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DEC Stock Analysis - Diversified Energy Co AI Rating

DEC NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas X0 CIK: 0001922446
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 23, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
62% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 DEC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.8B
Net Margin: 18.6%
Free Cash Flow: $280.0M
Current Ratio: 0.60x
Debt/Equity: 2.76x
EPS: $4.58
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Investment Thesis

Claude

DEC demonstrates strong profitability with excellent margins (29.2% operating, 18.6% net) and robust free cash flow generation ($280M), supported by exceptional revenue growth of 141.5% YoY. However, significant financial leverage (2.76x debt-to-equity, 2.5x interest coverage) and weak liquidity metrics (0.60x current ratio) create material solvency risks that offset operational strength.

DEC Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 141.5% YoY indicating strong commodity demand or successful acquisitions
  • + Robust profitability with 29.2% operating margin and 18.6% net margin, demonstrating operational efficiency
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $280M (15.3% FCF margin) providing debt service and capital flexibility
  • + Outstanding ROE of 34.7% indicating efficient use of shareholder capital
  • + Substantial operating cash flow of $464.6M supporting cash-based assessments

DEC Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical liquidity stress with current ratio of 0.60x and quick ratio of 0.58x indicating potential short-term payment difficulties
  • ! High leverage with 2.76x debt-to-equity ratio and $2.7B long-term debt against only $984.1M equity
  • ! Weak interest coverage of 2.5x leaves limited margin for earnings deterioration or rate increases in cyclical commodity sector
  • ! Minimal cash position of $29.7M relative to $5.2B total liabilities creates refinancing and operational risks
  • ! Cyclical industry exposure to oil and gas prices; strong results heavily dependent on commodity pricing environment

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio trend and absolute debt levels relative to cash generation capacity
  • * Current and quick ratios to monitor liquidity position and refinancing needs
  • * Interest coverage ratio sustainability as commodity prices potentially normalize
  • * Free cash flow growth and allocation (debt reduction vs. shareholder returns)
  • * Revenue sustainability and margins if commodity prices decline from current elevated levels

DEC Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.8B
Net Income
$341.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$4.58
Free Cash Flow
$280.0M
Total Assets
$6.2B
Cash Position
$29.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

DEC Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 29.2%
Net Margin 18.6%
ROE 34.7%
ROA 5.5%
FCF Margin 15.3%

DEC vs Energy Sector

How Diversified Energy Co compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
DEC 18.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
DEC Sector
ROE
DEC 34.7%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
DEC Sector
Current Ratio
DEC 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
DEC Sector
Debt/Equity
DEC 2.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
DEC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

DEC Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.60x
Quick Ratio
0.58x
Debt/Equity
2.76x
Debt/Assets
83.9%
Interest Coverage
2.46x
Long-term Debt
$2.7B

DEC 5-Year Financial Trend

DEC 5-year financial data: Year 2025: Revenue $1.9B, Net Income $748.7M, EPS $15.76.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Diversified Energy Co's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $15.76 reflects profitable operations.

DEC Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
15.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

DEC Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$464.6M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$184.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$85.0M
Returned to shareholders

DEC SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Diversified Energy Co (CIK: 0001922446)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1773870916.xml View →
Mar 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1773870859.xml View →
Mar 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1773870805.xml View →
Mar 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1773870743.xml View →
Mar 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1773870652.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about DEC

What is the AI rating for DEC?

Diversified Energy Co (DEC) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are DEC's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 141.5% YoY indicating strong commodity demand or successful acquisitions. Robust profitability with 29.2% operating margin and 18.6% net margin, demonstrating operational efficiency.

What are the risks of investing in DEC?

Claude: Critical liquidity stress with current ratio of 0.60x and quick ratio of 0.58x indicating potential short-term payment difficulties. High leverage with 2.76x debt-to-equity ratio and $2.7B long-term debt against only $984.1M equity.

What is DEC's revenue and growth?

Diversified Energy Co reported revenue of $1.8B.

Does DEC pay dividends?

Diversified Energy Co pays dividends, with $85.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find DEC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Diversified Energy Co (CIK: 0001922446) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is DEC's EPS?

Diversified Energy Co has a diluted EPS of $4.58.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 23, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI