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ASBA Stock Analysis - ASSOCIATED BANC-CORP AI Rating

ASBA NYSE State Commercial Banks WI CIK: 0000007789
Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
HOLD
65% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Associated Banc-Corp demonstrates solid profitability with strong revenue growth (+80.9% YoY) and respectable net margins (21.9%), supported by healthy free cash flow generation ($615.7M). However, concerning interest coverage ratio (0.1x) and moderate ROA (1.1%) suggest elevated leverage risk and asset efficiency challenges typical of regional banking stress, warranting cautious positioning.

ASBA Strengths

  • + Strong revenue growth of 80.9% year-over-year indicates expanding business activity
  • + Robust net profit margin of 21.9% demonstrates effective cost control and profitability
  • + Excellent free cash flow generation at $615.7M with 28.3% FCF margin provides operational strength
  • + Conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20x shows manageable leverage levels
  • + Substantial asset base of $45.2B provides scale and diversification

ASBA Risks

  • ! Critically low interest coverage ratio of 0.1x indicates severe debt service pressure and potential solvency concerns
  • ! Modest return on assets (1.1%) suggests inefficient asset utilization for a regional bank
  • ! Below-average ROE of 9.5% indicates suboptimal returns to shareholders relative to equity capital
  • ! High insider activity with 87 Form 4 filings in 90 days raises governance and confidence concerns
  • ! Diluted EPS surge of 284.7% appears disconnected from net income growth of 2.5%, suggesting significant share activity or accounting adjustments

Key Metrics to Watch

ASBA Financial Metrics

Revenue
$2.2B
Net Income
$474.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.77
Free Cash Flow
$615.7M
Total Assets
$45.2B
Cash Position
$1.7B

ASBA Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 5.9%
Net Margin 21.9%
ROE 9.5%
ROA 1.1%
FCF Margin 28.3%

ASBA Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.20x
Debt/Assets
89.0%
Interest Coverage
0.13x
Long-term Debt
$1.0B

ASBA 5-Year Financial Trend

ASBA 5-year financial data: Year 2019: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2020: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2021: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $326.8M, EPS $1.91. Year 2022: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $306.8M, EPS $1.86. Year 2023: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $351.0M, EPS $2.18.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: ASSOCIATED BANC-CORP's revenue has shown modest growth of 0% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $1.13 reflects profitable operations.

ASBA Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
28.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ASBA Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for ASSOCIATED BANC-CORP including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2024 $320.8M $81.2M $0.53
Q2 2024 $321.8M $81.2M $0.56
Q1 2024 $322.8M $81.2M $0.52
Q3 2023 $320.8M $74.3M $0.53
Q2 2023 $291.6M $74.3M $0.56
Q1 2023 $262.2M $74.3M $0.47
Q3 2022 $265.8M $74.3M $0.56
Q2 2022 $253.0M $74.3M $0.56

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

ASBA Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$615.7M
Cash generated from operations
Dividends Paid
$155.8M
Returned to shareholders

ASBA SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for ASSOCIATED BANC-CORP (CIK: 0000007789)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI