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BLMN Stock Analysis - Bloomin' Brands, Inc. AI Rating

BLMN Nasdaq Retail-Eating Places DE CIK: 0001546417
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 21, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-28
AI Rating
SELL
75% Confidence

📊 BLMN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $4.0B
Net Margin: 0.2%
Free Cash Flow: $96.8M
Current Ratio: 0.31x
Debt/Equity: 2.36x
EPS: $0.10
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence

Investment Thesis

Bloomin' Brands demonstrates severely deteriorated profitability with net income declining 37.7% YoY despite flat revenue growth, indicating margin compression and operational challenges in a competitive restaurant environment. Critical liquidity concerns are evident with a current ratio of 0.31x and quick ratio of 0.24x, combined with high leverage (2.36x debt-to-equity), leaving limited financial flexibility. While operating cash flow remains positive at $276.7M, the company's razor-thin net margin of 0.2% and minimal returns (ROE 2.5%, ROA 0.3%) suggest fundamental operational weakness rather than temporary headwinds.

BLMN Strengths

  • + Positive operating cash flow of $276.7M provides debt servicing capability
  • + Free cash flow of $96.8M demonstrates ability to generate cash despite profitability challenges
  • + Revenue stability with only 0.1% decline YoY suggests brand resilience and customer retention

BLMN Risks

  • ! Severe liquidity crisis with current ratio of 0.31x indicating inability to cover short-term obligations
  • ! High financial leverage at 2.36x debt-to-equity with $787.4M long-term debt constraining strategic flexibility
  • ! Dramatic profitability deterioration with net income down 37.7% YoY while maintaining flat revenue indicates margin compression and cost pressures
  • ! Microscopic profitability margins (0.2% net margin, 0.9% operating margin) leave no room for error or adverse conditions
  • ! Weak return on equity (2.5%) and assets (0.3%) suggest inefficient capital deployment and value destruction

Key Metrics to Watch

BLMN Financial Metrics

Revenue
$4.0B
Net Income
$8.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.10
Free Cash Flow
$96.8M
Total Assets
$3.2B
Cash Position
$59.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 2.4% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

BLMN Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 0.9%
Net Margin 0.2%
ROE 2.5%
ROA 0.3%
FCF Margin 2.4%

BLMN vs Consumer Sector

How Bloomin' Brands, Inc. compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
BLMN 0.2%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
BLMN Sector
ROE
BLMN 2.5%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
BLMN Sector
Current Ratio
BLMN 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
BLMN Sector
Debt/Equity
BLMN 2.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
BLMN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

BLMN Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.31x
Quick Ratio
0.24x
Debt/Equity
2.36x
Debt/Assets
89.4%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$787.4M

BLMN 5-Year Financial Trend

BLMN 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $4.1B, Net Income $130.6M, EPS $1.45. Year 2022: Revenue $4.4B, Net Income -$158.7M, EPS $-1.85. Year 2023: Revenue $4.7B, Net Income $215.6M, EPS $2.00. Year 2024: Revenue $4.2B, Net Income $101.9M, EPS $1.03. Year 2025: Revenue $4.2B, Net Income $247.4M, EPS $2.56.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Bloomin' Brands, Inc.'s revenue has shown modest growth of 1% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $2.56 reflects profitable operations.

BLMN Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
2.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

BLMN Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $910.0M $6.9M $0.08
Q2 2025 $999.4M $25.4M $0.30
Q1 2025 $1.0B $42.2M $0.50
Q3 2024 $1.0B $6.9M N/A
Q2 2024 $1.1B $28.4M $0.32
Q1 2024 $1.2B -$83.9M $0.93
Q3 2023 $1.1B $32.0M $0.34
Q2 2023 $1.1B $11.9M $0.12

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

BLMN Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$276.7M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$179.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$38.3M
Returned to shareholders

BLMN SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (CIK: 0001546417)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773353481.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773091874.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772759574.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772759566.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772759553.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about BLMN

What is the AI rating for BLMN?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) has an AI rating of SELL with 75% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are BLMN's key strengths?

Positive operating cash flow of $276.7M provides debt servicing capability. Free cash flow of $96.8M demonstrates ability to generate cash despite profitability challenges.

What are the risks of investing in BLMN?

Severe liquidity crisis with current ratio of 0.31x indicating inability to cover short-term obligations. High financial leverage at 2.36x debt-to-equity with $787.4M long-term debt constraining strategic flexibility.

What is BLMN's revenue and growth?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. reported revenue of $4.0B.

Does BLMN pay dividends?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. pays dividends, with $38.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find BLMN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (CIK: 0001546417) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is BLMN's EPS?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.10.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 21, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-28 | Powered by Claude AI