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Ares Capital Corp. (ARCC) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

ARCC Nasdaq MD CIK: 0001287750
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
71% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
68% Conf
HOLD
74% Conf

📊 ARCC Key Takeaways

Revenue: N/A
Net Margin: N/A
Free Cash Flow: $184.0M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 1.13x
EPS: $0.13
AI Rating: SELL with 68% confidence
Ares Capital Corp. (ARCC) receives a SELL rating with 71% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings., and return on equity (ROE) of 0.7% Below is our complete ARCC stock analysis for 2026.

Is Ares Capital Corp. (ARCC) a Good Investment?

Claude

ARCC exhibits deteriorating fundamentals with net income declining 14.7% YoY and EPS contracting 23.8%, indicating portfolio underperformance or rising credit losses. Critically low profitability metrics (0.7% ROE, 0.3% ROA) demonstrate poor capital efficiency, while elevated leverage (1.13x debt-to-equity) amplifies downside risk in a stressed credit environment. The company's core investment function is generating inadequate returns relative to its capital structure and leverage burden.

ChatGPT

ARES CAPITAL CORP shows solid scale, meaningful equity capital, and still-healthy absolute profitability, with $1.30B in net income and moderate leverage for a credit-focused lender. However, the year-over-year declines in net income and diluted EPS, combined with negative operating cash flow and high long-term debt, suggest fundamentals are stable but not clearly improving. The business looks financially sound enough to avoid a bearish stance, but current trend quality does not justify a more aggressive rating.

Why Buy Ares Capital Corp. Stock? ARCC Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $184M provides liquidity cushion
  • + Substantial asset base of $30.7B enables portfolio diversification across middle-market investments
  • + Free cash flow equals operating cash flow, indicating manageable capital expenditure discipline
ChatGPT
  • + Large asset base and $14.32B of equity provide balance-sheet capacity and loss-absorption support
  • + Remains strongly profitable in absolute terms despite earnings pressure, with positive ROE of 9.1% and ROA of 4.2%
  • + Debt/equity of 1.12x is manageable for a lending platform and indicates leverage is not excessively stretched

ARCC Stock Risks: Ares Capital Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Steep EPS decline of 23.8% YoY significantly outpaces net income decline, signaling share dilution or secondary offerings diluting shareholder value
  • ! Dangerously low return metrics (0.7% ROE, 0.3% ROA) indicate portfolio assets are underperforming or portfolio companies deteriorating in credit quality
  • ! High leverage of 1.13x debt-to-equity combined with declining earnings creates covenant risk and limits financial flexibility if portfolio stress continues
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income fell 14.7% year over year and diluted EPS dropped 23.8%, pointing to weakening earnings momentum
  • ! Operating cash flow was negative $1.72B, which can signal weaker cash conversion or portfolio funding pressure
  • ! Long-term debt of $15.99B is substantial, leaving results sensitive to credit losses, funding costs, and refinancing conditions

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income trend and quarterly profitability to confirm if decline stabilizes or accelerates
  • * Portfolio credit quality metrics and non-accrual loan ratios indicating investment portfolio health
  • * Debt covenant compliance and refinancing activity to assess financial flexibility under stress
ChatGPT
  • * Net investment income and diluted EPS trend
  • * Non-accruals/credit quality and debt-to-equity trend

Ares Capital Corp. (ARCC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
N/A
Net Income
$92.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.13
Free Cash Flow
$184.0M
Total Assets
$30.7B
Cash Position
$505.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

ARCC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin N/A
ROE 0.7%
ROA 0.3%
FCF Margin N/A

ARCC vs Market Sector: How Ares Capital Corp. Compares

How Ares Capital Corp. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
ARCC 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
ARCC Sector
ROE
ARCC 0.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
ARCC Sector
Current Ratio
ARCC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
ARCC Sector
Debt/Equity
ARCC 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
ARCC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Ares Capital Corp. Stock Overvalued? ARCC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Ares Capital Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
0.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
N/A
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.13x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Ares Capital Corp. Balance Sheet: ARCC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.13x
Debt/Assets
54.2%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$15.8B

ARCC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

ARCC 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Ares Capital Corp.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $2.68 reflects profitable operations.

ARCC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
N/A
Free cash flow / Revenue

Ares Capital Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$184.0M
Cash generated from operations
Dividends Paid
$345.0M
Returned to shareholders

ARCC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Ares Capital Corp. (CIK: 0001287750)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 28, 2026 8-K tm2612790d1_8k.htm View →
Apr 28, 2026 10-Q arcc-20260331.htm View →
Apr 28, 2026 8-K arcc-20260428.htm View →
Mar 23, 2026 10-K/A arcc-20251231.htm View →
Mar 5, 2026 DEF 14A tm261483-2_def14a.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ARCC

What is the AI rating for ARCC?

Ares Capital Corp. (ARCC) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 71% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ARCC's key strengths?

Claude: Positive operating cash flow of $184M provides liquidity cushion. Substantial asset base of $30.7B enables portfolio diversification across middle-market investments. ChatGPT: Large asset base and $14.32B of equity provide balance-sheet capacity and loss-absorption support. Remains strongly profitable in absolute terms despite earnings pressure, with positive ROE of 9.1% and ROA of 4.2%.

What are the risks of investing in ARCC?

Claude: Steep EPS decline of 23.8% YoY significantly outpaces net income decline, signaling share dilution or secondary offerings diluting shareholder value. Dangerously low return metrics (0.7% ROE, 0.3% ROA) indicate portfolio assets are underperforming or portfolio companies deteriorating in credit quality. ChatGPT: Net income fell 14.7% year over year and diluted EPS dropped 23.8%, pointing to weakening earnings momentum. Operating cash flow was negative $1.72B, which can signal weaker cash conversion or portfolio funding pressure.

What is ARCC's revenue and growth?

Ares Capital Corp. reported revenue of N/A.

Does ARCC pay dividends?

Ares Capital Corp. pays dividends, with $345.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find ARCC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Ares Capital Corp. (CIK: 0001287750) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ARCC's EPS?

Ares Capital Corp. has a diluted EPS of $0.13.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is ARCC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Ares Capital Corp. has a SELL rating with 71% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is ARCC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ARCC: ROE of 0.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of N/A (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy ARCC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Ares Capital Corp. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ARCC's free cash flow?

Ares Capital Corp.'s operating cash flow is $184.0M, with capital expenditures of N/A.

How does ARCC compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin N/A (avg: 12%), ROE 0.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI