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CERT Stock Analysis - Certara, Inc. AI Rating

CERT Nasdaq Services-Prepackaged Software DE CIK: 0001827090
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
HOLD
62% Confidence

📊 CERT Key Takeaways

Revenue: $418.8M
Net Margin: -0.4%
Free Cash Flow: $94.6M
Current Ratio: 2.05x
Debt/Equity: 0.28x
EPS: $-0.01
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Investment Thesis

Certara demonstrates solid revenue growth of 8.7% YoY and exceptional free cash flow generation (22.6% FCF margin with $94.6M), indicating a profitable core business model. However, the company's recent net loss of -$1.6M and negative net margin of -0.4% raise concerns about profitability sustainability, despite improvements in operating margins and EPS.

CERT Strengths

  • + Strong free cash flow generation with $94.6M FCF and 22.6% FCF margin demonstrates underlying business quality
  • + Solid revenue growth of 8.7% YoY in software services sector with $418.8M in revenue
  • + Healthy balance sheet with manageable leverage (0.28x Debt/Equity) and strong liquidity position (2.05x current ratio)
  • + Improving profitability trend with net income up 86.8% YoY and diluted EPS up 87.5% YoY

CERT Risks

  • ! Company is currently unprofitable with negative net income of -$1.6M and negative net margin of -0.4%, indicating operational challenges
  • ! Significant long-term debt of $293.1M relative to cash position of $189.4M creates refinancing and interest coverage considerations
  • ! Operating margin of only 5.0% is thin for a software services business, leaving limited room for operational inefficiencies
  • ! Profitability improvements from very low base may not be sustainable; gross margin data unavailable complicates margin analysis

Key Metrics to Watch

CERT Financial Metrics

Revenue
$418.8M
Net Income
$-1.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.01
Free Cash Flow
$94.6M
Total Assets
$1.6B
Cash Position
$189.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 22.6% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. Strong liquidity with a 2.05x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

CERT Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 5.0%
Net Margin -0.4%
ROE -0.2%
ROA -0.1%
FCF Margin 22.6%

CERT vs Technology Sector

How Certara, Inc. compares to Technology sector averages

Net Margin
CERT -0.4%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
CERT Sector
ROE
CERT -0.2%
vs
Sector Avg 22.0%
CERT Sector
Current Ratio
CERT 2.1x
vs
Sector Avg 2.5x
CERT Sector
Debt/Equity
CERT 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.5x
CERT Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

CERT Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.05x
Quick Ratio
2.05x
Debt/Equity
0.28x
Debt/Assets
31.7%
Interest Coverage
3.65x
Long-term Debt
$293.1M

CERT 5-Year Financial Trend

CERT 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $286.1M, Net Income -$8.9M, EPS $-0.07. Year 2022: Revenue $335.6M, Net Income -$49.4M, EPS $-0.37. Year 2023: Revenue $354.3M, Net Income -$13.3M, EPS $-0.09. Year 2024: Revenue $385.1M, Net Income $14.7M, EPS $0.09. Year 2025: Revenue $418.8M, Net Income -$55.4M, EPS $-0.35.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Certara, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 46% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.35 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

CERT Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
22.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CERT Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Certara, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $94.8M -$1.4M $-0.01
Q2 2025 $93.3M -$2.0M $-0.01
Q1 2025 $96.7M -$4.7M $-0.03
Q3 2024 $85.6M -$1.4M $-0.01
Q2 2024 $90.5M $4.7M $0.03
Q1 2024 $90.3M $1.4M $0.01
Q3 2023 $84.7M $3.9M $0.02
Q2 2023 $82.8M -$589.0K $0.00

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

CERT Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$96.3M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$42.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.8M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

CERT SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Certara, Inc. (CIK: 0001827090)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03022026_090330.xml View →
Feb 26, 2026 10-K cert-20251231.htm View →
Feb 26, 2026 8-K certara-20260226.htm View →
Dec 11, 2025 8-K tm2533215d1_8k.htm View →
Nov 12, 2025 4 xslF345X05/form4-11122025_091151.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CERT

What is the AI rating for CERT?

Certara, Inc. (CERT) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CERT's key strengths?

Strong free cash flow generation with $94.6M FCF and 22.6% FCF margin demonstrates underlying business quality. Solid revenue growth of 8.7% YoY in software services sector with $418.8M in revenue.

What are the risks of investing in CERT?

Company is currently unprofitable with negative net income of -$1.6M and negative net margin of -0.4%, indicating operational challenges. Significant long-term debt of $293.1M relative to cash position of $189.4M creates refinancing and interest coverage considerations.

What is CERT's revenue and growth?

Certara, Inc. reported revenue of $418.8M.

Does CERT pay dividends?

Certara, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find CERT SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Certara, Inc. (CIK: 0001827090) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CERT's EPS?

Certara, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.01.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI