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CBSH Stock Analysis - COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ AI Rating

CBSH Nasdaq State Commercial Banks MO CIK: 0000022356
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
BUY
78% Confidence

📊 CBSH Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.5B
Net Margin: 38.2%
Free Cash Flow: $592.4M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $4.04
AI Rating: BUY with 78% confidence

Investment Thesis

Commerce Bancshares demonstrates strong fundamental health with robust profitability (38.2% net margin, 14.9% ROE) and exceptional cash generation (39.9% FCF margin, $592.4M free cash flow). Revenue growth of 33.4% YoY coupled with stable net income and improving diluted EPS (+9.5%) indicates quality earnings expansion, though the slight net income decline requires monitoring for sustainability.

CBSH Strengths

  • + Exceptional net profit margin of 38.2% with strong operating margin of 49.3%, indicating operational efficiency typical of quality financial institutions
  • + Outstanding free cash flow generation of $592.4M representing 39.9% of revenue, providing substantial capital for dividends, debt reduction, or strategic investments
  • + Conservative balance sheet with minimal leverage (0.00x debt/equity ratio) and strong liquidity position with $3.5B cash, reducing financial risk
  • + Solid return metrics with 14.9% ROE and 1.7% ROA demonstrating effective capital deployment
  • + Strong revenue growth of 33.4% YoY with diluted EPS growth of 9.5%, showing quality earnings expansion

CBSH Risks

  • ! Net income declined 0.8% YoY despite 33.4% revenue growth, suggesting margin compression or increased operating costs requiring investigation
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 3.4x, while acceptable, is moderate and could be pressured by rising interest rates in banking sector
  • ! High insider activity (47 Form 4 filings in 90 days) warrants monitoring for potential insider selling patterns that could signal concerns
  • ! Banking sector faces structural headwinds from potential interest rate environment changes affecting net interest margin

Key Metrics to Watch

CBSH Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.5B
Net Income
$566.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$4.04
Free Cash Flow
$592.4M
Total Assets
$32.9B
Cash Position
$3.5B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 39.9% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

CBSH Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 49.3%
Net Margin 38.2%
ROE 14.9%
ROA 1.7%
FCF Margin 39.9%

CBSH vs Finance Sector

How COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
CBSH 38.2%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
CBSH Sector
ROE
CBSH 14.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
CBSH Sector
Current Ratio
CBSH 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
CBSH Sector
Debt/Equity
CBSH 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
CBSH Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

CBSH Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
88.4%
Interest Coverage
3.38x
Long-term Debt
$1.8M

CBSH 5-Year Financial Trend

CBSH 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $3.30 reflects profitable operations.

CBSH Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
39.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CBSH Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 N/A $138.0M $1.01
Q2 2025 N/A $139.6M $1.03
Q1 2025 N/A $112.7M $0.82
Q3 2024 N/A $120.6M $0.92
Q2 2024 N/A $127.8M $0.97
Q1 2024 N/A $112.7M $0.86
Q3 2023 N/A $120.6M $0.96
Q2 2023 N/A $115.8M $0.92

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

CBSH Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$645.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$207.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$52.7M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$150.2M
Returned to shareholders

CBSH SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ (CIK: 0000022356)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 13, 2026 DEF 14A cbsh-20260312.htm View →
Mar 11, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CBSH

What is the AI rating for CBSH?

COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ (CBSH) has an AI rating of BUY with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CBSH's key strengths?

Exceptional net profit margin of 38.2% with strong operating margin of 49.3%, indicating operational efficiency typical of quality financial institutions. Outstanding free cash flow generation of $592.4M representing 39.9% of revenue, providing substantial capital for dividends, debt reduction, or strategic investments.

What are the risks of investing in CBSH?

Net income declined 0.8% YoY despite 33.4% revenue growth, suggesting margin compression or increased operating costs requiring investigation. Interest coverage ratio of 3.4x, while acceptable, is moderate and could be pressured by rising interest rates in banking sector.

What is CBSH's revenue and growth?

COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ reported revenue of $1.5B.

Does CBSH pay dividends?

COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ pays dividends, with $150.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CBSH SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ (CIK: 0000022356) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CBSH's EPS?

COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC /MO/ has a diluted EPS of $4.04.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI