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AR Stock Analysis - ANTERO RESOURCES Corp AI Rating

AR NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas CIK: 0001433270
Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
BUY
72% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Antero Resources demonstrates solid operational efficiency with a 16.7% operating margin and strong free cash flow generation of $1.3B (24.3% FCF margin), indicating robust cash conversion despite a capital-intensive business model. The company maintains a conservative leverage profile (0.19x Debt/Equity) with excellent interest coverage of 12.3x, providing financial flexibility. However, weak liquidity metrics (0.55x current ratio) and modest revenue growth (+2.7% YoY) warrant careful monitoring.

AR Strengths

  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $1.3B with 24.3% FCF margin demonstrates effective capital allocation
  • + Conservative debt structure with 0.19x Debt/Equity ratio and 12.3x interest coverage provides financial stability
  • + Solid operating profitability at 16.7% operating margin and 12.0% net margin in commodity sector
  • + Substantial cash generation from operations ($1.6B) relative to capex ($351.3M)

AR Risks

  • ! Weak liquidity position with 0.55x current ratio indicates potential short-term cash constraints
  • ! Modest revenue growth of +2.7% YoY suggests limited organic expansion or commodity price headwinds
  • ! Low ROE (8.4%) and ROA (4.8%) indicate inefficient asset utilization despite reasonable profitability
  • ! Net income declined 6.0% YoY despite revenue growth, signaling margin compression
  • ! High insider trading activity (19 Form 4 filings in 90 days) requires scrutiny

Key Metrics to Watch

AR Financial Metrics

Revenue
$5.3B
Net Income
$634.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.03
Free Cash Flow
$1.3B
Total Assets
$13.2B
Cash Position
$210.0M

AR Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 16.7%
Net Margin 12.0%
ROE 8.4%
ROA 4.8%
FCF Margin 24.3%

AR Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.55x
Quick Ratio
0.55x
Debt/Equity
0.19x
Debt/Assets
41.7%
Interest Coverage
12.28x
Long-term Debt
$1.4B

AR 5-Year Financial Trend

AR 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $6.5B, Net Income -$293.1M, EPS $-1.11. Year 2022: Revenue $8.7B, Net Income -$1.3B, EPS $-4.65. Year 2023: Revenue $8.7B, Net Income -$154.1M, EPS $-0.61. Year 2024: Revenue $8.7B, Net Income $2.0B, EPS $5.69. Year 2025: Revenue $5.1B, Net Income $297.3M, EPS $0.64.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: ANTERO RESOURCES Corp's revenue has declined by 21% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $0.64 reflects profitable operations.

AR Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
24.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

AR Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for ANTERO RESOURCES Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $1.0B -$25.2M $-0.11
Q2 2025 $976.9M $34.7M $-0.19
Q1 2025 $1.1B $34.7M $0.07
Q3 2024 $1.0B -$10.3M $0.06
Q2 2024 $937.0M -$12.2M $-0.10
Q1 2024 $1.1B $48.3M $0.12
Q3 2023 $1.1B $32.6M $0.06
Q2 2023 $937.0M -$67.9M $-0.28

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

AR Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$1.6B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$136.4M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$351.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

AR SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for ANTERO RESOURCES Corp (CIK: 0001433270)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI