-0.02
Q1 2024 $848.5M N/A $0.01
Q3 2023 $1.2B $1.3M $0.01
Q2 2023 $1.2B $9.4M $0.06

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

EXPI Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$118.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$56.2M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$9.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$30.8M
Returned to shareholders

EXPI SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for eXp World Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001495932)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primarydocument.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 DEF 14A expi-20260424xdef14a.htm View →
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primarydocument.xml View →
Feb 24, 2026 10-K expi-20251231x10k.htm View →
Feb 24, 2026 8-K expi-20260224x8k.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about EXPI

What is the AI rating for EXPI?

eXp World Holdings, Inc. (EXPI) has an AI rating of SELL with 75% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are EXPI's key strengths?

Claude: Strong liquidity position with $124.2M cash and 1.53x current ratio. Positive free cash flow of $109M despite operating losses, indicating cash conversion capability.

What are the risks of investing in EXPI?

Claude: Persistent negative operating margin (-0.4%) and net margin (-0.5%) despite $4.8B revenue scale. Negative return on equity (-9.4%) and assets (-5.1%) indicating shareholder value destruction.

What is EXPI's revenue and growth?

eXp World Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $4.8B.

Does EXPI pay dividends?

eXp World Holdings, Inc. pays dividends, with $30.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find EXPI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for eXp World Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001495932) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is EXPI's EPS?

eXp World Holdings, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.14.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is EXPI a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, eXp World Holdings, Inc. has a SELL rating with 75% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is EXPI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for EXPI: ROE of -9.4% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -0.5% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy EXPI stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives eXp World Holdings, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is EXPI's free cash flow?

eXp World Holdings, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $118.6M, with capital expenditures of $9.6M. FCF margin is 2.3%.

How does EXPI compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin -0.5% (avg: 12%), ROE -9.4% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.53 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI