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BRCB Stock Analysis - Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. AI Rating

BRCB Nasdaq Retail-Eating & Drinking Places DE CIK: 0002068577
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 21, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
SELL
78% Confidence

📊 BRCB Key Takeaways

Revenue: $200.3M
Net Margin: 0.0%
Free Cash Flow: $-32.7M
Current Ratio: 1.04x
Debt/Equity: 0.61x
EPS: $0.00
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence

Investment Thesis

Black Rock Coffee Bar demonstrates strong revenue growth of 24.5% YoY, but this growth masks deteriorating operational efficiency and negative cash flow dynamics. The company is unprofitable on a net basis with minimal operating margins (0.4%), negative free cash flow of -$32.7M, and heavy capital expenditure requirements that far exceed operating cash generation, suggesting unsustainable unit economics and expansion strategy.

BRCB Strengths

  • + Strong revenue growth of 24.5% year-over-year indicates market demand and expansion success
  • + Solid cash position of $28.4M provides liquidity cushion for near-term operations
  • + Reasonable leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61x, below concerning levels

BRCB Risks

  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$32.7M with FCF margin of -16.3% indicates the business is burning cash despite revenue growth
  • ! Net income barely break-even at -$60K with operating margin of only 0.4%, showing inability to convert revenue to sustainable profits
  • ! Capital expenditures of $34.9M exceed operating cash flow of $2.2M by 16x, suggesting aggressive expansion is not self-funded and requires external capital
  • ! Minimal profitability metrics (negative ROE and ROA) indicate poor asset utilization and shareholder value destruction

Key Metrics to Watch

BRCB Financial Metrics

Revenue
$200.3M
Net Income
$-60.0K
EPS (Diluted)
$0.00
Free Cash Flow
$-32.7M
Total Assets
$336.4M
Cash Position
$28.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

BRCB Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 0.4%
Net Margin 0.0%
ROE -0.1%
ROA 0.0%
FCF Margin -16.3%

BRCB vs Consumer Sector

How Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
BRCB 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
BRCB Sector
ROE
BRCB -0.1%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
BRCB Sector
Current Ratio
BRCB 1.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
BRCB Sector
Debt/Equity
BRCB 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
BRCB Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

BRCB Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.04x
Quick Ratio
0.96x
Debt/Equity
0.61x
Debt/Assets
68.9%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$27.9M

BRCB 5-Year Financial Trend

BRCB 5-year financial data: Year 2025: Revenue $200.3M, Net Income -$8.8M, EPS $0.00.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $0.00 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

BRCB Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-16.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

BRCB Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $41.5M -$712.0K $-0.05

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

BRCB Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$2.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$3.4M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$34.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

BRCB SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (CIK: 0002068577)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 20, 2026 8-K brcb-20260318.htm View →
Mar 13, 2026 8-K brcb-20260312.htm View →
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773349260.xml View →
Mar 4, 2026 10-K brcb-20251231.htm View →
Mar 3, 2026 8-K brcb-20260225.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about BRCB

What is the AI rating for BRCB?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) has an AI rating of SELL with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are BRCB's key strengths?

Strong revenue growth of 24.5% year-over-year indicates market demand and expansion success. Solid cash position of $28.4M provides liquidity cushion for near-term operations.

What are the risks of investing in BRCB?

Negative free cash flow of -$32.7M with FCF margin of -16.3% indicates the business is burning cash despite revenue growth. Net income barely break-even at -$60K with operating margin of only 0.4%, showing inability to convert revenue to sustainable profits.

What is BRCB's revenue and growth?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. reported revenue of $200.3M.

Does BRCB pay dividends?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find BRCB SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (CIK: 0002068577) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is BRCB's EPS?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.00.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 21, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI