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EFC-PD Stock Analysis 2026 - Ellington Financial Inc. AI Rating

EFC-PD NYSE Real Estate DE CIK: 0001411342
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 EFC-PD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $190.0M
Net Margin: 62.5%
Free Cash Flow: $-925.5M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $1.19
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence

Is EFC-PD a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Ellington Financial exhibits severe operational distress with negative operating income (-20.1% margin), massive negative operating cash flow (-$925.5M), and deteriorating profitability (-21.2% YoY net income decline) despite revenue growth. The company's highly leveraged capital structure (90.3% liabilities-to-assets) with $17.5B in liabilities against only $1.8B equity raises solvency concerns, while negative interest coverage indicates inability to service debt from operations.

Why Buy EFC-PD? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Revenue growth of 29.7% YoY demonstrates top-line expansion
  • + Substantial asset base of $19.4B provides operational scale
  • + Positive net income of $118.7M indicates some profitability at bottom line
  • + Zero long-term debt on balance sheet reduces refinancing risk

EFC-PD Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Severe negative operating cash flow of -$925.5M indicates operations are burning cash at unsustainable rate
  • ! Operating margin of -20.1% shows core business is deeply unprofitable before financing costs
  • ! Highly leveraged balance sheet with $17.5B liabilities versus $1.8B equity (9.7x leverage) creates significant financial risk
  • ! Negative interest coverage of -0.1x means operating income cannot cover interest obligations
  • ! Deteriorating profitability with net income down 21.2% YoY despite revenue growth signals operational challenges
  • ! Minimal cash reserves of $201.9M relative to $17.5B liability obligations

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend and path to positive FCF
  • * Operating margin improvement and return to profitability
  • * Total liabilities reduction and debt management strategy
  • * Interest coverage ratio and ability to service debt obligations
  • * Quarterly revenue and net income sustainability

EFC-PD Financial Metrics

Revenue
$190.0M
Net Income
$118.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.19
Free Cash Flow
$-925.5M
Total Assets
$19.4B
Cash Position
$201.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

EFC-PD Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -20.1%
Net Margin 62.5%
ROE 6.5%
ROA 0.6%
FCF Margin -487.2%

EFC-PD vs Default Sector

How Ellington Financial Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
EFC-PD 62.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
EFC-PD Sector
ROE
EFC-PD 6.5%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
EFC-PD Sector
Current Ratio
EFC-PD 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
EFC-PD Sector
Debt/Equity
EFC-PD 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
EFC-PD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is EFC-PD Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Ellington Financial Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
6.5%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
62.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

EFC-PD Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
90.3%
Interest Coverage
-0.13x
Long-term Debt
$0.0

EFC-PD 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

EFC-PD 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Ellington Financial Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $0.89 reflects profitable operations.

EFC-PD Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-487.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

EFC-PD Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$925.5M
Cash generated from operations
Dividends Paid
$183.6M
Returned to shareholders

EFC-PD SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Ellington Financial Inc. (CIK: 0001411342)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 9, 2026 8-K efc-20260309.htm View →
Mar 5, 2026 8-K efc-20260305.htm View →
Mar 2, 2026 10-K efc-20251231.htm View →
Feb 26, 2026 8-K efc-20260225.htm View →
Feb 9, 2026 8-K efc-20260209.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about EFC-PD

What is the AI rating for EFC-PD?

Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC-PD) has an AI rating of SELL with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are EFC-PD's key strengths?

Claude: Revenue growth of 29.7% YoY demonstrates top-line expansion. Substantial asset base of $19.4B provides operational scale.

What are the risks of investing in EFC-PD?

Claude: Severe negative operating cash flow of -$925.5M indicates operations are burning cash at unsustainable rate. Operating margin of -20.1% shows core business is deeply unprofitable before financing costs.

What is EFC-PD's revenue and growth?

Ellington Financial Inc. reported revenue of $190.0M.

Does EFC-PD pay dividends?

Ellington Financial Inc. pays dividends, with $183.6M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find EFC-PD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Ellington Financial Inc. (CIK: 0001411342) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is EFC-PD's EPS?

Ellington Financial Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.19.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is EFC-PD a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, Ellington Financial Inc. has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is EFC-PD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for EFC-PD: ROE of 6.5% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 62.5% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy EFC-PD stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Ellington Financial Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is EFC-PD's free cash flow?

Ellington Financial Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-925.5M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is -487.2%.

How does EFC-PD compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 62.5% (avg: 12%), ROE 6.5% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI